On the one-sample location hypothesis for mixed bivariate data

We study a hypothesis testing problem involving the location model suggested by Olkin and Tate (1961). Specifically, we derive a likelihood ratio lest of the associated location hypothesis as an alternative to the conventional method of carrying out separate tests for each of the parameters. A small sample Monte Carlo comparison indicates the general superiority of the former in terms of statistical power. We also comment briefly on the properties of the test.     

Testing of Suspected Observations in an Exponential Sample With Unknown Origin

The problem of multiple upper outliers in two-parameter exponential sample is considered. A test statistic is proposed to identify the outliers at the upper end of the sample. The null distribution of the test statistic is obtained and the critical values are found. The performance of the test is also compared with the earlier work.     

Sufficient reduction methods for multivariate time-dependent health surveillance data

ABSTRACT

Early detection with a low false alarm rate (FAR) is the main aim of outbreak detection as used in public health surveillance or in regard to bioterrorism. Multivariate surveillance is preferable to univariate surveillance since correlation between series (CBS) is recognized and incorporated. Sufficient reduction has proved a promising method for handling CBS, but has not previously been used when correlation within series (CWS) is present. Here we develop sufficient reduction methods for reducing a p-dimensional multivariate series to a univariate series of statistics shown to be sufficient to monitor a sudden, but persistent, shift in the multivariate series mean. Correlation both within and between series is taken into account, as public health data typically exhibit both forms of association. Simultaneous and lagged changes and different shift sizes are investigated. A one-sided exponentially weighted moving average chart is used as a tool for detection of a change. The performance of the proposed method is compared with existing sufficient reduction methods, the parallel univariate method and both VarR and Z charts. A simulation study using bivariate normal autoregressive data shows that the new method gives shorter delays and a lower FAR than other methods, which have high FARs when CWS is clearly present.     

Bimodal skew-symmetric normal distribution

ABSTRACT

We introduce a new parsimonious bimodal distribution, referred to as the bimodal skew-symmetric Normal (BSSN) distribution, which is potentially effective in capturing bimodality, excess kurtosis, and skewness. Explicit expressions for the moment-generating function, mean, variance, skewness, and excess kurtosis were derived. The shape properties of the proposed distribution were investigated in regard to skewness, kurtosis, and bimodality. Maximum likelihood estimation was considered and an expression for the observed information matrix was provided. Illustrative examples using medical and financial data as well as simulated data from a mixture of normal distributions were worked.     

On the Bayes estimators of the parameters of size-biased generalized power series distributions

ABSTRACT

In this paper, we derive the Bayes estimators of functions of parameters of the size-biased generalized power series distribution under squared error loss function and weighted square error loss function. The results of size-biased GPSD are then used to obtain particular cases of the size-biased negative binomial, size-biased logarithmic series, and size-biased Poisson distributions. These estimators are better than the classical minimum variance unbiased estimators in the sense that they increase the range of the estimation. Finally, an example is provided to illustrate the results and a goodness of fit test is done using the maximum likelihood and Bayes estimators.     

Parallel tempering for dynamic generalized linear models

ABSTRACT

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods can be used for statistical inference. The methods are time-consuming due to time-vary. To resolve these problems, parallel tempering (PT), as a parallel MCMC method, is tried, for dynamic generalized linear models (DGLMs), as well as the several optimal properties of our proposed method. In PT, two or more samples are drawn at the same time, and samples can exchange information with each other. We also present some simulations of the DGLMs in the case and provide two applications of Poisson-type DGLMs in financial research.     

Ranked set sampling with concomitant variables

Ranked set sampling is a procedure which may be used to improve the precision of the estimator of the mean. It is useful in cases where the variable of interest is much more difficult to measure than to order. However, even if ordering is difficult, but there is an easily ranked concomitant variable available, then it may be used to “judgment order” the original variable. The amount of increase in the precision of the estimator is dependent upon the correlation between the 2 variables.