A new approach to stock price modelling and the efficiency of the Italian stock exchange

In this paper, we propose a new model of asset prices which takes account of the investment strategies of three different kinds of agents: the market-makers, who operate rationally on the basis of the asset fundamentals, the smart buy-and-sell agents, who intervene when the prices reach particular levels and the non-smart buy-and-sell agents, who trade infrequently, mainly following psychological motivations. The different behavior of these groups of agents can determine temporary inefficiences on financial markets and we show that, by considering these inefficiences, it is possible to improve forecasting of asset prices.     

The role of passing network indicators in modeling football outcomes: an application using Bayesian hierarchical models

AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis - Passes are undoubtedly the more frequent events in football and other team sports. Passing networks and their structural features can be useful to evaluate...