Complete censuses and samples

"Complete decennial censuses are needed for small areas and other domains. Sample surveys yield diverse and timely data. Censuses can also be combined with samples, and sometimes with data from registers, for diverse estimates that are detailed over both space and time, and hence are timely for small domains. Methods of 'postcensal estimates' for small domains are described. We note uses of censuses for improving samples and of samples for improving censuses, and propose a method for cumulating data from 'rolling' (or rotating) periodic (weekly, monthly or quarterly) samples specifically designed to cover the population in detail over designed spans (annual and quinquennial)."     

Some efficient random imputation methods

Imputation methods that assign a selection of respondents’ values for missing i tern nonresponses give rise to an addd,tional source of sampling variation, which we term imputation varLance , We examine the effect of imputation variance on the precision of the mean, and propose four procedures for sampling the rEespondents that reduce this additional variance. Two of the procedures employ improved sample designs through selection of respc,ndents by sampling without replacement and by stratified sampl;lng. The other two increase the sample base by the use of multiple imputations.     

Job Development in a Veterans Administration Hospital

This department provides a showcase for actual practices. Effective and ineffective procedures or techniques are displayed, as well as successful and unsuccessful programs or projects. Reports, not to exceed six typed, double-spaced pages, are to include a succinct, summary sentence of up to 30 words and are to be submitted in triplicate. Authors may wish to make longer reports available to interested readers.     

Challenges in Identifying Factors Which Determine the Placement of Children in Care? An International Review

Placing a child in out-of-home care is one of the most important decisions made by professionals in the child care system, with substantial social, psychological, educational, medical and economic consequences. This paper considers the challenges and difficulties of building statistical models of this decision by reviewing the available international evidence. Despite the large number of empirical investigations over a 50 year period, a consensus on the variables associated with this decision is hard to identify. In addition, the individual models have low explanatory and predictive power and should not be relied on to make placement decisions. A number of reasons for this poor performance are offered, and some ways forwards suggested. This paper also aims to facilitate the emergence of a coherent and integrated international literature from the disconnected and fragmented empirical studies. Rather than one placement problem, there are many slightly different problems, and therefore it is expected that a number of related sub-literatures will emerge, each concentrating on a particular definition of the placement problem.     

SAMPLE SURVEYS VERSUS EXPERIMENTS,CONTROLLED OBSERVATIONS,CENSUSES, REGISTERS,AND LOCAL STUDIES1 2

Can we find some common principle in the three comparisons? Lacking adequate time for a thorough exploration, let me suggest that representation is that common principle. I suggested (section 4) that judgment selection of spatial versus temporal extensions distinguish “longitudinal” local studies from “cross-section” population sampling. We had noted (section 3) that censuses are taken for detailed representation of the spatial dimension but they depend on judgmental selection of the temporal. Survey sampling lacks spatial detail but is spatially representative with randomization, and it can be made timely. Periodic samples can be designed that are representative of temporal extension. Furthermore, spatial and temporal detail can be obtained either through estimation or through cumulated samples [Purcell and Kish 1979, 1980; Kish 1979b, 1981, 1986 6.6]. Registers and administrative records can have good spatial and temporal representation, but representation may be lacking in population content, and surely in representation of variables. Representation of variables and of the relations between variables and over the population are the issues in conflict between surveys, experiments, and observations. This is a deep subject, and too deep to be explored again, as it was in section 2. A final point about limits for randomization to achieve representation through sampling: randomization for selecting samples of variables is beyond me generally, because I cannot conceive of frames for defined populations of variables. Yet we can find attempts at randomized selection of variables: in the selection of items for the consumer price index, also of items for tests of IQ or of achievements. Generally I believe that randomization is the way to achieve representation without complete coverage, and that it can be applied and practised in many dimensions.     

Diagnostics for identifying influential cases in manova

Measures of influence of multivariate cases on the estimated parameter matrix in MANOVA are developed. The development is based on the confidence region resulting from the likelihood ratio criterion, and is patterned after the development of Cook's univariate D_Imeasure. Influence measures corresponding to the other 3 common multivariate test criteria are presented. Relationships to the measures of Caroni (1987), and Barrett and Ling (1988) are noted. A numerical example is included.     

Sample surveys versus experiments,controlled observations,censuses, registers,and local studies

The relative merits and drawbacks of data obtained from the following sources are compared: sample surveys, experimental projects, controlled observations, censuses, registers, and local studies. The importance of representation as the criterion for comparing the value of the data obtained by the various methods is stressed.     

Developing statistics in China

Developments in China's statistical system since 1978 are reviewed. Consideration is given to the census of 1982 and to current surveys, including the Annual Survey of Births and Population; the fertility survey of 1 in 1,000 of 1982 and 2 in 1,000 of 1988; and the Chinese system of administrative reports, records, and registers.     

Rensis Likert 1903–1981

The equivalence of several methods of solving linear simultaneous equations is demonstrated for use in teaching applied animal breeding. Matrix notation represents equations concisely and allows ease of algebraic treatment.