全文获取类型
收费全文 | 8795篇 |
免费 | 986篇 |
国内免费 | 3篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 1643篇 |
民族学 | 60篇 |
人才学 | 9篇 |
人口学 | 553篇 |
丛书文集 | 47篇 |
理论方法论 | 1330篇 |
综合类 | 51篇 |
社会学 | 5001篇 |
统计学 | 1090篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 38篇 |
2022年 | 29篇 |
2021年 | 110篇 |
2020年 | 244篇 |
2019年 | 453篇 |
2018年 | 313篇 |
2017年 | 398篇 |
2016年 | 449篇 |
2015年 | 392篇 |
2014年 | 389篇 |
2013年 | 1337篇 |
2012年 | 409篇 |
2011年 | 416篇 |
2010年 | 340篇 |
2009年 | 270篇 |
2008年 | 343篇 |
2007年 | 307篇 |
2006年 | 311篇 |
2005年 | 303篇 |
2004年 | 280篇 |
2003年 | 243篇 |
2002年 | 218篇 |
2001年 | 171篇 |
2000年 | 196篇 |
1999年 | 132篇 |
1998年 | 111篇 |
1997年 | 106篇 |
1996年 | 101篇 |
1995年 | 84篇 |
1994年 | 113篇 |
1993年 | 98篇 |
1992年 | 98篇 |
1991年 | 69篇 |
1990年 | 57篇 |
1989年 | 63篇 |
1988年 | 74篇 |
1987年 | 53篇 |
1986年 | 47篇 |
1985年 | 56篇 |
1984年 | 67篇 |
1983年 | 54篇 |
1982年 | 58篇 |
1981年 | 50篇 |
1980年 | 51篇 |
1979年 | 44篇 |
1978年 | 32篇 |
1977年 | 31篇 |
1976年 | 46篇 |
1975年 | 26篇 |
1974年 | 35篇 |
排序方式: 共有9784条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
Organizational scholars increasingly recognize the value of employing historical research. Yet the fields of history and organization studies struggle to reconcile. In this paper, the authors contend that a closer connection between these two fields is possible if organizational historians bring their role in the construction of historical narratives to the fore and open up their research decisions for discussion. They provide guidelines to support this endeavor, drawing on four criteria that are prevalent within interpretive organization studies for developing the trustworthiness of research: credibility; confirmability; dependability; and transferability. In contrast to the traditional use of trustworthiness criteria to evaluate the quality of research, the authors advance the criteria to encourage historians to generate more transparent narratives. Such transparency allows others to comprehend and comment on the construction of narratives, thereby building trust and understanding. Each criterion is converted into a set of guiding principles to enhance the trustworthiness of historical research, pairing each principle with a practical technique gleaned from a range of disciplines within the social sciences to provide practical guidance. 相似文献
2.
3.
Integrating Operational and Organizational Aspects in Interdependent Infrastructure Network Recovery
Camilo Gomez Andrs D. Gonzlez Hiba Baroud Claudia D. Bedoya‐Motta 《Risk analysis》2019,39(9):1913-1929
Managing risk in infrastructure systems implies dealing with interdependent physical networks and their relationships with the natural and societal contexts. Computational tools are often used to support operational decisions aimed at improving resilience, whereas economics‐related tools tend to be used to address broader societal and policy issues in infrastructure management. We propose an optimization‐based framework for infrastructure resilience analysis that incorporates organizational and socioeconomic aspects into operational problems, allowing to understand relationships between decisions at the policy level (e.g., regulation) and the technical level (e.g., optimal infrastructure restoration). We focus on three issues that arise when integrating such levels. First, optimal restoration strategies driven by financial and operational factors evolve differently compared to those driven by socioeconomic and humanitarian factors. Second, regulatory aspects have a significant impact on recovery dynamics (e.g., effective recovery is most challenging in societies with weak institutions and regulation, where individual interests may compromise societal well‐being). And third, the decision space (i.e., available actions) in postdisaster phases is strongly determined by predisaster decisions (e.g., resource allocation). The proposed optimization framework addresses these issues by using: (1) parametric analyses to test the influence of operational and socioeconomic factors on optimization outcomes, (2) regulatory constraints to model and assess the cost and benefit (for a variety of actors) of enforcing specific policy‐related conditions for the recovery process, and (3) sensitivity analyses to capture the effect of predisaster decisions on recovery. We illustrate our methodology with an example regarding the recovery of interdependent water, power, and gas networks in Shelby County, TN (USA), with exposure to natural hazards. 相似文献
4.
Rachael Piltch‐Loeb Brian J. Zikmund‐Fisher Victoria A. Shaffer Laura D. Scherer Megan Knaus Angie Fagerlin David M. Abramson Aaron M. Scherer 《Risk analysis》2019,39(12):2683-2693
Perceptions of infectious diseases are important predictors of whether people engage in disease‐specific preventive behaviors. Having accurate beliefs about a given infectious disease has been found to be a necessary condition for engaging in appropriate preventive behaviors during an infectious disease outbreak, while endorsing conspiracy beliefs can inhibit preventive behaviors. Despite their seemingly opposing natures, knowledge and conspiracy beliefs may share some of the same psychological motivations, including a relationship with perceived risk and self‐efficacy (i.e., control). The 2015–2016 Zika epidemic provided an opportunity to explore this. The current research provides some exploratory tests of this topic derived from two studies with similar measures, but different primary outcomes: one study that included knowledge of Zika as a key outcome and one that included conspiracy beliefs about Zika as a key outcome. Both studies involved cross‐sectional data collections that occurred during the same two periods of the Zika outbreak: one data collection prior to the first cases of local Zika transmission in the United States (March–May 2016) and one just after the first cases of local transmission (July–August). Using ordinal logistic and linear regression analyses of data from two time points in both studies, the authors show an increase in relationship strength between greater perceived risk and self‐efficacy with both increased knowledge and increased conspiracy beliefs after local Zika transmission in the United States. Although these results highlight that similar psychological motivations may lead to Zika knowledge and conspiracy beliefs, there was a divergence in demographic association. 相似文献
5.
Towards Uniformly Efficient Trend Estimation Under Weak/Strong Correlation and Non‐stationary Volatility 下载免费PDF全文
In this paper, we consider the deterministic trend model where the error process is allowed to be weakly or strongly correlated and subject to non‐stationary volatility. Extant estimators of the trend coefficient are analysed. We find that under heteroskedasticity, the Cochrane–Orcutt‐type estimator (with some initial condition) could be less efficient than Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) when the process is highly persistent, whereas it is asymptotically equivalent to OLS when the process is less persistent. An efficient non‐parametrically weighted Cochrane–Orcutt‐type estimator is then proposed. The efficiency is uniform over weak or strong serial correlation and non‐stationary volatility of unknown form. The feasible estimator relies on non‐parametric estimation of the volatility function, and the asymptotic theory is provided. We use the data‐dependent smoothing bandwidth that can automatically adjust for the strength of non‐stationarity in volatilities. The implementation does not require pretesting persistence of the process or specification of non‐stationary volatility. Finite‐sample evaluation via simulations and an empirical application demonstrates the good performance of proposed estimators. 相似文献
6.
Piper Coutinho‐Sledge 《Gender, Work and Organization》2015,22(4):375-389
The gendering of forestry as a distinctly masculine profession has led to a wide range of negative outcomes, including legal actions concerning discrimination, poor public perceptions and poor environmental records. Forestry organizations have addressed these concerns by attempting to increase the number of women in the profession. These efforts have been largely ineffective. Using the case of community‐based forestry, I argue that when we begin to consider not only women but also normatively feminine values as agents of change, our understanding of the profession of forestry may be rejuvenated. 相似文献
7.
Random effects regression mixture models are a way to classify longitudinal data (or trajectories) having possibly varying lengths. The mixture structure of the traditional random effects regression mixture model arises through the distribution of the random regression coefficients, which is assumed to be a mixture of multivariate normals. An extension of this standard model is presented that accounts for various levels of heterogeneity among the trajectories, depending on their assumed error structure. A standard likelihood ratio test is presented for testing this error structure assumption. Full details of an expectation-conditional maximization algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation are also presented. This model is used to analyze data from an infant habituation experiment, where it is desirable to assess whether infants comprise different populations in terms of their habituation time. 相似文献
8.
9.
10.
This paper considers whether gains made by shareholders from corporate takeovers are achieved at the expense of employees, as proposed by the ‘wealth transfer’ perspective. It analyses the contribution of employee lay‐offs, along with employment and wage changes, to the takeover premium and abnormal share price movements. The analysis draws on a unique dataset of British takeovers, combining documentary, share price and accounting data. The results show that lay‐offs planned at the takeover have either no effect or adverse effects on shareholder returns. Wages growth is positively, not inversely, related to shareholder returns from the second year after the takeover, whilst positive employment changes have a similar effect in the following year. Closer scrutiny indicates that labour and shareholders share gains when the firm does well, but share pain when it does not. There is evidence, therefore, that labour and shareholder interests can be complementary, rather than antagonistic, after takeovers. 相似文献