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1.
Summary Weak disintegrations are investigated from various points of view. Kolmogorov's definition of conditional probability is critically
analysed, and it is noted how the notion of disintegrability plays some role in connecting Kolmogorov's definition with the
one given in line with de Finetti's coherence principle. Conditions are given, on the domain of a prevision, implying the
equivalence between weak disintegrability and conglomerability. Moreover, weak sintegrations are characterized in terms of
coherence, in de Finetti's sense, of, a suitable function. This fact enables us to give, an interpretation of weak disintegrability
as a form of “preservation of coherence”. The previous results are also applied to a hypothetical inferential problem. In
particular, an inference is shown to be coherent, in the sense of Heath and Sudderth, if and only if a suitable function is
coherent, in de Finetti's sense.
Research partially supported by: M.U.R.S.T. 40% “Problemi di inferenza pura”. 相似文献
2.
Social Indicators Research - This paper provides a unified view for defining a measure of the reasons behind migration flows whose nature is of social and economic type. To this aim, worldwide... 相似文献
3.
In a quantitative model with uncertain inputs, the uncertainty of the output can be summarized by a risk measure. We propose a sensitivity analysis method based on derivatives of the output risk measure, in the direction of model inputs. This produces a global sensitivity measure, explicitly linking sensitivity and uncertainty analyses. We focus on the case of distortion risk measures, defined as weighted averages of output percentiles, and prove a representation of the sensitivity measure that can be evaluated on a Monte Carlo sample, as a weighted average of gradients over the input space. When the analytical model is unknown or hard to work with, nonparametric techniques are used for gradient estimation. This process is demonstrated through the example of a nonlinear insurance loss model. Furthermore, the proposed framework is extended in order to measure sensitivity to constant model parameters, uncertain statistical parameters, and random factors driving dependence between model inputs. 相似文献
4.
Simone Cerreia‐Vioglio David Dillenberger Pietro Ortoleva 《Econometrica : journal of the Econometric Society》2015,83(2):693-728
Many violations of the independence axiom of expected utility can be traced to subjects' attraction to risk‐free prospects. The key axiom in this paper, negative certainty independence ([Dillenberger, 2010]), formalizes this tendency. Our main result is a utility representation of all preferences over monetary lotteries that satisfy negative certainty independence together with basic rationality postulates. Such preferences can be represented as if the agent were unsure of how to evaluate a given lottery p; instead, she has in mind a set of possible utility functions over outcomes and displays a cautious behavior: she computes the certainty equivalent of p with respect to each possible function in the set and picks the smallest one. The set of utilities is unique in a well defined sense. We show that our representation can also be derived from a “cautious” completion of an incomplete preference relation. 相似文献
5.
The multiple non symmetric correspondence analysis (MNSCA) is a useful technique for analyzing a two-way contingency table. In more complex cases, the predictor variables are more than one. In this paper, the MNSCA, along with the decomposition of the Gray–Williams Tau index, in main effects and interaction term, is used to analyze a contingency table with two predictor categorical variables and an ordinal response variable. The Multiple-Tau index is a measure of association that contains both main effects and interaction term. The main effects represent the change in the response variables due to the change in the level/categories of the predictor variables, considering the effects of their addition, while the interaction effect represents the combined effect of predictor categorical variables on the ordinal response variable. Moreover, for ordinal scale variables, we propose a further decomposition in order to check the existence of power components by using Emerson's orthogonal polynomials. 相似文献
6.
Manju Panwar Deepali Mathur Gian Chand Manju Dkhaka R. R. Singh 《Social Work Education》2014,33(8):984-997
This paper captures the experiences of the faculty members of a relatively new graduate social work program situated in the largely rural state of Haryana India in reframing the foundation year practicum through community-based and engaged action learning in small villages. Located within Bhagat Phool Singh Vishwavidyalaya (BPSMV), north India's first all women public university, the mission of which is to enhance women's engagement in the greater society through post-secondary, professional and character education, the department is educating social workers for community engagement in social development and in the development of women as an empowered group in society, particularly at the village level. Over a three-year period, the faculty has successfully launched and sustained action learning as an alternative to the traditional practicum in social work education, enhanced civic engagement among students and faculty in three rural villages, and further developed community social work as a principal focus of social work education in India. The paper offers a rationale for action learning in the graduate social work curriculum, describes and documents the department's strategy of action learning, and lays out lessons learned from action learning as a central focus of pedagogy, research, and service within BPSMV Department of Social Work and the rural villages it serves. 相似文献
7.
Clustering in weighted networks 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
In recent years, researchers have investigated a growing number of weighted networks where ties are differentiated according to their strength or capacity. Yet, most network measures do not take weights into consideration, and thus do not fully capture the richness of the information contained in the data. In this paper, we focus on a measure originally defined for unweighted networks: the global clustering coefficient. We propose a generalization of this coefficient that retains the information encoded in the weights of ties. We then undertake a comparative assessment by applying the standard and generalized coefficients to a number of network datasets. 相似文献
8.
Combining human capital theory and equity theory, we developed and tested a model in which the outside directors’ total cash
compensation is related to the outsider’s profile, as well as to the board and firm characteristics. Consistent with our model,
characteristics of the outsider’s profile, in terms of his/her role and responsibility, meeting activities and length of service,
are relevant. Only the director’s popularity, as a part of his/her human capital, has a significant effect on his/her compensation.
Our empirical results confirm the necessity to create a stronger link between the remuneration policies of the outsider directors
and their contribution in a board, in terms of human capital. The remuneration policies adopted by firms should be linked
to practices on corporate governance useful for helping outsiders contribute confidently to their work of the board and receive
ongoing support and information so they can develop their understanding of the total environment within they work. Then, we
suggest having recourse to qualifications and professional skills as well as to specific training or board induction programmes
defined by firms themselves. Finally, the Combined Code should promote the adoption and spreading of such practices on market. 相似文献
9.
10.
Grove M Vonsattel JP Mazzoni P Marder K 《Science of aging knowledge environment : SAGE KE》2003,2003(43):dn3
In this case study, we describe the symptoms, neurological exam, neuropsychological test results, and brain pathology of a man who died with Huntington's disease (HD). HD is a rare neurodegenerative disease. Like other movement disorders involving the basal ganglia, HD affects motor, cognitive, and psychiatric functioning. The disease follows an autosomal dominant pattern of inheritance, with onset of symptoms most commonly occurring in the late 30s or early 40s, as in this patient. HD is caused by an unstable expansion of the trinucleotide CAG, coding for glutamine, on chromosome 4. Despite knowledge of the gene mutation responsible for HD, no definitive treatment is currently available to slow or halt progression of the disease. However, symptomatic treatment can significantly improve the quality of life for patients with HD. 相似文献