Estimating population size with truncated sampling

Let X₁, X₂,…,X_n be independent, indentically distributed random variables with density f(x,θ) with respect to a σ-finite measure μ. Let R be a measurable set in the sample space X. The value of X is observable if X ? (X?R) and not otherwise. The number J of observable X’s is binomial, N, Q, Q = 1?P(X ? R). On the basis of J observations, it is desired to estimate N and θ. Estimators considered are conditional and unconditional maximum likelihood and modified maximum likelihood using a prior weight function to modify the likelihood before maximizing. Asymptotic expansions are developed for the [Ncirc]’s of the form [Ncirc] = N + α√N + β + o_p(1), where α and β are random variables. All estimators have the same α, which has mean 0, variance σ² (a function of θ) and is asymptotically normal. Hence all are asymptotically equivalent by the usual limit distributional theory. The β’s differ and Eβ can be considered an “asymptotic bias”. Formulas are developed to compare the asymptotic biases of the various estimators. For a scale parameter family of absolutely continuous distributions with X = (0,∞) and R = (T,∞), special formuli are developed and a best estimator is found.     

局部环上典型群的非双曲型

引入域上典型群的生成问题所得的成果；对局部环R上典型群生成问题研究，构造度量函数及一平延，为局部环R上典型群向域F上的典型群导入，给出典型群的非双曲型．     

Kullback-leibler information approach to the optimum measurement point for bayesian estimation

When an appropriate parametric model and a prior distribution of its parameters are given to describe clinical time courses of a dynamic biological process, Bayesian approaches allow us to estimate the entire profiles from a few or even a single observation per subject. The goodness of the estimation depends on the measurement points at which the observations were made. The number of measurement points per subject is generally limited to one or two. The limited measurement points have to be selected carefully. This paper proposes an approach to the selection of the optimum measurement point for Bayesian estimations of clinical time courses. The selection is made among given candidates, based on the goodness of estimation evaluated by the Kullback-Leibler information. This information measures the discrepancy of an estimated time course from the true one specified by a given appropriate model. The proposed approach is applied to a pharmacokinetic analysis, which is a typical clinical example where the selection is required. The results of the present study strongly suggest that the proposed approach is applicable to pharmacokinetic data and has a wide range of clinical applications.     

非定常控制系统的绝对稳定性

从研究中间变量σ情况和判断控制系统解的界及k类函数法来讨论控制系统零解的绝对稳定,并给出了判断非线性非定常系统零解绝对稳定的一种新方法.     

大数幂剩余的二进制冗余数Montgomery算法

介绍了大数幂剩余的Montgomery算法,提出了基于二进制冗余数的大数幂剩余Montgomery算法模型。理论分析表明,采用二进制冗余数可减少乘法的进位传播,同时使算法的迭代步数减少17.2%。进一步提高了大数幂剩余的运算速度。     

聚并苯和氯代聚并苯同系分子的总能量与同系序数的相关性研究

聚并苯和氯代聚并苯同系分子的总能量与同系序数之间满足下列相关方程ET=aN b,N =2n 1 ,R≈ 1 ,N为同系序数 ,n是苯环的结构单元数 .本文的计算值与文献值吻合 .     

Relational and Overt Aggression in Childhood and Adolescence: Clarifying Mean‐level Gender Differences and Associations with Peer Acceptance

Research on relational aggression has drawn attention to how girls may be likely to aggress, but the role of gender is not fully understood. There are opposing views regarding whether relational aggression is most common among girls. Current findings demonstrate that when gender differences in relational aggression are assessed with peer nominations, gender differences favoring girls are more likely: (1) in adolescence than childhood; and (2) when statistical overlap with overt aggression is controlled. Results also indicated that associations of relational aggression with peer acceptance depend on the aggressor's gender, the peer rater's gender, and whether overlap with overt aggression is controlled. Associations of relational aggression with lower acceptance became non‐significant when overt aggression was controlled, suggesting that relational aggression displayed in isolation may not damage acceptance. In fact, in mid‐adolescence, girls’ relational aggression predicted greater liking by boys. Reducing relational aggression among adolescent girls may be especially challenging if the behavior is linked with acceptance by boys.     

Proof of Toft's Conjecture: Every Graph Containing No Fully Odd K4 is 3-Colorable

A fully odd K₄ is a subdivision of K₄ such that each of the six edges of the K₄ is subdivided into a path of odd length. In 1974, Toft conjectured that every graph containing no fully odd K₄ can be vertex-colored with three colors. The purpose of this paper is to prove Toft's conjecture.     

“动＋个＋……”中“个”的句法语义分析

“个”是使用频率最高的量词,与词类的搭配相当自由。“动 个 ……”中“个”后面的成分既可能是一般的可个称的体词性词语,也可能是抽象的不可个称的体词性词语,还可能是表示动作行为和性质状态的谓词性词语。如果“个”后是一般的可个称的体词性词语,大家一致同意“个”为量词,这时的“个”与其他位置上的“个”无异。可是,如果“个”后是抽象的不可个称的体词性词语或谓词性词语,人们的观点不太一致。作者用普通话、方言和古语相结合、印证的办法,得出“动 个 ……”中“个”后无论是体词性词语还是谓词性词语,“个”都是量词,同时也指出这一位置上的“个”在表意上有别于其他位置上的“个”。     

Measuring the complexity of generalized linear hierarchical models

Measuring a statistical model's complexity is important for model criticism and comparison. However, it is unclear how to do this for hierarchical models due to uncertainty about how to count the random effects. The authors develop a complexity measure for generalized linear hierarchical models based on linear model theory. They demonstrate the new measure for binomial and Poisson observables modeled using various hierarchical structures, including a longitudinal model and an areal‐data model having both spatial clustering and pure heterogeneity random effects. They compare their new measure to a Bayesian index of model complexity, the effective number p_D of parameters (Spiegelhalter, Best, Carlin & van der Linde 2002); the comparisons are made in the binomial and Poisson cases via simulation and two real data examples. The two measures are usually close, but differ markedly in some instances where p_D is arguably inappropriate. Finally, the authors show how the new measure can be used to approach the difficult task of specifying prior distributions for variance components, and in the process cast further doubt on the commonly‐used vague inverse gamma prior.