Replication: Revisiting Tversky and Shafir’s (1992) Disjunction Effect with an extension comparing between and within subject designs

Does uncertainty about an outcome influence decisions? The sure-thing principle (Savage, 1954) posits that it should not, but Tversky and Shafir (1992) found that people regularly violate it in hypothetical gambling and vacation decisions, a phenomenon they termed “disjunction effect”. Very close replications and extensions of Tversky and Shafir (1992) were conducted in this paper (N = 890, MTurk). The target article demonstrated the effect using two paradigms in a between-subject design: here, an extension also testing a within-subject design, with design being randomly assigned was added. These results were consistent with the original findings for the “paying to know“ problem (original: Cramer’s V = 0.22, 95% (CI) [0.14, 0.32]; replication: Cramer’s V = 0.30, 95% CI [0.24, 0.37]), yet not for the “choice under risk” problem (original: Cramer’s V = 0.26, 95% CI [0.14, 0.39]; replication: Cramer’s V = 0.11, 95% CI [−0.07, 0.20]). The within-subject extension showed very similar results. Implications for the disjunction effect and judgment and decision-making theory are discussed, and a call for improvements on the statistical understanding of comparisons of between-subject and within-subject designs is introduced. All materials, data, and code are available on https://osf.io/gu58m/.     

The Structure of Social Cohesion: An Analysis of Its Levels and Dimensions in Mexico City1

This article aims to conceptualize and assess social cohesion in Mexico, taking into account their multilevel and multidimensional nature. To measure social cohesion levels and dimensions, we used the Social Welfare Survey (N = 2871) for the 16 municipalities in Mexico City. Then, we employed the distance method to construct a social cohesion index. In addition, we define social cohesion degrees (very high, high, medium, and low) to explore the relevance of each indicator. The findings suggest that the objective and subjective indicators at the meso‐level has the highest contribution, regardless of the territory or degrees of cohesion. This finding suggests that neighborhoods are well organized for solving everyday problems. Meanwhile, the willingness to help both friends and members of one’s network was not a priority, which can be explained by the suspicion toward other people and the prevalent economic conditions.     

高校工会为非编制人员维权服务的现状与策略创新研究 ——以S省高校为例

维护职工合法权益是工会的基本职责。近年来高校工会工作对象从编制内人员扩展到非编制人员,维权服务工作面临着新的问题和挑战。基于S省高校的抽样调查数据与深度访谈资料显示,各高校在签订劳动合同、缴纳社会保险等方面都能按照要求规范进行,能按时足额发放薪酬,有相应的制度和管理规范,非编制人员的基本权益得到了保障。各高校工会组织积极履职,提高非编制人员的组织化程度和维权意识,帮助他们反映合理诉求,维护和保障非编制人员的合法权益,保证了职工队伍的稳定和谐。但也存在着工会维权职能发挥不充分,法治方式运用不足;工会制度不到位,维权机制不健全;工会主动作为不够,作用发挥不充分等问题。因此,创新高校工会非编制人员维权工作,必须加强法治思维,树立依法维权的理念;加强制度建设,完善工会维权机制;加强人文关怀,发挥工会桥梁和纽带作用。     

“A stitch in time”: group work during the covid-19 scare in the Nicobar Islands,India

ABSTRACT

When India suddenly went into its first coronavirus-induced nationwide lockdown in March 2020, several members of a historically isolated indigenous community in the eastern Indian ocean- the Nicobarese, began to panic. Their leaders came together and formed a group to boost community solidarity and helped the vulnerable indigenes to safely navigate through the crisis. In these uncertain times of Covid-19, when the “modern” world appears more fissured than ever, leaving its “others” to fend for themselves; the Nicobarese’s group has set an example for everyone to follow.     

当代中国公共经济体制的功能目标及其构建原则

公共经济体制作为处理公共经济中各方面当事人之间责任分工、权力配置和利益分配的规则体系,其科学性高低,不仅对于公共经济生产力能否有效发挥、公共经济资源能否合理配置和整个公共经济体能否健康持续发展至关重要,而且还会对整个混合经济体的动力、活力和国际竞争力产生关键性作用。从公共经济学角度考察,国家治理体系和治理能力现代化的实质乃是公共经济管理的现代化,而公共经济体制的科学化是公共经济管理现代化的核心和基础,因而推进国家治理体系和治理能力现代化需要完善的公共经济体制为根基。构建一整套系统完备的公共经济体制,更需要按照科学的功能目标和正确的指导原则加以统筹设计,才能取得良好的治理效果。     

儒家文化与可持续发展

可持续发展已成为全球人类所面临的最为紧迫的问题。儒家文化中的可持续发展思想,即强调道德理性和理想人格的修炼、加强对可持续发展的主体--人的改造,以及其中庸之道与“天人合一”、普遍和谐的思想,对于建立人类的普遍伦理,改善人类生存环境,提高人们的人文道德素质,解决社会群体之间的矛盾,实现经济、社会和环境的可持续发展具有深远意义。     

薛福成法律思想述略

薛福成基于对时势的认识,提出"宜变古以就今"的变法观,为了维护国家主权和利权,倡导振兴商务,发展民族资本主义工商业,改良国家政治体制,注重研究公法和培养外交人才,以掌握西人的"富强之术".薛福成的法律观具有重要思想价值和启迪意义.     

中国共产党第三代领导集体民族理论是马克思主义民族理论在中国发展的新阶段--中国共产党第三代领导集体民族理论研究之十四

中国共产党第三代领导集体的民族理论,继承和发展了马克思主义民族理论,是马克思主义民族理论在中国发展的新阶段.本文主要论述了关于少数民族地区经济发展和改革开放的理论、关于培养少数民族干部和民族工作理论、关于少数民族地区社会事业发展理论等方面的继承和发展.     

明清时期国家与社会关系转型境遇下的回族社区——以历史上西安回族社区文化变迁为视点

本文以历史上西安回族社区为视点,运用人类学的理论和方法,在明清时期国家与社会关系转型的境遇下,分析了回族社区文化的变迁.     

明清回族进士考略(一)

本文简略考证了明清时期顺天府、直隶所属州县 29位回族进士的生平、事迹,重点提供了他们为回族的根据,以为进一步深入研究的线索。