全文获取类型
收费全文 | 7106篇 |
免费 | 202篇 |
国内免费 | 28篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 585篇 |
民族学 | 10篇 |
人才学 | 1篇 |
人口学 | 87篇 |
丛书文集 | 102篇 |
理论方法论 | 125篇 |
综合类 | 1039篇 |
社会学 | 270篇 |
统计学 | 5117篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 3篇 |
2023年 | 51篇 |
2022年 | 48篇 |
2021年 | 60篇 |
2020年 | 114篇 |
2019年 | 223篇 |
2018年 | 261篇 |
2017年 | 430篇 |
2016年 | 211篇 |
2015年 | 222篇 |
2014年 | 227篇 |
2013年 | 1765篇 |
2012年 | 545篇 |
2011年 | 243篇 |
2010年 | 215篇 |
2009年 | 258篇 |
2008年 | 240篇 |
2007年 | 231篇 |
2006年 | 203篇 |
2005年 | 234篇 |
2004年 | 180篇 |
2003年 | 166篇 |
2002年 | 151篇 |
2001年 | 145篇 |
2000年 | 136篇 |
1999年 | 120篇 |
1998年 | 106篇 |
1997年 | 80篇 |
1996年 | 63篇 |
1995年 | 58篇 |
1994年 | 58篇 |
1993年 | 44篇 |
1992年 | 50篇 |
1991年 | 30篇 |
1990年 | 28篇 |
1989年 | 17篇 |
1988年 | 21篇 |
1987年 | 12篇 |
1986年 | 9篇 |
1985年 | 11篇 |
1984年 | 15篇 |
1983年 | 17篇 |
1982年 | 10篇 |
1981年 | 7篇 |
1980年 | 6篇 |
1979年 | 4篇 |
1978年 | 3篇 |
1977年 | 2篇 |
1976年 | 2篇 |
1975年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有7336条查询结果,搜索用时 125 毫秒
51.
言语生成 (speechproduction)和言语理解 (speechunderstanding)是语言交际中十分复杂的心理认知过程 ,也是心理语言学研究中的一个重要内容。本文拟对有关言语生成和理解的几种心理模型予以讨论 ,探讨言语生成及理解的过程和实质。 相似文献
52.
王章雄 《长江大学学报(社会科学版)》1995,(2)
本文分析了考试记分方法中传统的绝对百分体制的缺陷,给出了一种正态化转换分数的算法,较适合于在校大中专学生学习水平的横向评价。 相似文献
53.
谢胜利 《长江大学学报(社会科学版)》1992,(2)
本文对种群密度在非均匀分布情形下,考虑了具反馈控制的滞后 Logistic 生态模型平衡位置的稳定性;分别给出了在常时滞和弱连续时滞以及强连续时滞情况下的稳定性条件;其结果是对 Gopalsamy 在密度均匀分布情形下相应结果的推广. 相似文献
54.
发展了Baksalary和Drygas提出的一般Gauss-Markov模型中线性充分性、最小充分性和完全性的概念,用Rao的最小二乘统一理论,给出了这些概念的刻划定理。 相似文献
55.
A. Baddeley R. Turner J. Møller M. Hazelton 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology》2005,67(5):617-666
Summary. We define residuals for point process models fitted to spatial point pattern data, and we propose diagnostic plots based on them. The residuals apply to any point process model that has a conditional intensity; the model may exhibit spatial heterogeneity, interpoint interaction and dependence on spatial covariates. Some existing ad hoc methods for model checking (quadrat counts, scan statistic, kernel smoothed intensity and Berman's diagnostic) are recovered as special cases. Diagnostic tools are developed systematically, by using an analogy between our spatial residuals and the usual residuals for (non-spatial) generalized linear models. The conditional intensity λ plays the role of the mean response. This makes it possible to adapt existing knowledge about model validation for generalized linear models to the spatial point process context, giving recommendations for diagnostic plots. A plot of smoothed residuals against spatial location, or against a spatial covariate, is effective in diagnosing spatial trend or co-variate effects. Q – Q -plots of the residuals are effective in diagnosing interpoint interaction. 相似文献
56.
赵德钧 《绍兴文理学院学报》2002,22(9):9-14
该文给出了一类多元Gauss-Weierstrass算子线性组合加Jacobi权在一致逼近下的正、逆定理和逼近阶的特征刻划 相似文献
57.
提高神经网络模型推广能力的关键是控制模型的复杂度。该文探索了贝叶斯神经网络的非参数回归的建模方法,通过融入模型参数的先验知识,在给定数据样本及模型假设下进行后验概率的贝叶斯推理,使用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗算法来优化模型控制参数,实现了对神经网络模型中不同部分复杂度的控制,获得了模型参数的后验分布及预测分布。在5个含噪二维函数回归问题上的应用显示了模型的复杂度能根据数据的复杂度而自适应调整,并给出了较好的预测结果。 相似文献
58.
一类二阶变系数微分方程的解 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
通过变量变换 ,将变系数线性常微分方程化为常系数线性常微分方程 ,再利用常数变易法给出了一类二阶变系数非齐线性微分方程的通解。 相似文献
59.
An individual measure of relative survival 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Janez Stare Robin Henderson Maja Pohar 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics》2005,54(1):115-126
Summary. Relative survival techniques are used to compare survival experience in a study cohort with that expected if background population rates apply. The techniques are especially useful when cause-specific death information is not accurate or not available as they provide a measure of excess mortality in a group of patients with a certain disease. Whereas these methods are based on group comparisons, we present here a transformation approach which instead gives for each individual an outcome measure relative to the appropriate background population. The new outcome measure is easily interpreted and can be analysed by using standard survival analysis techniques. It provides additional information on relative survival and gives new options in regression analysis. For example, one can estimate the proportion of patients who survived longer than a given percentile of the respective general population or compare survival experience of individuals while accounting for the population differences. The regression models for the new outcome measure are different from existing models, thus providing new possibilities in analysing relative survival data. One distinctive feature of our approach is that we adjust for expected survival before modelling. The paper is motivated by a study into the survival of patients after acute myocardial infarction. 相似文献
60.
Gaussian Markov random field (GMRF) models are commonly used to model spatial correlation in disease mapping applications. For Bayesian inference by MCMC, so far mainly single-site updating algorithms have been considered. However, convergence and mixing properties of such algorithms can be extremely poor due to strong dependencies of parameters in the posterior distribution. In this paper, we propose various block sampling algorithms in order to improve the MCMC performance. The methodology is rather general, allows for non-standard full conditionals, and can be applied in a modular fashion in a large number of different scenarios. For illustration we consider three different applications: two formulations for spatial modelling of a single disease (with and without additional unstructured parameters respectively), and one formulation for the joint analysis of two diseases. The results indicate that the largest benefits are obtained if parameters and the corresponding hyperparameter are updated jointly in one large block. Implementation of such block algorithms is relatively easy using methods for fast sampling of Gaussian Markov random fields ( Rue, 2001 ). By comparison, Monte Carlo estimates based on single-site updating can be rather misleading, even for very long runs. Our results may have wider relevance for efficient MCMC simulation in hierarchical models with Markov random field components. 相似文献