Estimating Quantiles of Normal Populations with a Common Mean

Suppose independent random samples are available from two normal populations with a common mean and unequal variances. Estimation of a quantile of the first population is considered with respect to the quadratic loss. Some new estimators for the quantile are proposed using some previously known estimators of a common mean. Inadmissibility results are proved for estimators which are equivariant under affine and location groups of transformations. Risk values of various estimators of a quantile are compared numerically using a detailed simulation study.     

A Note on Estimation of a Distribution Function in a Nonparametric Set-up Using Stein’s Shrinkage Estimation Technique

Based on Stein’s famous shrinkage estimation of a multivariate normal distribution, we propose a new type of estimators of the distribution function of a random variable in a nonparametric setup. The proposed estimators are then compared with the empirical distribution function, which is the best equivariant estimator under a well-known loss function. Our extensive simulation study shows that our proposed estimators can perform better for moderate to large sample sizes.     

Alcohol Consumption Among University Students in North Rhine–Westphalia,Germany—Results From a Multicenter Cross-sectional Study

Abstract

Objective: To assess alcohol use and problem drinking among university students in the German Federal State of North Rhine–Westphalia (NRW) and to examine the associated factors. Method: A multicenter cross-sectional study was conducted in 16 universities in 2006–2007 in NRW by a standardized questionnaire and 3,306 students provided information (response rate of 88%). Problem drinking was measured by the CAGE questionnaire. Results: Alcohol consumption in the last 3 months was reported by >90 % of students. About 80% reported heavy drinking, and 20% displayed problem drinking. Male students, students living in residence halls, and students from sport faculties had a higher risk of heavy drinking and problem drinking. When students were compared across study years, frequency of heavy drinking decreased with higher semesters. Conclusions: Overall, heavy drinking and problem drinking are common among university students in this sample. Intervention programs should be designed for students at a particularly high risk.     

Preventing the Importation of Illicit Nuclear Materials in Shipping Containers

We develop a mathematical model to find the optimal inspection strategy for detecting a nuclear weapon (or nuclear material to make a weapon) from being smuggled into the United States in a shipping container, subject to constraints of port congestion and an overall budget. We consider an 11-layer security system consisting of shipper certification, container seals, and a targeting software system, followed by passive (neutron and gamma), active (gamma radiography), and manual testing at overseas and domestic ports. Currently implemented policies achieve a low detection probability, and improved security requires passive and active testing of trusted containers and manually opening containers that cannot be penetrated by radiography. The annual cost of achieving a high detection probability of a plutonium weapon using existing equipment in traditional ways is roughly several billion dollars if testing is done domestically, and is approximately five times higher if testing is performed overseas. Our results suggest that employing high-energy x-ray radiography and elongating the passive neutron tests at overseas ports may provide significant cost savings, and several developing technologies, radiation sensors inside containers and tamper-resistant electronic seals, should be pursued aggressively. Further effort is critically needed to develop a practical neutron interrogation scheme that reliably detects moderately shielded, highly enriched uranium.     

Improved estimation of common location of two exponential populations with order restricted scale parameters using censored samples

ABSTRACT

Estimation of common location parameter of two exponential populations is considered when the scale parameters are ordered using type-II censored samples. A general inadmissibility result is proved which helps in deriving improved estimators. Further, a class of estimators dominating the MLE has been derived by an application of integrated expression of risk difference (IERD) approach of Kubokawa. A discussion regarding extending the results to a general k( ? 2) populations has been done. Finally, all the proposed estimators are compared through simulation.     

SEZ Proliferation in India: Are the Objectives Being Realized?

This paper analyzes if the industrial policy framework of the Indian Government with regard to the proliferation of SEZs has satisfied its aims and objectives. The analysis however, shows otherwise. The empirical results show that the policy of the Indian Government has been lopsided, wherein the concentration of SEZs has increased in States which face lower levels of unemployment and a comparably high level of FDI inflow. Further, the concentration of the SEZs has been restricted majorly to the IT industry resulting in rigidity in the export mix. Policy implications hint towards a diversification of the SEZ industry portfolio and in increasing the size and therefore, the economic impact of these zones.     

Estimating quantiles of several normal populations with a common mean

Suppose we have k( ? 2) normal populations with a common mean and possibly different variances. The problem of estimation of quantile of the first population is considered with respect to a quadratic loss function. In this paper, we have generalized the inadmissibility results obtained by Kumar and Tripathy (2011 Kumar, S., Tripathy, M.R. (2011). Estimating quantiles of normal populations with a common mean. Commun. Stat. - Theory Methods 40:2719–2736.[Taylor &; Francis Online], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) for k = 2 to a general k( ? 2). Moreover, a massive simulation study has been done in order to numerically compare the risk values of various proposed estimators for the cases k = 3 and k = 4 and recommendations are made for the use of estimators under certain situations.     

A Note on Dirichlet One-Armed Bandits

One of the two independent stochastic processes (or ‘arms’) is selected and observed sequentially at each of n(≤ ∝) stages. Arm 1 yields observations identically distributed with unknown probability measure P with a Dirichlet process prior whereas observations from arm 2 have known probability measure Q. Future observations are discounted and at stage m, the payoff is a _m(≥0) times the observation Z _m at that stage. The objective is to maximize the total expected payoff. Clayton and Berry (1985) consider this problem when a _m equals 1 for m ≤ n and 0 for m > n(< ∝) In this paper, the Clayton and Berry (1985) results are extended to the case of regular discount sequences of horizon n, which may also be infinite. The results are illustrated with numerical examples. In case of geometric discounting, the results apply to a bandit with many independent unknown Dirichlet arms.