大学生消费调查分析

根据江苏科技大学402名大学生的消费抽样调查资料,分析了大学生消费的差异及原因,通过建立Logistic回归模型证实了家庭收入差别是引发学生消费差异的根本因素,同时针对目前大学生消费的一些不合理现象,提出了引导大学生消费需加强荣辱观教育和理财知识教育的建议。     

“长三角”文化的远古溯源──远古时期“长三角”文化研究综述

根据考古材料,专家们对南京汤山和太湖三山岛等地的旧石器时代文化遗存进行了细致梳理,刻画了远古"长三角"地区人类生存状况以及人类迁徙的大致轨迹。学者们对"长三角"地区新石器文化发展序列基本形成共识,依次为:马家浜文化→崧泽文化→良渚文化;其它年代较远且影响较大的有苏州草鞋山和余姚河姆渡文化遗址,目前学界对"河姆渡文化"与"马家浜文化"关系的表述不一。笔者认为,良渚文化后出现的"南京湖熟文化"和"上海马桥文化"与商周时期作为"长三角"主体文化的吴越文化有着直接的渊源关系,但有关这两种文化对后世的影响,见仁见智。     

美术专业学生英语学习策略研究

近年来,关于各类学生群体的学习策略的研究硕果累累,但关于美术专业学生英语学习策略使用状况的研究却鲜有人问津。对湖北美术学院美术专业学生的英语学习策略使用情况进行了调查,旨在探究美术专业学生英语学习策略的使用情况和特点,以期为艺术学生的大学英语教学与研究提供参考。     

Semiparametric Bayesian classification with longitudinal markers

Summary.  We analyse data from a study involving 173 pregnant women. The data are observed values of the β human chorionic gonadotropin hormone measured during the first 80 days of gestational age, including from one up to six longitudinal responses for each woman. The main objective in this study is to predict normal versus abnormal pregnancy outcomes from data that are available at the early stages of pregnancy. We achieve the desired classification with a semiparametric hierarchical model. Specifically, we consider a Dirichlet process mixture prior for the distribution of the random effects in each group. The unknown random-effects distributions are allowed to vary across groups but are made dependent by using a design vector to select different features of a single underlying random probability measure. The resulting model is an extension of the dependent Dirichlet process model, with an additional probability model for group classification. The model is shown to perform better than an alternative model which is based on independent Dirichlet processes for the groups. Relevant posterior distributions are summarized by using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods.     

CHARACTERIZATION OF EFFICIENT SEQUENTIAL SCHEMES FOR POPULATION GROWTH MODELS1

For population growth models, which include standard processes like Poisson, birth, birth-death, immigration-death, simple epidemic and M/M/1 queue as particular cases, we obtain efficient sequential schemes and characterize all efficiently estimable functions of the parameters by first deriving a sequential version of the information inequality.     

When police patrols matter. The effect of police proximity on citizens’ crime risk perception

Crime risk perception is known to be an important determinant of individual well-being. It is therefore crucial that we understand the factors affecting this perception so that governments can identify the (public) policies that might reduce it. Among such policies, public resources devoted to policing emerge as a key instrument not only for tackling criminal activity but also for impacting on citizens’ crime risk perception. In this framework, the aim of this study is to analyze both the individual and neighbourhood determinants of citizens’ crime risk perception in the City of Barcelona (Spain) focusing on the effect of police proximity and taking into account the spatial aspects of neighbourhood characteristics. After controlling for the possible problems of the endogeneity of police forces and crime risk perception and the potential sorting of individuals across neighbourhoods, the results indicate that crime risk perception is reduced when non-victims exogenously interact with police forces. Moreover, neighbourhood variables, such as proxies of social capital and the level of incivilities, together with individual characteristics have an impact on citizens’ crime risk perception.     

蒋杰与20世纪二三十年代的中国农村调查

20世纪二三十年代,中国农村调查和研究蔚然成风,蒋杰是这次农村调查运动的典范。他身体力行,深入农村进行实地调查,显示了“用脚做研究“的实证研究的作风。其调查内容广博而丰富,涵盖人口、自然环境、教育等各个方面,并意图以精确的调查分析中国农村的症结,以求达到改良农村的目的。这些调查推动了中国农村调查研究的本土化进程,使我们对民国乡村社会及其诸多问题有了更为深入的了解,同时也对现阶段的新农村建设具有重要的现实借鉴作用。     

2001年以来国内生态翻译学研究综述

生态翻译学是从生态视角对翻译进行综观的整体性研究。它肇始于中国,发轫于2001年。生态翻译学填补了译学“生态维度”的系统研究空缺,促进了中国翻译理论的发展。本文分两个阶段回顾了2001年以来中国生态翻译学的研究状况,就其发展历程、研究队伍、研究方法和研究内容进行纵向总结研究;就存在的问题或缺陷进行了剖析;对生态翻译学的未来研究提出了一些建设性意见,指出未来生态翻译学研究要加强理论研究的系统性、拓展应用研究的深度、完善研究方法和壮大研究队伍,培养领军人物;期望能够对当前和未来的生态翻译学研究提供参考。     

基于CMS模型的中国光伏产品出口波动研究

随着全球新能源产业的发展,中国的光伏产业发展迅速。中国已成为光伏产品的出口大国,但由于核心技术缺乏等原因,目前仍无法成为出口强国。以近六年光伏产品的出口数据为基础,运用CMS模型进行分析,指出中国光伏产品出口存在的不足以及波动的影响因素,为切实提高中国光伏产品的出口竞争力,优化出口市场结构,实现中国光伏产业的持续健康发展提供理论基础。     

Planners' Perspectives on Obstacles to Sustainable Urban Development: Implications for Transformative Planning Strategies

A major problem confronting planning is the gap between transformative proposals and enduring urban development trends. The paper interprets interviews with 62 planners involved in a sustainable urban development strategy in a large region focussed on Toronto, Canada. Surveyed planners were asked about the obstacles they encounter when attempting to modify prevailing urban development. Mentioned obstacles are consistent with expectations arising from three major perspectives on inertia: institutionalism, political economy and path dependence. Interviews also highlight the role of planners' practical knowledge in identifying and interpreting obstacles, and the existence of a consensus among respondents over sustainable urban development.