Asymptotic Results of a Nonparametric Conditional Quantile Estimator for Functional Time Series

We consider the estimation of the conditional quantile function when the covariates take values in some abstract function space. The main goal of this article is to establish the almost complete convergence and the asymptotic normality of the kernel estimator of the conditional quantile under the α-mixing assumption and on the concentration properties on small balls of the probability measure of the functional regressors. Some applications and particular cases are studied. This approach can be applied in time series analysis to the prediction and building of confidence bands. We illustrate our methodology with El Niño data.     

Presmoothed Estimation with Left-Truncated and Right-Censored Data

We propose a new method to estimate the cumulative hazard function and the corresponding distribution function of survival times under randomly left-truncated and right-censored observations (LTRC). The new estimators are based on presmoothing ideas, the estimation of the conditional expectation m of the censoring indicator. An almost sure representation for both estimators is established, from which a strong consistency rate and asymptotic normality are derived. It is shown that the presmoothed modification leads to a gain in terms of asymptotic mean squared error. This efficiency with respect to the classical estimators is also shown in a simulation study. Finally, an application to a real data set is provided.     

A prior-valued estimator applied to multinomial classification

A multinomial classification rule is proposed based on a prior-valued smoothing for the state probabilities. Asymptotically, the proposed rule has an error rate that converges uniformly and strongly to that of the Bayes rule. For a fixed sample size the prior-valued smoothing is effective in obtaining reason¬able classifications to the situations such as missing data. Empirically, the proposed rule is compared favorably with other commonly used multinomial classification rules via Monte Carlo sampling experiments     

Umvu estimation for the cumulative hazard function in a pareto distribution of the first kind

The uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator of the cumulative hazard function in the Pareto distribution of the first kind is derived. The variance of the estimator is also obtained in an analytic form, and for some cases its values are compared numerically with mean square errors of the maximum likelihood estimator.     

Some conditions for optimality of the almost unbiased estimators of regression coefficients

The purpose of this paper is to examine the asymptotic properties of the operational almost unbiased estimator of regression coefficients which includes almost unbiased ordinary ridge estimator a s a special case. The small distrubance approximations for the bias and mean square error matrix of the estimator are derived. As a consequence, it is proved that, under certain conditions, the estimator is more efficient than a general class of estimators given by Vinod and Ullah (1981). Also it is shown that, if the ordinary ridge estimator (ORE) dominates the ordinary least squares estimator then the almost unbiased ordinary ridge estimator does not dominate ORE under the mean square error criterion.     

Estimating the mean of the selected uniform population

Let π_i(i=1,2,…K) be independent U(0,?_i) populations. Let Y_i denote the largest observation based on a random sample of size n from the i-th population. for selecting the best populaton, that is the one associated with the largest ?_i, we consider the natural selection rule, according to which the population corresponding to the largest Y_i is selected. In this paper, the estimation of M. the mean of the selected population is considered. The natural estimator is positively biased. The UMVUE (uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator) of M is derived using the (U,V)-method of Robbins (1987) and its asymptotic distribution is found. We obtain a minimax estimator of M for K≤4 and a class of admissible estimators among those of the form cY_max. For the case K = 2, the UMVUE is improved using the Brewster-Zidek (1974) Technique with respect to the squared error loss function L₁ and the scale-invariant loss function L₂. For the case K = 2, the MSE'S of all the estimators are compared for selected values of n and ρ=?₁/(?₁+?₂).     

Some improved ratio type estimators of population mean and ratio in finite population sample surveys

In this paper we present a class of ratio type estimators of the population mean and ratio in a finite population sample surveys with without replacement simple random sampling design, where information on an auxiliary variate x positively correlated with the main variate y is available. Large sample approximations to mean square errors (MSE) of these estimatorsare evaluated and their MSE's are compared with the MSE of the usual ratio estimator [ybar]_R of [ybar] the population mean of y. It is shown that under certain conditions these estimators are more efficient than [ybar]_R. When a prior knowledge of the value of thecoefficient of variation, c_y, of y is at hand, ratio type estimator, say [ybar]₁ of [ybar] is proposed. It is shown, under certain conditions, that [ybar]₁ is more efficient than [ybar]_R. When values of c_y, c_x and the population correlation coefficient ρ is at hand, then we have proposed another estimator, say [ybar]₂ of [ybar], which is always better than [ybar]_R as far as the efficiency is concerned. In fact, is [ybar] ₂ is shown to be even better than [ybar]₁. Finally estimators better than the usual ratio estimator [ybar]/[xbar] of [Ybar] are given.     

Nonparametric bayes estimation of the survival function from a record of failures and follow-ups

In some observational studies, we have random censoring model. However, the data available may be partially observable censored data consisting of the observed failure times and only those nonfailure times which are subject to follow-up. Suzuki (1985) discussed the problem of nonparametric estimation of the survival function from such partially observable censored data. In this article, we derive a nonparametric Bayes estimator of the survival function for such data of failures and follow-ups under a Dirichlet process prior and squared error loss. The limiting properties such as the mean square consistency, weak convergence and strong consistency of the Bayes estimator are studied. Finally, the procedures developed are illustrated by means of an example.     

Estimation of a finite population total in two-stage and stratified sampling under superpopulation models

Optimal sampling strategies which minimise the expected mean square error for a linear design as well as model-design unbiased estimators for a finite population total for two-stage and stratified sampling are obtained under different superpopu1ation models