全文获取类型
收费全文 | 1828篇 |
免费 | 53篇 |
国内免费 | 22篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 222篇 |
民族学 | 1篇 |
人口学 | 24篇 |
丛书文集 | 38篇 |
理论方法论 | 80篇 |
综合类 | 525篇 |
社会学 | 14篇 |
统计学 | 999篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 1篇 |
2023年 | 8篇 |
2022年 | 8篇 |
2021年 | 11篇 |
2020年 | 36篇 |
2019年 | 48篇 |
2018年 | 56篇 |
2017年 | 104篇 |
2016年 | 52篇 |
2015年 | 53篇 |
2014年 | 48篇 |
2013年 | 380篇 |
2012年 | 133篇 |
2011年 | 57篇 |
2010年 | 71篇 |
2009年 | 65篇 |
2008年 | 76篇 |
2007年 | 75篇 |
2006年 | 79篇 |
2005年 | 65篇 |
2004年 | 53篇 |
2003年 | 45篇 |
2002年 | 44篇 |
2001年 | 44篇 |
2000年 | 27篇 |
1999年 | 29篇 |
1998年 | 16篇 |
1997年 | 20篇 |
1996年 | 26篇 |
1995年 | 29篇 |
1994年 | 17篇 |
1993年 | 19篇 |
1992年 | 22篇 |
1991年 | 14篇 |
1990年 | 8篇 |
1989年 | 9篇 |
1988年 | 14篇 |
1987年 | 8篇 |
1986年 | 5篇 |
1985年 | 6篇 |
1984年 | 5篇 |
1983年 | 3篇 |
1982年 | 2篇 |
1981年 | 4篇 |
1980年 | 3篇 |
1979年 | 1篇 |
1978年 | 1篇 |
1977年 | 2篇 |
1975年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有1903条查询结果,搜索用时 265 毫秒
181.
In this paper, we consider noninformative priors for the ratio of variances in two normal populations. We develop first and
second order matching priors. We find that the second order matching prior matches alternative coverage probabilities up to
the second order and is also a HPD matching prior. It turns out that among the reference priors, only one-at-a-time reference
prior satisfies a second order matching criterion. Our simulation study indicates that the one-at-a-time reference prior performs
better than other reference priors in terms of matching the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense.
This work is supported by Korea Research Foundation Grant (KRF-2004-002-C00041). 相似文献
182.
Milton W. Loyer 《The American statistician》2013,67(1):57-59
This article examines some improperly stated but often used textbook probability problems. Moving from a probabilistic to a statistical setting provides insight into group testing (i.e., observing only whether one or more of a group responds and not the response of each individual). Exact methods are used to construct tables showing (i) that group testing n times to estimate p can be more efficient than n individual tests even for small n and large p, (ii) optimal grouping strategies for various (n, p) combinations, and (iii) the efficiencies and biases achieved. 相似文献
183.
Staphylococcus aureus is a gram-positive, enterotoxin-producing coccus. It is a hardy organism and known to survive over a wide range of water activities, pH values, and temperatures. The objective of this study was to model the survival or gradual inactivation of S. aureus ATCC 13565 in intermediate moisture foods (IMFs). Various initial concentrations (approximately 10(1), 10(2), 10(3), and 10(4) CFU/g) were used to inoculate three different IMFs (beefsteak, bread, and chicken pockets). Viable counts were determined up to 60 days using tryptic soy agar. Inoculum size did not influence the survival or gradual inactivation of S. aureus in these foods. The rate of change (increase or decrease) in log CFU/day was calculated for every consecutive pair of data points and by linear regression for each inactivation curve. Both consecutive pair and linear regression rates of change were fit to logistic distributions (with parameters alpha and beta) for each food. Based on the distribution parameters, survival or gradual inactivation of S. aureus was predicted by computer simulation. The simulations indicated an overall decline in S. aureus population over time, although a small fraction of samples in the consecutive pair simulation showed a slight population increase even after 60 days, consistent with the observed data. Simulation results were compared to predictions from other computer models. The models of Stewart et al., were fail-safe, predicting the possibility of significant growth only after > 3,000 days. The USDA pathogen modeling program predictions were found to be fail-dangerous, predicting declines at least four times faster than observed. 相似文献
184.
论非公有制企业和谐稳定劳资关系的必要性和可能性 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
我国劳资关系紧张现状不容忽视,解决这一问题的前提是充分认识建立和谐劳资关系的必要性和可能性。文章从社会主义初级阶段的国情、非公有制企业与国家经济发展的需要等方面论证了非公有制企业中建立和谐稳定劳资关系的必要性;从现阶段我国劳资双方统一性为主的现实与中外劳资关系协调的历史两个方面探讨了建立和谐稳定劳资关系的可能性。 相似文献
185.
Minimax estimation of a binomial probability under LINEX loss function is considered. It is shown that no equalizer estimator
is available in the statistical decision problem under consideration. It is pointed out that the problem can be solved by
determining the Bayes estimator with respect to a least favorable distribution having finite support. In this situation, the
optimal estimator and the least favorable distribution can be determined only by using numerical methods. Some properties
of the minimax estimators and the corresponding least favorable prior distributions are provided depending on the parameters
of the loss function. The properties presented are exploited in computing the minimax estimators and the least favorable distributions.
The results obtained can be applied to determine minimax estimators of a cumulative distribution function and minimax estimators
of a survival function. 相似文献
186.
We study the properties of truncated gamma distributions and we derive simulation algorithms which dominate the standard algorithms for these distributions. For the right truncated gamma distribution, an optimal accept–reject algorithm is based on the fact that its density can be expressed as an infinite mixture of beta distribution. For integer values of the parameters, the density of the left truncated distributions can be rewritten as a mixture which can be easily generated. We give an optimal accept–reject algorithm for the other values of the parameter. We compare the efficiency of our algorithm with the previous method and show the improvement in terms of minimum acceptance probability. The algorithm proposed here has an acceptance probability which is superior to e/4. 相似文献
187.
188.
等概率原则是多阶段随机抽样过程中必须体现的原则。通过对分立式多阶段随机抽样方式的分析 ,发现在其随机抽样过程中存在着违背等概率原则的问题。据此 ,提出综合式多阶段随机抽样的方式 相似文献
189.
杨绍慧 《长江大学学报(社会科学版)》2003,(2)
讨论了Fibonacci序列的一些性质 ,得到Fibonacci序列与自然数序列的某些概率联系 .同时 ,讨论了Mersenne序列的概率性质 ,并得到与Fibonacci序列相似的一些概率联系 . 相似文献
190.
Recent experimental studies have focused on fitting parameterized functional forms to cumulative prospect theory's weighting function. This paper examines the behavioral implications of the functional forms and the estimated parameters. We find that none of the parameterizations can simultaneously account for gambling on unlikely gains and the Allais paradox behavior or other strong choice patterns from experiments. Parameter estimates that lead to reasonable amounts of insurance and gambling behavior tend to also generate large risk premia. Taken as a whole, the analysis suggests that the functional forms proposed in the literature are not suitable for generalization to applied settings. 相似文献