考虑保险缓释条件的我国商业银行操作风险度量

巴塞尔新资本协议(2004)规定,在使用高级度量法(AMA)度量操作风险最低资本金时,银行可以考虑操作风险保险缓释效应.本文将保险合同纳入极值理论度量我国商业银行操作风险,考虑了银行投保后面临的新风险,如还款不确定性,交易对手风险等.通过实证分析,得出保险对我国商业银行操作风险损失的缓释作用.     

贤人之治的当代民主嬗变

从本质上看,贤人之治是一种“精英专政”,在历史进程中衍生出政治的宗法化、道德化倾向,展露了其政治哲学的工具化、实用化特征,反映了传统儒学社会“公”领域的缺陷,因此与当代民主行政的核心价值相异。目前我国的民主治道变革面临双重任务：一方面,从贤人之治的传统德治主义向理性官僚制的范式变迁是民主转型的前提。另一方面,面对“后官僚时代”的挑战,治理者还须积极回应公民参与、理性行政、多元治理、公共利益等民主治理的诉求,只有这样,适合我国民主行政发育的道德生态才能孕育而生,儒学政治文明也才能在全球化时代焕发新的生命力。     

Techno-Wizardry and movie magic: the trace of labour (or lack thereof) in 3D digital animation

ABSTRACT

This paper will argue that 3D digital animation, unlike its 2D and stop-motion counterparts, currently lacks recognisable self-reflexive aesthetic devices through which the trace of animators’ labour can be made visible. It will open with a brief history of how animation has previously shown its workings; from the pencil-wielding hand of Émile Cohl to the opening seconds of South Park, plus the intentional and unintentional smears and multiples visible on animation cells. These devices will then be discussed in relation to Marx’s analysis of the commodity in Capital Vol. 1, and how the process of fetishisation is momentarily disrupted by imperfections in the object which have been caused by production errors. These faults reconnect the object to its producer through the trace of (imperfect) labour which remains visible on the surface. In animation, similar (albeit consciously made) ‘errors’ connect the perceptive viewer directly to the work of 2D or stop-motion animators. This paper will argue the need for an equivalent to emerge in 3D digital animation, as well as highlighting some contemporary animators testing and subverting the limits of 3D and sketching some possible ways these might encourage further formal innovations.     

Family participation in child protection practice: an observational study of family group meetings

Over the past two decades, child protection authorities internationally have begun to implement models of family participation in child protection decision‐making. Debate exists about the extent to which these models promote family involvement in decision‐making. While a significant body of research on family and professional experience and perceptions of models of family participation in decision‐making has emerged, there has been little observational research of these approaches. In this paper, we report on observational data from 11 family group meetings (FGMs) in a child protection context in Queensland, Australia. Under Queensland child protection law, these meetings are referred to as an inclusive process for child protection decision‐making and planning. We draw on observational data to analyse how family inclusion in child protection decision‐making is facilitated, or limited, by the FGM process. We consider tensions in the realization of a participatory ethos in child protection services systems and discuss what practitioners can practically do to enhance family participation in child protection decision‐making.     

落实科学发展观 正确处理四个关系

如何树立和落实科学发展观,把工作重心从量的增长转到质的提高上来,走特色发展的道路,实现全面、协调、可持续发展,是高校面临的重要问题.文章提出在学校发展的指导思想和工作思路上,应当正确处理好外延发展与内涵发展、全面发展和特色发展、改革发展和稳定、党建思想政治工作和其他工作的关系.     

论科学研究中质与量的两种取向和方法

客观存在的一切事物都具有质和量的两种规定性,质和量构成了科学研究的两个取向,或两个侧重点。质的研究和量的研究在方法论原则、研究程序、步骤、收集资料的方法上都存在着差别。在社会研究领域,由于社会现象的特殊性和复杂性,存在着质的研究与量的研究哪一种更合理、更科学的争论。本文通过对两者的简略分析和比较,说明它们是既有区别又互相补充的研究方法,把质的研究与量的研究结合起来是科学研究的必然要求。     

Conflict in Divorcing and Continuously Married Families: A Study of Marital,Parent–Child and Sibling Relationships

ABSTRACT

Family members in both separated or divorcing and married families completed a range of questionnaires about the conflict in 3 relationships—couple, parent–child, and sibling—across 2 phases of the study approximately 12 months apart. In addition, the adolescents completed measures of adjustment: self esteem, depression, and anxiety. Adolescents in a subset of the divorcing families were interviewed about the conflict in their families across the 2 phases (107 at Phase 1 and 35 at Phase 2). Analyses showed that conflict was higher in the separated or divorcing families across all 3 relationships, and that the highest levels of conflict occurred for the high-conflict divorcing families. Qualitative data from interviews illustrated the nature of the conflict that was occurring.     

我国中小板市场泡沫的度量

2008年10月到2009年2月中旬,我国中小板综合指数区间最大涨幅80%,远远超过同期上证指数约40%的区间最大涨幅,关于中小板是否存在泡沫,人们的争论颇多。在这样的背景下,借鉴国内相关研究成果,根据模型推导出合理市盈率的计算公式,并利用改进的加权平均市盈率代替被广泛使用的市盈率,考察我国中小板市场2005～2008年的泡沫程度。