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We describe a risk-based analytical framework for estimating traffic fatalities that combines the probability of a crash and the probability of fatality in the event of a crash. As an illustrative application, we use the methodology to explore the role of vehicle mix and vehicle prevalence on long-run fatality trends for a range of transportation growth scenarios that may be relevant to developing societies. We assume crash rates between different road users are proportional to their roadway use and estimate case fatality ratios (CFRs) for the different vehicle-vehicle and vehicle-pedestrian combinations. We find that in the absence of road safety interventions, the historical trend of initially rising and then falling fatalities observed in industrialized nations occurred only if motorization was through car ownership. In all other cases studied (scenarios dominated by scooter use, bus use, and mixed use), traffic fatalities rose monotonically. Fatalities per vehicle had a falling trend similar to that observed in historical data from industrialized nations. Regional adaptations of the model validated with local data can be used to evaluate the impacts of transportation planning and safety interventions, such as helmets, seat belts, and enforcement of traffic laws, on traffic fatalities. 相似文献
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Ebraheim Ezzati Ali Hasanpour-Dehkordi 《Journal of social work practice in the addictions》2020,20(3):230-237
ABSTRACT The aim of this study was to explore the effectiveness of Methadone Maintenance Treatment (MMT) from the perspective of drug users and their families. For this qualitative content analysis study, 15 participants were selected via purposive sampling. Data collection was done using deep and semi-structured interviews, which were then analyzed. The results showed that MMT can bring favorable impacts into the patients’ lives and help them with the process of treatment and rehabilitation despite the medical side effects. 相似文献
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Spatial heterogeneity in drinking water sources in the Greater Accra Metropolitan Area (GAMA), Ghana
Tetteh Jacob Doku Templeton Michael R. Cavanaugh Alicia Bixby Honor Owusu George Yidana Sandow Mark Moulds Simon Robinson Brian Baumgartner Jill Annim Samuel Kobina Quartey Rosalind Mintah Samilia E. Bawah Ayaga Agula Arku Raphael E. Ezzati Majid Agyei-Mensah Samuel 《Population and environment》2022,44(1-2):46-76
Population and Environment - Universal access to safe drinking water is essential to population health and well-being, as recognized in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG). To develop targeted... 相似文献
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