首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
文章检索
  按 检索   检索词:      
出版年份:   被引次数:   他引次数: 提示:输入*表示无穷大
  收费全文   4155篇
  免费   126篇
  国内免费   24篇
管理学   199篇
民族学   5篇
人才学   1篇
人口学   13篇
丛书文集   97篇
理论方法论   32篇
综合类   1099篇
社会学   34篇
统计学   2825篇
  2024年   2篇
  2023年   20篇
  2022年   25篇
  2021年   29篇
  2020年   74篇
  2019年   90篇
  2018年   144篇
  2017年   208篇
  2016年   140篇
  2015年   127篇
  2014年   142篇
  2013年   1076篇
  2012年   398篇
  2011年   184篇
  2010年   166篇
  2009年   166篇
  2008年   181篇
  2007年   160篇
  2006年   123篇
  2005年   125篇
  2004年   113篇
  2003年   86篇
  2002年   65篇
  2001年   80篇
  2000年   74篇
  1999年   53篇
  1998年   36篇
  1997年   42篇
  1996年   25篇
  1995年   22篇
  1994年   17篇
  1993年   17篇
  1992年   10篇
  1991年   8篇
  1990年   14篇
  1989年   7篇
  1988年   9篇
  1987年   8篇
  1986年   3篇
  1985年   5篇
  1984年   6篇
  1983年   6篇
  1982年   5篇
  1981年   1篇
  1980年   4篇
  1979年   1篇
  1978年   1篇
  1977年   4篇
  1976年   1篇
  1975年   2篇
排序方式: 共有4305条查询结果,搜索用时 46 毫秒
31.
Several methods exist for the problem of testing the equality of several treatments against the one-sided alternative that the treatments are better than the control. These methods include Dunnett's test, Bartholomew's likelihood-ratio test, the Abelson-Tukey-Schaafsma-Smid optimal-contrast test, and the multiple-contrast test of Mukerjee, Robertson, and Wright. A new test is proposed based on an approximation of the likelihood-ratio test of Bartholomew. This test involves using a circular cone in place of the alternative-hypothesis cone. The circular-cone test has excellent power characteristics similar to those of Bartholomew's test. Moreover, it has the advantages of being simpler to compute and may be used with unequal sample sizes.  相似文献   
32.
语言知识、策略能力和情绪等心理和社会特征在语言使用中交互作用,并对语言沟通能力产生影响。文章采用定量与定性方法对其预测性及内部关联加以实证。研究发现二者关联度很强,元认知策略对绩效预测力显著强于认知策略。认知与元认知策略呈现相互嵌套模式,相同加工行动在不同情境中由于履行功能差异而转换角色。  相似文献   
33.
为提供泰乐松注射液的安全性毒理学评价资料,本试验采用改进Karber法测定小鼠LD_(50);以剂量递增法测定小鼠蓄积性和耐受性;分别以剂量340、130、30mg/kg为3个试验组.设阴性和阳性对照组进行小鼠骨髓微核试验;分别以剂量500、250、120mg/kg为3个剂量组.设阴性和阳性对照组进行小鼠精于畸形试验。结果表明:其LD_(50)为669.80mg/kg,蓄积系数大于5.3,无明显蓄积毒性和耐受性(P>0.05),小鼠骨髓微核试验和精子畸形试验结果均为阴性。  相似文献   
34.
We consider testing inference in inflated beta regressions subject to model misspecification. In particular, quasi-z tests based on sandwich covariance matrix estimators are described and their finite sample behavior is investigated via Monte Carlo simulations. The numerical evidence shows that quasi-z testing inference can be considerably more accurate than inference made through the usual z tests, especially when there is model misspecification. Interval estimation is also considered. We also present an empirical application that uses real (not simulated) data.  相似文献   
35.
为了开发大型贯流式水轮发电机组径向轴承,在试验台上采用了360的模型轴承对1740可倾6瓦块原型轴承进行模拟试验研究,最高试验比压3.37 MPa、最低线速度3.77 m/s、最高线速度22.62 m/s。试验表明:载荷、进油压力、转速、进油温度和安装间隙比等,对轴承油温升、油流量、功耗、瓦温及油膜厚度等都存在不同程度的影响,其中载荷和转速的影响比较显著。按照模型轴承指导设计的红岩子机组1740轴承已在电站可靠运行,同时开发了径向轴承热弹流计算程序,可以预测径向轴承的油膜压力、油膜温度、油膜厚度、损耗、流量等参数。  相似文献   
36.
To assess the influence of observations on the parameter estimates, case deletion diagnostics are commonly used in linear regression models. For linear models with correlated errors we study the influence of observations on testing a linear hypothesis using single and multiple case deletions. The change in likelihood ratio test and F test theoretically is derived and it is shown these tests to be completely determined by two proposed generalized externally studentized residuals. An illustrative example of a real data set is also reported.  相似文献   
37.
In the recovery of interblock information to improve the treatment differences estimates in incomplete block designs, the parameter p is usually unknown. Many authors have worked on the problem of estimating it and of studying its properties together with the properties of the treatment differences estimates. In this paper a numerically efficient algorithm is developed which yields the maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) of all the parameters in the mixed incomplete block design model (treatment effects, ρ and variance)  相似文献   
38.
One of the standard variable selection procedures in multiple linear regression is to use a penalisation technique in least‐squares (LS) analysis. In this setting, many different types of penalties have been introduced to achieve variable selection. It is well known that LS analysis is sensitive to outliers, and consequently outliers can present serious problems for the classical variable selection procedures. Since rank‐based procedures have desirable robustness properties compared to LS procedures, we propose a rank‐based adaptive lasso‐type penalised regression estimator and a corresponding variable selection procedure for linear regression models. The proposed estimator and variable selection procedure are robust against outliers in both response and predictor space. Furthermore, since rank regression can yield unstable estimators in the presence of multicollinearity, in order to provide inference that is robust against multicollinearity, we adjust the penalty term in the adaptive lasso function by incorporating the standard errors of the rank estimator. The theoretical properties of the proposed procedures are established and their performances are investigated by means of simulations. Finally, the estimator and variable selection procedure are applied to the Plasma Beta‐Carotene Level data set.  相似文献   
39.
It is essential to test the goodness of fit of the model before making inferences based on it. Multilevel modeling of ordinal categorical responses is not as developed as for continuous responses. Assessing model adequacy in terms of the goodness of fit with ordinal categorical responses is still being developed and no satisfactory tests are available so far. As a consequence of that, this study concentrates on developing such a goodness of fit test for Multilevel Proportional Odds models and to study the properties of the test.  相似文献   
40.
Toxicologists and pharmacologists often describe toxicity of a chemical using parameters of a nonlinear regression model. Thus estimation of parameters of a nonlinear regression model is an important problem. The estimates of the parameters and their uncertainty estimates depend upon the underlying error variance structure in the model. Typically, a priori the researcher would not know if the error variances are homoscedastic (i.e., constant across dose) or if they are heteroscedastic (i.e., the variance is a function of dose). Motivated by this concern, in this paper we introduce an estimation procedure based on preliminary test which selects an appropriate estimation procedure accounting for the underlying error variance structure. Since outliers and influential observations are common in toxicological data, the proposed methodology uses M-estimators. The asymptotic properties of the preliminary test estimator are investigated; in particular its asymptotic covariance matrix is derived. The performance of the proposed estimator is compared with several standard estimators using simulation studies. The proposed methodology is also illustrated using a data set obtained from the National Toxicology Program.  相似文献   
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号