Biosocial Influences on the Family: A Decade Review

The past decade brought a remarkable increase in the number and quality of biosocial studies of family processes. The current review summarizes recent advances in biosocial family research by providing key exemplars of emerging research paradigms. Research in the past decade has substantiated the claim in the previous Decade Review ( Booth, Carver, & Granger, 2000 ) that bidirectional influences between all levels of analysis are paramount. There is an emerging consensus that integrating factors at multiple biological and social levels is highly informative. Because ignoring biological factors often will underestimate mediating or moderating mechanisms, the review provides recommendations for biosocial family research. We also highlight the need for researchers who understand complex family environments to lend their expertise to biosocial studies.     

两大法系律师制度比较及现实借鉴

英美法系和大陆法系是当今世界主要法系,其优秀的法律制度为我国法治建设提供了许多有益的借鉴,其中的律师制度拥有毋庸置疑的重要地位。本文从历史发展、类型职能、资格取得、权利义务四个方面,对英美法系和大陆法系的律师制度进行宏观的比较,在此基础上就其成功经验探讨了对我国律师制度改革的现实借鉴。     

论宪政设计的可能性及其理论预设

人类社会可以通过政治设计来建立一个良好的政府,而宪政设计就是一个实现人间至善、建立美好现代社会的基本途径。人类具有主体性,政治具有向善性,这就使得宪政设计成为可能。进行宪政设计必须遵循一些理论预设,那就是关于人性的幽暗意识假定和关于权力的必要的恶的假定。     

对推进新一轮长三角区域一体化发展的十点建议

近年来,长三角区域一体化取得了有目共睹的成效,并成功抵御了国际金融危机的严重冲击,实现了经济企稳回升的积极转变。面对后危机时代的新机遇和新挑战,针对区域一体化合作中出现的问题与瓶颈,文章提出推进新一轮长三角区域一体化发展的十点建议,重点提出要以上海＂两个中心＂建设和浦东综合配套改革试验区为突破口,努力构建起分工合理、功能完备的长三角城镇体系,全面加快长三角城市的国际化进程,使长三角城市群尽早成为我国最具活力和国际竞争力的世界级城市群。     

How Large Are Your G-Values? Try Gosset’s Guinnessometrics When a Little “p” Is Not Enough

Abstract

A crisis of validity has emerged from three related crises of science, that is, the crises of statistical significance and complete randomization, of replication, and of reproducibility. Guinnessometrics takes commonplace assumptions and methods of statistical science and stands them on their head, from little p-values to unstructured Big Data. Guinnessometrics focuses instead on the substantive significance which emerges from a small series of independent and economical yet balanced and repeated experiments. Originally developed and market-tested by William S. Gosset aka “Student” in his job as Head Experimental Brewer at the Guinness Brewery in Dublin, Gosset’s economic and common sense approach to statistical inference and scientific method has been unwisely neglected. In many areas of science and life, the 10 principles of Guinnessometrics or G-values outlined here can help. Other things equal, the larger the G-values, the better the science and judgment. By now a colleague, neighbor, or YouTube junkie has probably shown you one of those wacky psychology experiments in a video involving a gorilla, and testing the limits of human cognition. In one video, a person wearing a gorilla suit suddenly appears on the scene among humans, who are themselves engaged in some ordinary, mundane activity such as passing a basketball. The funny thing is, prankster researchers have discovered, when observers are asked to think about the mundane activity (such as by counting the number of observed passes of a basketball), the unexpected gorilla is frequently unseen (for discussion see Kahneman 2011 Kahneman, D. (2011), Thinking Fast and Slow, New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux. [Google Scholar]). The gorilla is invisible. People don’t see it.     

“两个大局”思想的辩证思考及其现实意义

“两个大局”思想是贯穿邓小平理论的一个重要战略思想。它的提出既针对当时中国的现实国情,也考虑到将来发展中遇到的问题。“两个大局”蕴舍丰富的辩证思想,体现了现实利益与长远利益、效率与公平、分工与协作、权利与义务的统一。在改革开放已进入关键阶段的今天,“两个大局”思想仍具有重要的现实意义。     

专门用途英语特点及其在ESP课程设计中的应用——以市场营销课程为例

本文通过比较普通用途英语和专门用途英语,阐释专门用途英语的特点,并以市场营销英语教学为例,探讨了其课程内容设计及实现手段。     

通信企业"三网融合"方案设计研究

随着经济和技术的发展,传统的业务服务已经不能满足人们的需求,"三网融合"已经成为网络业务发展的必然趋势.通过对"三网融合"国内外现状的研究,分析了当今"三网融合"面临的问题,结合通信企业的实际情况,提出采用分布式流媒体技术进行通信企业"三网融合"方案设计,并针对不同规模通信企业,提出了紧凑型组网、城域网本地组网、多级分布式组网三种组网方案.该"三网融合"设计方案可以有效地节省骨干网带宽、保证QoS,提高用户满意度,对各级通信企业搭建多媒体数据中心具有一定推广作用.     

金融危机视角的农地制度安排:四村庄个案

由于地域差异明显,各地农地制度的安排与实践也有明显的区别,因而形成了不同的应对金融危机的实践形态。对这些实践形态进行比较分析发现,农地承包关系的灵活抑或刚性、农地产权的集体所有抑或私有并不是一个非此即彼的关系。从公平与效率两者结合的角度出发,构造一种将农村耕地划分为相对刚性的口粮田以保障农户的基本生存和相对灵活的责任田以保障农户的农业生产,并随人口变动而实现农户个体内部的口粮田与责任田自行补充的＂新两田制＂,有利于农村社会和整个国家应对危机,并为其处理危机赢得了相对宽松的时间与空间。     

考虑服务约束的第三方仓库收益与设计优化模型

第三方仓库作为服务提供商, 主要以期望收益最大化为目标, 但是必须满足一定的顾客服务标准。针对高需求环境, 考虑顾客服务水平约束, 提出了一个基于排队论的随机设计优化模型以使仓库的期望收益最大化。采用动态优化算法对模型求解, 选取实例进行了数值实验。结果显示, 模型的优化设计显著地提高了高需求环境下该第三方仓库的期望收益。在此基础上, 找到了服务约束的可行范围和有效范围, 为决策者制定服务标准提供了依据。