Adjusted Supremum Score‐Type Statistics for Evaluating Non‐Standard Hypotheses

Supremum score test statistics are often used to evaluate hypotheses with unidentifiable nuisance parameters under the null hypothesis. Although these statistics provide an attractive framework to address non‐identifiability under the null hypothesis, little attention has been paid to their distributional properties in small to moderate sample size settings. In situations where there are identifiable nuisance parameters under the null hypothesis, these statistics may behave erratically in realistic samples as a result of a non‐negligible bias induced by substituting these nuisance parameters by their estimates under the null hypothesis. In this paper, we propose an adjustment to the supremum score statistics by subtracting the expected bias from the score processes and show that this adjustment does not alter the limiting null distribution of the supremum score statistics. Using a simple example from the class of zero‐inflated regression models for count data, we show empirically and theoretically that the adjusted tests are superior in terms of size and power. The practical utility of this methodology is illustrated using count data in HIV research.     

Overview of Friedman’s Test and Post-hoc Analysis

When the null hypothesis of Friedman’s test is rejected, there is a wide variety of multiple comparisons that can be used to determine which treatments differ from each other. We will discuss the contexts where different multiple comparisons should be applied, when the population follows some discrete distributions commonly used to model count data in biological and ecological fields. Our simulation study shows that sign test is very conservative. Fisher’s LSD and Tukey’s HSD tests computed with ranks are the most liberal. Theoretical considerations are illustrated with data of the Azores Buzzard (Buteo buteo rothschildi) population from Azores, Portugal.     

屋顶安装光伏太阳能板风荷载试验研究

针对利用屋顶铺设光伏太阳能板的光伏发电项目中,光伏太阳能板对屋顶风荷载的影响问题,采用刚性模型测压试验,得到安装光伏太阳能板屋顶的风压和未安装光伏太阳能板屋顶的风压。分别计算两种情况下屋顶风压系数均值、风压系数正向极值、风压系数负向极值以及屋顶局部体型系数。结果表明,安装光伏太阳能板对屋顶整体风荷载的影响不大,但增大了局部的最强风吸力;安装在屋顶的太阳能光伏板体型系数随位置变化不敏感,取值均在正负0.2之间。     

资源型城市下岗失业人员就业吸纳问题——以阜新市为例

资源型工矿业城市的再就业形势十分严峻.本文以阜新市为例,在分析资源型工矿业城市面临的困境和失业的原因的基础上,探讨了这类城市如何尽可能的吸纳下岗失业人员.     

Robust inference for predictability in smooth transition predictive regressions

This article provides a novel test for predictability within a nonlinear smooth transition predictive regression (STPR) model where inference is complicated due not only to the presence of persistent, local to unit root, predictors, and endogeneity but also the presence of unidentified parameters under the null of no predictability. In order to circumvent the unidentified parameters problem, t? statistic for the predictor in the STPR model is optimized over the Cartesian product of the spaces for the transition and threshold parameters; and to address the di?culties due to persistent and endogenous predictors, the instrumental variable (IVX) method originally developed in the linear cointegration testing framework is adopted within the STPR model. Limit distribution of this statistic (i.e., sup?t^IVX test) is shown to be nuisance parameter-free and robust to the local to unit root and endogenous regressors. Simulations show that sup?t^IVX has good size and power properties. An application to stock return predictability reveals presence of asymmetric regime-dependence and variability in the strength and size of predictability across asset-related (e.g., dividend/price ratio) vs. other (e.g., default yield spread) predictors.     

日本行政裁判权的范围与司法审查特例研究

行政裁判权历来是行政诉讼法学研究的核心问题;也是一国行政审判实践中至关重要的问题。本文就较有代表性与特殊性的日本行政裁判权的范围、司法审查特别领域即:法令、国家考试、最高法院规则、条约展开论述,以期对我国相关理论与实践提供一些参考。     

我国货币政策区域效应实证研究

运用Granger(格兰杰)因果关系检验方法及VAR(向量自回归)模型检验我国货币供应量对各地区产出和物价的影响,定量描述货币政策的区域效应,分析货币政策传导机制在形成货币政策区域效应中的作用。     

我国通货膨胀率动态波动路径的结构性转变特征与统计检验

本文运用参数稳定性检验方法研究我国通货膨胀率的动态变化路径,发现我国通货膨胀率序列具有明显的结构转变特征;利用包含结构转变点的最小二乘估计方法,获得了我国通货膨胀率的结构转变点估计和区间估计;结合我国宏观经济运行事实,分析并刻画了具有结构转变特征的通货膨胀率动态过程,准确地给出自1984年以来的两次高通货膨胀区间.     

陶瓷零件快速成型机的改进设计

在层和速凝技术原理的基础上，研制出一种适合陶瓷零件的快速成型设备，但该设备存在刚性不足，变形较大等 问题，为了解决该问题，对铺料台升降装置进行了改进，将铺料台单边支撑改为中间对称支撑方式，改进后的陶瓷零件快 速成型机加强了运行的可靠性和平稳性。在此基础上对设备的的特点、技术参数和适用范围进行了说明，并以制备 95A1203陶瓷凸轮件为例，对成型过程进行了实验，得到成型样品，在电镜下进行SEM测试，结果表明：烧结后样品层间 无分层迹象，说明样品已经烧结为一体，材料黏合程度符合要求；与传统陶瓷零件成型设备相比，新型陶瓷件快速成型机 提高了加工效率，降低了生产成本，达到了经济实用的目的。