A new heavy-tailed distribution defined on the bounded interval: the logit slash distribution and its application

This paper proposes a new heavy-tailed and alternative slash type distribution on a bounded interval via a relation of a slash random variable with respect to the standard logistic function to model the real data set with skewed and high kurtosis which includes the outlier observation. Some basic statistical properties of the newly defined distribution are studied. We derive the maximum likelihood, least-square, and weighted least-square estimations of its parameters. We assess the performance of the estimators of these estimation methods by the simulation study. Moreover, an application to real data demonstrates that the proposed distribution can provide a better fit than well-known bounded distributions in the literature when the skewed data set with high kurtosis contains the outlier observations.     

Neighborhood change from the bottom Up: What are the determinants of social distance between new and prior residents?

An important source of neighborhood change occurs when there is a turnover in the housing unit due to residential mobility and the new residents differ from the prior residents based on socio-demographic characteristics (what we term social distance). Nonetheless, research has typically not asked which characteristics explain transitions with higher social distance based on a number of demographic dimensions. We explore this question using American Housing Survey data from 1985 to 2007, and focus on instances in which the prior household moved out and is replaced by a new household. We focus on four key characteristics for explaining this social distance: the type of housing unit, the age of the housing unit, the length of residence of the exiting household, and the crime and social disorder in the neighborhood. We find that transitions in the oldest housing units and for the longest tenured residents result in the greatest amount of social distance between new and prior residents, implying that these transitions are particularly important for fostering neighborhood socio-demographic change. The results imply micro-mechanisms at the household level that might help explain net change at the neighborhood level.     

中国农民工问题及其解决对策的探讨

农民工是改革开放后新形成的一个阶层,他们工作、生活在城市,但家和户口在农村,由此引发和衍生出工资常被克扣和拖欠、享受公共服务少、子女入托入学困难和缺乏基本社会保障等“农民工问题”。构建和谐社会,就是要使各方面利益关系得到有效协调,其中很重要的一个方面就是解决农民工问题,各级政府和全社会应把它作为一项重大的社会工程去完成。     

专家参与危机管理中的信任失灵与策略转换

公众科学知识素养的缺乏,社会功能的分工及科技民主价值观念的形成,决定了专家参与危机管理的必要性。中国危机管理面临着突出的专家信任失灵问题。公众对专家知识期望的理想化、专家自身知识的价值偏向、专家参与机制有效性无法保证、信息公开透明度不够等,从知识论层面与现实层面构成了信任失灵的根源。构建专家信息库、提高言论被“收买”的风险成本、完善良好的沟通机制是重获专家信任权威的有效策略。     

中国社会保障公共支出省际比较研究

在借鉴社会保障制度比较研究的经典理论和模型的基础上,本文依据中国31个省份的年度截面数据对影响各省社会保障公共支出水平的因素进行了统计分析和模型检验。研究结果发现,中国各省级政府的社会保障公共支出水平存在着巨大的差异。政府力量是造成各省社会保障公共支出水平差异的首要因素,其次是单位体制因素,再次是经济发展水平因素。     

“以病人为中心”的深层次思考

“以病人为中心”是医院管理道德和医患关系道德的核心话语,其基本理念是“以人为本”。在医患关系道德建设过程中贯彻“以人为本”理念,一是要“以病人为中心”,这是医患关系道德“以人为本”的核心,二是要“以医务人员为主体”,这是实现“以病人为中心”的关键,而且要将这两者结合起来,共同指导医患关系道德建设。“以人为本”理念的贯彻,对于我们建立良好的医患关系,促进医疗卫生事业的健康发展具有重要的现实意义。     

固定资产投资与国内生产总值的误差修正模型研究

运用协整理论和误差修正模型研究固定资产投资和国内生产总值之间的关系,可以发现它们之间存在长期均衡的协整关系,使用误差修正模型比普通的单变量方程更能反映两者长期和短期的关系,还可以避免谬误回归问题。     

化工原理实验教学软件的开发

介绍了化工原理实验教学软件的基本框架、功能及其用途,软件采用Microsoft Visual Basic 6.0编写,界面友好,功能齐全、操作简单、并可根据实际需要进行功能扩充,为化工原理实验CAI教学与实际应用提供了方便。     

吊挂式高楼清洗机

安全可靠的高楼清洗设备设计已成为当前重要课题。由于高空作业要求安全、稳定、贴墙、行走、平衡等,文章突破吊栏等传统结构,采用双钢丝吊挂式设计,从材料选用到自带电、液结构等方面,对高楼清洗机进行了优化设计,保证高楼清洗机的安全、轻便与简洁。     

环境殖民主义批判

环境殖民主义是资本主义殖民本性在环境领域的体现和拓展。为了维持资本主义生产生活方式,发达国家不仅掠夺发展中国家的能源资源与原料燃料等,还通过多种方式把有毒有害废弃物和垃圾输往广大发展中国家。环境殖民根源于资本的求利本性和全球扩张,资本主义生态理性与经济理性存在不可调和的矛盾。我国应以科学的态度对待环境殖民主义。