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The Consumer as Forecaster   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
Consumer confidence, particularly consumer expectations forthe short-term future, has proven to be a leading economic indicator.Over the past 15 years it has foretold all major business cyclessignaling both the contraction and recovery phases. The buyingplans component of the survey program, however, has not demonstrateda consistently convincing forecasting capacity.  相似文献   
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