一般Gauss－Markov模型下一般可估函数的线性充分性和线性完全性

发展了Ｂａｋｓａｌａｒｙ和Ｄｒｙｇａｓ提出的一般Ｇａｕｓｓ－Ｍａｒｋｏｖ模型中线性充分性、最小充分性和完全性的概念，用Ｒａｏ的最小二乘统一理论，给出了这些概念的刻划定理。     

Uncertainty Analysis for Computer Model Projections of Hurricane Losses

Projecting losses associated with hurricanes is a complex and difficult undertaking that is wrought with uncertainties. Hurricane Charley, which struck southwest Florida on August 13, 2004, illustrates the uncertainty of forecasting damages from these storms. Due to shifts in the track and the rapid intensification of the storm, real-time estimates grew from 2 to 3 billion dollars in losses late on August 12 to a peak of 50 billion dollars for a brief time as the storm appeared to be headed for the Tampa Bay area. The storm hit the resort areas of Charlotte Harbor near Punta Gorda and then went on to Orlando in the central part of the state, with early poststorm estimates converging on a damage estimate in the 28 to 31 billion dollars range. Comparable damage to central Florida had not been seen since Hurricane Donna in 1960. The Florida Commission on Hurricane Loss Projection Methodology (FCHLPM) has recognized the role of computer models in projecting losses from hurricanes. The FCHLPM established a professional team to perform onsite (confidential) audits of computer models developed by several different companies in the United States that seek to have their models approved for use in insurance rate filings in Florida. The team's members represent the fields of actuarial science, computer science, meteorology, statistics, and wind and structural engineering. An important part of the auditing process requires uncertainty and sensitivity analyses to be performed with the applicant's proprietary model. To influence future such analyses, an uncertainty and sensitivity analysis has been completed for loss projections arising from use of a Holland B parameter hurricane wind field model. Uncertainty analysis quantifies the expected percentage reduction in the uncertainty of wind speed and loss that is attributable to each of the input variables.     

后现代主义生态观与技术创新活动的价值转向

后现代主义生态观是后现代主义理论体系的亮点,代表了一种人类对自然更为深刻的理解方式。传统技术创新活动核心追求的是经济价值,但在后现代主义生态观的影响下,技术创新有必要实行价值转向追求技术创新活动的生态价值;用经济学以外的其他学科尤其是对人与自然实行整体关怀的哲学来关注技术创新活动已经是一件迫在眉睫的事情。在以生态价值为取向的技术创新活动中,我们需要将技术创新活动终端从市场扩展到生态环境。为此,在理论与实践层面上,需要提出多种措施来推动我国企业技术创新活动的生态价值转向。     

论政治语言的结构

分析和研究政治语言的系统结构及结构要素之间的相互关系 ,是研究政治语言的重要内容 ,有利于更好地认识和把握政治语言。政治语言结构是一种特殊的层级系统 ,其要素包括符号、符号系统、符码、文本、语境和话语。政治语言结构的要素之间相互作用、相互关联 ,共同构成了政治语言的系统 ,并以其特有的方式表达政治意义 ,服务于政治活动     

基于定位辅助按需拓扑维护的超宽带自组网路由算法

提出了一种基于定位辅助按需拓扑维护的超宽带自组网路由算法,该算法利用超宽带技术精确定位信息所获得的网络拓扑信息和路由信息进行分组转发,路由维护阶段在定位信息辅助下采用按需方式进行断链路由的修复和拓扑维护,通过基于位置信息的按需路由发现和限制路由查找范围,以及定位信息和网络拓扑信息的及时更新,在降低协议开销的同时保证了算法的有效性。仿真表明,该算法在分组丢失率、平均端到端时延和路由附加开销等方面具有良好性能,其优良的分布式控制特征能适应超宽带自组网的动态环境。     

两相交流伺服电机动态性能的研究

对于两相交流电机的速度伺服系统,分析在幅值控制时系统的机械特性与调节特性,提出了影响两相交流伺服电机动态性能的因素是系统的机械时间常数及增益系数的变化。为了防止因机械时间常数及增益系数的变化而引起的动态特性变差,采用一种简易跟随模型参考自适应控制方法,通过模型与自适应机构的调节作用,改善两相交流伺服电机系统的动态特性和控制精度。计算机仿真结果表明,电机的动态持性良好。     

网络环境下的学习模式探索

教育模式是教育观念、教育思想、教与学理论的集中体现,网络的出现为学习者提供了适应个性化需求的自主学习的机会,建立满足不同学生需要的网络学习模式,是网络教学的当务之急。     

《围城》的翻译策略及其成因

《围城》英译本出版后受到广泛好评,但也有些评论者对译文持有异议。他们用单一“归化”的翻译标准评判译文,认为在语言层面和文化层面有若干值得商榷的地方。本文从译文202条注释对象入手,运用穷举法,着力探明《围城》的翻译策略及其成因。结果表明,译者所采用的策略是“异化为主,归化为辅”。究其原因,这种策略与翻译目的、文本类型、社会环境以及赞助人等因素有关。     

建筑节能激励政策的非对称博弈分析

本文探讨了建筑节能领域中政府与房地产商群体之间的非对称博弈问题,分析了该博弈所具有的模仿者动态模型、斯坦克尔伯格模型的特点,并构造了两者关于建筑节能激励政策的非对称博弈模型,最后对双方分别提出了博弈策略建议。     

On pooling data summaries in the absence of interactions “response-by-study”

The standard hypothesis testing procedure in meta-analysis (or multi-center clinical trials) in the absence of treatment-by-center interaction relies on approximating the null distribution of the standard test statistic by a standard normal distribution. For relatively small sample sizes, the standard procedure has been shown by various authors to have poor control of the type I error probability, leading to too many liberal decisions. In this article, two test procedures are proposed, which rely on thet—distribution as the reference distribution. A simulation study indicates that the proposed procedures attain significance levels closer to the nominal level compared with the standard procedure.