我国企业多元化投资决策的反思

企业多元化经营战备是当今世界许多大中型企业的一种战备选择。我国的一些大企业近年来也走上了多元化经营的道路 ,但多数都身陷困境或遭受失败 ,主要是由于多元化投资决策失误所致。因此 ,深入探讨多元化投资的理论和战略 ,对我国一些大中型企业来说 ,就显得十分重要。     

阅读理解测试的变量研究

本文通过对实验素材和结果的定量分析 ,探讨了可读性、题材、测试题型 (自变量 )与测试结果 (因变量 )之间的相关关系。证明了 :1.不同的题材具有不同的区分能力 ;2 .不同的题型是造成分数差异的主要因素。指出 :在被试的能力范围内 ,可读性对测试结果的影响 ,并不如国外 36项研究所表明的那么明显。含多种题材和题型的阅读理解测试 ,更能有效地反映被试在阅读理解过程中各个层次的能力。     

"职业教育"概念与功能的历史观

职业伴随着劳动分工而产生,职业教育则是近代大机器工业的产物。在不同的历史时期,人们从不同的角度观察,并对职业教育产生了不同的认识,以不同的名称表述,赋予不同的功能。"五四"时期职业教育的多元共生,反映出人们对职业教育概念、功能的不同认识,这也是中国近代职业教育向现代职业教育跨越的重要标志。     

Global and multiple test procedures using ordered p-values—a review

This paper reviews global and multiple tests for the combination ofn hypotheses using the orderedp-values of then individual tests. In 1987, Röhmel and Streitberg presented a general method to construct global level α tests based on orderedp-values when there exists no prior knowledge regarding the joint distribution of the corresponding test statistics. In the case of independent test statistics, construction of global tests is available by means of recursive formulae presented by Bicher (1989), Kornatz (1994) and Finner and Roters (1994). Multiple test procedures can be developed by applying the closed test principle using these global tests as building blocks. Liu (1996) proposed representing closed tests by means of “critical matrices” which contain the critical values of the global tests. Within the framework of these theoretical concepts, well-known global tests and multiple test procedures are classified and the relationships between the different tests are characterised.     

Modified Wald statistics for generalized linear models

Summary: Wald statistics in generalized linear models are asymptotically ² distributed. The asymptotic chi–squared law of the corresponding quadratic form shows disadvantages with respect to the approximation of the finite–sample distribution. It is shown by means of a comprehensive simulation study that improvements can be achieved by applying simple finite–sample size approximations to the distribution of the quadratic form in generalized linear models. These approximations are based on a ² distribution with an estimated degree of freedom that generalizes an approach by Patnaik and Pearson. Simulation studies confirm that nominal level is maintained with higher accuracy compared to the Wald statistics.     

Marginal Means/Rates Models for Multiple Type Recurrent Event Data

Recurrent events are frequently observed in biomedical studies, and often more than one type of event is of interest. Follow-up time may be censored due to loss to follow-up or administrative censoring. We propose a class of semi-parametric marginal means/rates models, with a general relative risk form, for assessing the effect of covariates on the censored event processes of interest. We formulate estimating equations for the model parameters, and examine asymptotic properties of the parameter estimators. Finite sample properties of the regression coefficients are examined through simulations. The proposed methods are applied to a retrospective cohort study of risk factors for preschool asthma.     

茅盾小说与"红楼"情结

“红楼”情结是茅盾经久的“图像仓库”的土壤。但这种情结不是板块式地嵌入的 ,而是经由转化、挪移、重组化合而生成的。这种历史的承传 ,可以是正面的 ,也可以是负面的。同时 ,这种对民族文化的吸取是在与中外艺术的多元交糅的关系中 ,融通建构的。     

Parametric Modeling for Survival with Competing Risks and Masked Failure Causes

We consider a life testing situation in which systems are subject to failure from independent competing risks. Following a failure, immediate (stage-1) procedures are used in an attempt to reach a definitive diagnosis. If these procedures fail to result in a diagnosis, this phenomenon is called masking. Stage-2 procedures, such as failure analysis or autopsy, provide definitive diagnosis for a sample of the masked cases. We show how stage-1 and stage-2 information can be combined to provide statistical inference about (a) survival functions of the individual risks, (b) the proportions of failures associated with individual risks and (c) probability, for a specified masked case, that each of the masked competing risks is responsible for the failure. Our development is based on parametric distributional assumptions and the special case for which the failure times for the competing risks have a Weibull distribution is discussed in detail.     

克里斯特瓦的理论背景与诗学思想

克里斯特瓦是当代法国著名的文学理论家和批评家,她的诗学思想融合了多种学科的知识,且复杂多变。她既受马克思、阿尔都塞、黑格尔、索绪尔、巴赫金、弗洛伊德、拉康、德里达、巴特等人的影响,又修正、发展或批判他们的理论。她创建的解析符号学和互文性理论促进了后结构主义理论的发展;她对文本的对话论、复调结构以及诗性话语的探讨,丰富和发展了巴赫金的文学理论;她关于女性与女性特质的界定,使她的女性主义诗学独树一帜;她对欲望、母性、爱情、卑贱等主题的探讨,修正了传统的精神分析方法。     

The Incremental Group Testing Model for Gap Closing in Sequencing Long Molecules

In this paper, we propose the incremental group testing model for the gap closing problem, which assumes that we can tell the difference between the outcome of testing a subset S, and the outcome of testing S {x}. We also give improvements over currently best results in literature for some other models.