Interplay Between Sensation Seeking and Parental Rules in the Emergence of Heavy Episodic Drinking

This study examined the parallel mediational processes between sensation seeking and parental rules on alcohol, in the emergence of heavy episodic drinking (HED) in adolescents. Data were drawn from a U.K. clustered randomized control trial (control arm only, N ≈ 6,300, M_age at baseline = 12.5). Using parallel process latent growth curve analysis, stricter parental rules at baseline were found to be associated with greater declines in sensation seeking over time and a lower risk of HED at follow‐up (+33 months). Higher initial levels of sensation seeking predicted a faster relaxation of parental rules and a greater risk of HED. By maintaining strict rules about alcohol, parents may promote a positive reduction in sensation seeking and a lower risk of HED.     

Assessing the local need for family and child care services: a small area utilization analysis

This article reports the findings of a study to develop a new method for allocating resources to family and child care services within Northern Ireland. Downloads from financial and client databases, together with a survey of social worker case activity, were used to estimate utilization costs across 500 local areas. Regression techniques were then used to account for variations in these costs in terms of local socioeconomic conditions. The resultant needs index represents a fair and equitable means of allocating central family and child care budgets to local units of management and service delivery.     

What Works in Strategic Partnerships for Children: a Research Review

Strategic partnerships have a key role to play in delivering the government's ‘Every Child Matters’ agenda. There is a developing body of research and other evidence and practice‐informed literature about what works in relation to partnership working. Drawing on a research review commissioned by Barnardos on strategic partnership working for children, this study summarises research findings from a number of sectors relating to the development, delivery and review of effective partnerships. Although there is widespread consensus within the research on the factors contributing to effective partnership processes, there is, currently, relatively little evidence that partnerships lead to positive outcomes for children and young people. © 2006 The Author(s). Journal compilation © National Children's Bureau.     

Bayesian incorporation of repeated measurements in logistic discrimination

A common problem in medical statistics is the discrimination between two groups on the basis of diagnostic information. Information on patient characteristics is used to classify individuals into one of two groups: diseased or disease-free. This classification is often with respect to a particular disease. This discrimination has two probabilistic components: (1) the discrimination is not without error, and (2) in many cases the a priori chance of disease can be estimated. Logistic models (Cox 1970; Anderson 1972) provide methods for incorporating both of these components. The a posteriori probability of disease may be estimated for a patient on the basis of both current measurement of patient characteristics and prior information. The parameters of the logistic model may be estimated on the basis of a calibration trial. In practice, not one but several sets of measurements of one characteristic of the patient may be made on a questionable case. These measurements typically are correlated; they are far from independent. How should these correlated measurements be used? This paper presents a method for incorporating several sets of measurements in the classification of a case.     

Prediction for generalized linear models

Regression models are often used to make predictions. All the information needed is contained in the predictive distribution. However, this cannot be evaluated explicitly for most generalized linear models. We construct two approximations to this distribution and demonstrate their use on two sets of survival data, corresponding to the outcome of patients admitted to intensive care units and the survival times of leukaemia patients.Regression models are often used to make predictions. All the information needed is contained in the predictive distribution. However, this cannot be evaluated explicitly for most generalized linear models. We construct two approximations to this distribution and demonstrate their use on two sets of survival data, corresponding to the outcome of patients admitted to intensive care units and the survival times of leukaemia patients.Regression models are often used to make predictions. All the information needed is contained in the predictive distribution. However, this cannot be evaluated explicitly for most generalized linear models. We construct two approximations to this distribution and demonstrate their use on two sets of survival data, corresponding to the outcome of patients admitted to intensive care units and the survival times of leukaemia patients.Regression models are often used to make predictions. All the information needed is contained in the predictive distribution. However, this cannot be evaluated explicitly for most generalized linear models. We construct two approximations to this distribution and demonstrate their use on two sets of survival data, corresponding to the outcome of patients admitted to intensive care units and the survival times of leukaemia patients.     

Reproducing Domination Identity and Legitimacy Constructs in the West Indies

Emerging from the historical conditions of colonialism, educated elites from middle strata groups were able to mount successful challenges to colonial power almost everywhere. This was accomplished in the West Indies through the shaping and fashioning of an ideology of Afro-creole nationalism. The latter catapulted the political leadership of these groups into positions of control in post-colonial institutions of government1. Once achieved, such control was employed to satisfy the accumulative power, prestige, and status interests of their middle strata supporters. Afro-creole nationalism served also to legitimise the continued dominance of international economic capital while making available to this ascendant elite international resources of power. In this manner, the penetration of international economic capital was intensified in the post-colonial state. Such penetration was both direct and orchestrated through diplomatic representatives of governments and representatives of bilateral and multilateral agencies directly linked to international capitalist interests. I will focus on the appropriation of symbolic capital in the form of Afro-creole nationalism by elite representatives of these ascendant middle strata groups in the English-speaking West Indies. I will demonstrate how such capital was employed to fashion constructs of identity and legitimacy. Finally, I will focus on the role these constructs played in the reproduction of a Manichean order of domination in West Indian post-colonial formations.     

Recurrence relations for the minimum variance unbiased estimator of the probability function of the R distribution

We obtain a new technique to calculate the value of the minimum variance unbiased estimator (MVUE) of the probability function (p.f.) of the R distribution. This technique is based on an investigation of the ratios of r numbers. A recurrence relation for the MVUE of the p.f. of the R distribution is derived. It is interesting that the derived relation does not depend on the r numbers but depends on the ratios of the r numbers. The new method is efficient, convenient and accurate.