Location and Scale Parameter Family of Distributions Attaining the Bhattacharyya Bound

It is well known that, under appropriate regularity conditions, the variance of an unbiased estimator of a real-valued function of an unknown parameter can coincide with the Cramér–Rao lower bound only if the family of distributions is a one-parameter exponential family. But it seems that the necessary conditions about the probability distribution for which there exists an unbiased estimator whose variance coincides with the Bhattacharyya lower bound are not completely known. The purpose of this paper is to specify the location, scale, and location-scale parameter family of distributions attaining the general order Bhattacharyya bound in certain class.     

On a Confidence Interval for the Mean of an Asymmetric Distribution

A clarification is given of the main result (1.1) in Communications in Statistics: Theory and Methods 34:753–766. The term {1 + 6a(r ? a)}^1/3 is to be understood as sgn(1 + 6a(r ? a)) | 1 + 6a(r ? a)|^1/3. The result is expressed in a more user-friendly form. An issue is raised regarding the common usage of the expression x ^1/n when n is even.     

Corrected Estimators in Extended Quasi-Likelihood Models

This paper addresses extended quasi-likelihood models where both the mean and the dispersion parameters vary across observations in a parameterized fashion. We derive formulae for the second-order biases of the maximum quasi-likelihood estimators of all parameters in these models. The practical use of such bias corrections is illustrated in a simulation study.     

Nonparametric Estimation of Volatility Function with Variable Bandwidth Parameter

In this article, we introduce a new method for the volatility function estimation of continuous-time diffusion process dX _t  = μ(X _t )dt + σ(X _t )dW _t , which is based on combining the idea of local linear smoother and variable bandwidth. We give the expressions for the conditional MSE and MISE of the estimator and obtain the optimal variable bandwidth. An explicit formula for the optimal variable bandwidth is presented by minimizing the MISE, which extends the related results in Fan and Gijbels (1992 Fan , J. Q. , Gijbels , I. ( 1992 ). Variable bandwidth and local linear regression smoother . Ann. Statist. 20 ( 4 ): 2008 – 2036 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]), etc. Finally, some simulations show that the performance of the proposed estimator with optimal variable bandwidth is often much better than that of the local linear estimator with invariable bandwidth.     

Effectiveness of a random compound noise strategy for robust parameter design

Robust parameter design has been widely used to improve the quality of products and processes. Although a product array, in which an orthogonal array for control factors is crossed with an orthogonal array for noise factors, is commonly used for parameter design experiments, this may lead to an unacceptably large number of experimental runs. The compound noise strategy proposed by Taguchi [30 G. Taguchi, System of Experimental Design: Engineering Methods to Optimize Quality and Minimize Costs, UNIPUB/Kraus International, White Plains, New York, 1987. [Google Scholar]] can be used to reduce the number of experimental runs. In this strategy, a compound noise factor is formed based on the directionality of the effects of noise factors. However, the directionality is usually unknown in practice. Recently, Singh et al. [28 J. Singh, D.D. Frey, N. Soderborg, and R. Jugulum, Compound noise: Evaluation as a robust parameter design method, Qual. Reliab. Eng. Int. 23 (2007), 387–398. doi: 10.1002/qre.812[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]] proposed a random compound noise strategy, in which a compound noise factor is formed by randomly selecting a setting of the levels of noise factors. The present paper evaluates the random compound noise strategy in terms of the precision of the estimators of the response mean and the response variance. In addition, the variances of the estimators in the random compound noise strategy are compared with those in the n-replication design. The random compound noise strategy is shown to have smaller variances of the estimators than the 2-replication design, especially when the control-by-noise-interactions are strong.     

Parameter Change Test for Poisson Autoregressive Models

In this paper, we consider the problem of testing for a parameter change in Poisson autoregressive models. We suggest two types of cumulative sum (CUSUM) tests, namely, those based on estimates and residuals. We first demonstrate that the conditional maximum likelihood estimator (CMLE) is strongly consistent and asymptotically normal and then construct the CMLE‐based CUSUM test. It is shown that under regularity conditions, its limiting null distribution is a function of independent Brownian bridges. Next, we construct the residual‐based CUSUM test and derive its limiting null distribution. Simulation results are provided for illustration. A real‐data analysis is performed on data for polio incidence and campylobacteriosis infections.     

预测精度和成本双时变的短生命周期产品供应链优化与协调

对于提前期可压缩的短生命周期产品供应链,压缩提前期可以提高销售商的需求预测精度,但增加了制造商的生产成本,因而供应链面临何时订货、订多少,以及如何实现Pareto改进的挑战。通过建立数学模型并求解,分析了分散系统和集中系统的最优决策,进一步开发了一个激励方案以实现供应链成员之间的协调。研究结果表明:具有订货回馈与惩罚的动态批发价契约能够有效协调双时变参数供应链,契约参数α在一定范围内取值可实现供需双方共赢。     

Properties and performance of one-sided cumulative count of conforming chart with parameter estimation in high-quality processes

The one-sided cumulative count of conforming (CCC) chart is a useful method to monitor nonconforming fraction in high-quality manufacturing processes. The nonconforming fraction parameter is assumed to be known when implementing a one-sided CCC chart. In this study, we investigated the impact of estimated nonconforming fraction, [pcirc] ₀, in a one-sided CCC chart. The run length distribution is derived as well as the conditional probability of a false alarm rate (CFAR), conditional average run length (CARL) and its standard deviation (CSDRL). Simulation results are conducted to evaluate the effect of [pcirc] ₀ in a one-sided CCC chart. The results show that values of CFAR, CARL and CSDRL are close to the nominal values for a large sample. The impact of estimation errors was also studied. We find that CFAR decreases for large [pcirc] ₀. Thus, a large value of [pcirc] ₀ is suggested for fewer false alarms.