外商直接投资影响因素的偏最小二乘回归建模分析

改革开放的20多年来,我国的外商直接投资逐年增加,对我国经济的快速发展发挥了重要的作用。而影响外商直接投资的因素有很多,不同的因素变量之间往往存在多重共线性或近似多重共线性关系,使得分析问题的难度加大。本文运用新型的多元统计数据分析方法——偏最小二乘(PLS)回归方法(既克服了传统方法的不足,又有效地消除了因素变量之间的多重共线性),分析了影响我国外商直接投资的因素,以及其影响程度,为我国进一步引进外商直接投资提供了有益的定量依据。     

Nonparametric Tests for Stratum Effects in the Cox Model

Thispaper considers the stratified proportional hazards model witha focus on the assessment of stratum effects. The assessmentof such effects is often of interest, for example, in clinicaltrials. In this case, two relevant tests are the test of stratuminteraction with covariates and the test of stratum interactionwith baseline hazard functions. For the test of stratum interactionwith covariates, one can use the partial likelihood method (Kalbfleischand Prentice, 1980; Lin, 1994). For the test of stratum interactionwith baseline hazard functions, however, there seems to be noformal test available. We consider this problem and propose aclass of nonparametric tests. The asymptotic distributions ofthe tests are derived using the martingale theory. The proposedtests can also be used for survival comparisons which need tobe adjusted for covariate effects. The method is illustratedwith data from a lung cancer clinical trial.     

On Combinatorial Approximation of Covering 0-1 Integer Programs and Partial Set Cover

The problems dealt with in this paper are generalizations of the set cover problem, min{cx | Ax b, x {0,1}ⁿ}, where c Q₊ⁿ, A {0,1}^{m × n}, b 1. The covering 0-1 integer program is the one, in this formulation, with arbitrary nonnegative entries of A and b, while the partial set cover problem requires only m–K constrains (or more) in Ax b to be satisfied when integer K is additionall specified. While many approximation algorithms have been recently developed for these problems and their special cases, using computationally rather expensive (albeit polynomial) LP-rounding (or SDP-rounding), we present a more efficient purely combinatorial algorithm and investigate its approximation capability for them. It will be shown that, when compared with the best performance known today and obtained by rounding methods, although its performance comes short in some special cases, it is at least equally good in general, extends for partial vertex cover, and improves for weighted multicover, partial set cover, and further generalizations.     

一种新型的商品最优化定价方法

本文在偏态分布^[5]及收益区间定位分析^[6]的基础上,给出了商品的市场最优定价方法,从而可以方便地计算出商品在市场中的最优销售价及相应的预期利润额;本文同时给出了偏态分布的参数估计方法,这使本文所述最优化定价方法更具实用性。     

Marginal Regression of Gaps Between Recurrent Events

Recurrent event data typically exhibit the phenomenon of intra-individual correlation, owing to not only observed covariates but also random effects. In many applications, the population may be reasonably postulated as a heterogeneous mixture of individual renewal processes, and the inference of interest is the effect of individual-level covariates. In this article, we suggest and investigate a marginal proportional hazards model for gaps between recurrent events. A connection is established between observed gap times and clustered survival data with informative cluster size. We subsequently construct a novel and general inference procedure for the latter, based on a functional formulation of standard Cox regression. Large-sample theory is established for the proposed estimators. Numerical studies demonstrate that the procedure performs well with practical sample sizes. Application to the well-known bladder tumor data is given as an illustration.     

Two Moments of the Logitnormal Distribution

We display the first two moment functions of the Logitnormal(μ, σ²) family of distributions, conveniently described in terms of the Normal mean, μ, and the Normal signal-to-noise ratio, μ/σ, parameters that generate the family. Long neglected on account of the numerical integrations required to compute them, awareness of these moment functions should aid the sensible interpretation of logistic regression statistics and the specification of “diffuse” prior distributions in hierarchical models, which can be deceiving. We also use numerical integration to compare the correlation between bivariate Logitnormal variables with the correlation between the bivariate Normal variables from which they are transformed.     

非单调二元非线性算子方程组的迭代求解

利用锥与半序理论和混合单调算子理论 ,讨论 Banach空间中非单调二元非线性算子方程组解的存在性与唯一性 ,并给出收敛于方程组解的迭代序列和误差估计 ,改进和推广了混合单调算子方程和一元算子方程的某些相应结果 .     

化学热力学函数偏微商等式证明方法探讨

从基础热力学函数的相互关系出发，结合偏微商运算基本原理，归纳热力学函数偏微商变换的常用途径，并对化学热力学函数偏微商式的证明方法及技巧进行一些具体研讨。     

方向导数和偏导数

通过对方向导数和偏导数两者间区别与联系的论述，揭示了它们是同属于函数变化率问题的两个平行的不同的概念．     

Earnings and Consumption Dynamics: A Nonlinear Panel Data Framework

We develop a new quantile‐based panel data framework to study the nature of income persistence and the transmission of income shocks to consumption. Log‐earnings are the sum of a general Markovian persistent component and a transitory innovation. The persistence of past shocks to earnings is allowed to vary according to the size and sign of the current shock. Consumption is modeled as an age‐dependent nonlinear function of assets, unobservable tastes, and the two earnings components. We establish the nonparametric identification of the nonlinear earnings process and of the consumption policy rule. Exploiting the enhanced consumption and asset data in recent waves of the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, we find that the earnings process features nonlinear persistence and conditional skewness. We confirm these results using population register data from Norway. We then show that the impact of earnings shocks varies substantially across earnings histories, and that this nonlinearity drives heterogeneous consumption responses. The framework provides new empirical measures of partial insurance in which the transmission of income shocks to consumption varies systematically with assets, the level of the shock, and the history of past shocks.