小波分析在管理数据处理中的应用

提出了一种基于小波变换的管理数据处理方法，把公司管理上的数据看成一个非平稳的时间序列，利用小渡函数将该时间序列分解到不同的频率通道上，然后将分解后的信号当作近似的平稳时间序列，用一些传统的统计方法进行预测，同时对中国足球彩票若干期的销售量数据进行了处理和预测，并将结果与实际销量以及用传统的AR模型的预测值进行了比较。     

《中华苏维埃共和国宪法》的再探讨

长期以来 ,史学界忽视了中华苏维埃共和国成立时 ,制定的《中华苏维埃共和国宪法》 ,极个别学者虽然引起了注意 ,但错误地把它混同于当时制定的《中华苏维埃共和国宪法草案》 ,我们认为《中华苏维埃共和国宪法》的存在是不容置疑的 ,1 931年 2月前 ,由中共中央和共产国际远东局共同起草 ,由于苏维埃政权当时还局限于中国的局部地区 ,故未提交“一苏大”讨论     

成都市民旅游感应空间研究

旅游感应强度是研究旅游感应空间的一个角度。通过对《成都晚报》“旅游”专刊最近 6年的统计 ,得到全国 34个省级行政区及四川省内分地区作为旅游目的地的出现频次 ,以此频次来表征成都市民对国内及省内旅游目的地的感应强度。利用感应强度从省际和省内不同尺度揭示了成都市民旅游感应空间的特点 ,并发现旅游感应空间的一些新特征     

无理数e在电路基本理论中出现的物理意义

对无理数e在电路分析中出现的几个典型例子作了分析讨论，明确指出：由1／e决定的特征常数可以在时间分布上和空间分布上，把一个按指数规律非均匀变化的问题，用一个等效的均匀变化的问题来表示；可以反映初始变化率与最终稳定值之间的联系；可以更深刻地反映某些物理过程的本质特征。     

Spatial variation in soil inorganic nitrogen across an arid urban ecosystem

We explored variations in inorganic soil nitrogen (N) concentrations across metropolitan Phoenix, Arizona, and the surrounding desert using a probability-based synoptic survey. Data were examined using spatial statistics on the entire region, as well as for the desert and urban sites separately. Concentrations of both NO₃-N and NH₄-N were markedly higher and more heterogeneous amongst urban compared to desert soils. Regional variation in soil NO₃-N concentration was best explained by latitude, land use history, population density, along with percent cover of impervious surfaces and lawn, whereas soil NH₄-N concentrations were related to only latitude and population density. Within the urban area, patterns in both soil NO₃-N and NH₄-N were best predicted by elevation, population density and type of irrigation in the surrounding neighborhood. Spatial autocorrelation of soil NO₃-N concentrations explained 49% of variation among desert sites but was absent between urban sites. We suggest that inorganic soil N concentrations are controlled by a number of ‘local’ or ‘neighborhood’ human-related drivers in the city, rather than factors related to an urban-rural gradient.     

测定小惯性热电偶时间常数新法

研究了用电加热法解决用于动态气流温度测量的小惯性热电偶时间常数的实验测定问题。提出采取在稳定气流场中用电加热热电偶然后迅速切断电源的方法 ,获取较为理想的负温度阶跃 ,进而由热电偶的阶跃响应曲线求得时间常数。设计了相应的设备 ,并进行了实验测定 ,获得了较好的结果。     

论创造性思维的时效性

创造性思维的时效是指创造性思维在一定的时间内所取得的思维成果。在追求创造性思维科学性的同时 ,力求其高效率是创造性思维的目的。我们要运用先进的思维工具 ,采用科学的思维方法 ,尽量减少创造性思维中的挫折和曲折 ,力戒不必要思维时间的浪费 ,以提高创造性思维的效率     

Simple detection of outlying short time series

Sets of relatively short time series arise in many situations. One aspect of their analysis may be the detection of outlying series. We examine the performance of standard normal outlier tests applied to the means, or to simple functions of the means, of AR(1) series, not necessarily of equal lengths. Although unequal lengths of series implies that the means have unequal variances, that are only known approximately, it is shown that nominal significance levels hold good under most circumstances. Thus a standard outlier test can usefully be applied, avoiding the complication of estimating the time series' parameters. The test's power is affected by unequal lengths, being higher when the slippage occurs in one of the longer series     

Examples of the use of an equivalence theorem in constructing optimum experimental designs for random-effects nonlinear regression models

The problem considered is that of finding an optimum measurement schedule to estimate population parameters in a nonlinear model when the patient effects are random. The paper presents examples of the use of sensitivity functions, derived from the General Equivalence Theorem for D-optimality, in the construction of optimum population designs for such schedules. With independent observations, the theorem applies to the potential inclusion of a single observation. However, in population designs the observations are correlated and the theorem applies to the inclusion of an additional measurement schedule. In one example, three groups of patients of differing size are subject to distinct schedules. Numerical, as opposed to analytical, calculation of the sensitivity function is advocated. The required covariances of the observations are found by simulation.     

马克思的劳动价值论及在新经济时代的发展

马克思的劳动价值理论不仅是科学的,而且避免了主流经济学关于供求变化与价格变化相互关系的混乱状况。在新经济时代坚持和发展马克思劳动价值理论,必须在正确理解马克思劳动价值理论的基础上结合新经济时代的实际进行理论创新。