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11.
Summary Weak disintegrations are investigated from various points of view. Kolmogorov's definition of conditional probability is critically
analysed, and it is noted how the notion of disintegrability plays some role in connecting Kolmogorov's definition with the
one given in line with de Finetti's coherence principle. Conditions are given, on the domain of a prevision, implying the
equivalence between weak disintegrability and conglomerability. Moreover, weak sintegrations are characterized in terms of
coherence, in de Finetti's sense, of, a suitable function. This fact enables us to give, an interpretation of weak disintegrability
as a form of “preservation of coherence”. The previous results are also applied to a hypothetical inferential problem. In
particular, an inference is shown to be coherent, in the sense of Heath and Sudderth, if and only if a suitable function is
coherent, in de Finetti's sense.
Research partially supported by: M.U.R.S.T. 40% “Problemi di inferenza pura”. 相似文献
12.
Feng Xinhai 《佛山科学技术学院学报(社会科学版)》1993,(2)
介绍了在工程界已广泛应用的信号分析诊断及尚停留在实验室探索的裂纹分析诊断,模糊分析诊断的工作原理和应用实例。 相似文献
13.
Assessing accuracy of a continuous screening test in the presence of verification bias 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
Todd A. Alonzo Margaret Sullivan Pepe 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics》2005,54(1):173-190
Summary. In studies to assess the accuracy of a screening test, often definitive disease assessment is too invasive or expensive to be ascertained on all the study subjects. Although it may be more ethical or cost effective to ascertain the true disease status with a higher rate in study subjects where the screening test or additional information is suggestive of disease, estimates of accuracy can be biased in a study with such a design. This bias is known as verification bias. Verification bias correction methods that accommodate screening tests with binary or ordinal responses have been developed; however, no verification bias correction methods exist for tests with continuous results. We propose and compare imputation and reweighting bias-corrected estimators of true and false positive rates, receiver operating characteristic curves and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for continuous tests. Distribution theory and simulation studies are used to compare the proposed estimators with respect to bias, relative efficiency and robustness to model misspecification. The bias correction estimators proposed are applied to data from a study of screening tests for neonatal hearing loss. 相似文献
14.
Marco Bee 《Statistical Methods and Applications》2005,14(1):127-141
In this article we provide a rigorous treatment of one of the central statistical issues of credit risk management. GivenK-1 rating categories, the rating of a corporate bond over a certain horizon may either stay the same or change to one of the
remainingK-2 categories; in addition, it is usually the case that the rating of some bonds is withdrawn during the time interval considered
in the analysis. When estimating transition probabilities, we have thus to consider aK-th category, called withdrawal, which contains (partially) missing data. We show how maximum likelihood estimation can be
performed in this setup; whereas in discrete time our solution gives rigorous support to a solution often used in applications,
in continuous time the maximum likelihood estimator of the transition matrix computed by means of the EM algorithm represents
a significant improvement over existing methods. 相似文献
15.
Kepher Henry Makambi 《Statistical Methods and Applications》2002,11(1):127-138
The standard hypothesis testing procedure in meta-analysis (or multi-center clinical trials) in the absence of treatment-by-center
interaction relies on approximating the null distribution of the standard test statistic by a standard normal distribution.
For relatively small sample sizes, the standard procedure has been shown by various authors to have poor control of the type
I error probability, leading to too many liberal decisions. In this article, two test procedures are proposed, which rely
on thet—distribution as the reference distribution. A simulation study indicates that the proposed procedures attain significance
levels closer to the nominal level compared with the standard procedure. 相似文献
16.
研究了在动态业务量时,可调谐光收发器和波长变换器对生存性WDM网络性能的影响。通过在NSFNET、CERNET、MESH-TORUS网络中的仿真,又从网络阻塞率方面研究了两者对WDM网络性能的影响。研究结果表明,在业务量为动态的生存性WDM网络中,可调谐光收发器和波长变换器对网络的性能都有显著的提高,但波长变换器对网络性能的改善要大于可调谐光收发器。 相似文献
17.
介绍了用间接频率合成器(IS)、数字波形发生器以及程控衰减器等构成的标准信号源,该信号源只要加上功率放大器,即可实现电力检测仪表最先进的校验技术中的程控标准功率源。整个系统以单片机为控制核心,实现了频率、相位、幅值的数显及步进调整。 相似文献
18.
应用结构模式识别的方法建立多阶均线形态组合序列通过对股市历史数据的变换和分析考查各形态组合序列对应的盈利和亏损概率建立新的证券投资分析方法即均线形态组合预测法其优点是可以部分弥补传统技术分析中的滞后性和不确定性能根据市场的变化及时调整相应的参数指标有效提高预测的成功率并易用计算机作出识别 相似文献
19.
Grard Letac 《Revue canadienne de statistique》1991,19(2):229-232
This note exhibits two independent random variables on integers, X1 and X2, such that neither X1 nor X2 has a generalized Poisson distribution, but X1 + X2 has. This contradicts statements made by Professor Consul in his recent book. 相似文献
20.
EVE BOFINGER 《Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics》1994,36(1):59-66
Various authors, given k location parameters, have considered lower confidence bounds on (standardized) dserences between the largest and each of the other k - 1 parameters. They have then used these bounds to put lower confidence bounds on the probability of correct selection (PCS) in the same experiment (as was used for finding the lower bounds on differences). It is pointed out that this is an inappropriate inference procedure. Moreover, if the PCS refers to some later experiment it is shown that if a non-trivial confidence bound is possible then it is already possible to conclude, with greater confidence, that correct selection has occurred in the first experiment. The short answer to the question in the title is therefore ‘No’, but this should be qualified in the case of a Bayesian analysis. 相似文献