Robust Bayesian prediction under a general linear-exponential posterior risk function and its application in finite population

We consider robust Bayesian prediction of a function of unobserved data based on observed data under an asymmetric loss function. Under a general linear-exponential posterior risk function, the posterior regret gamma-minimax (PRGM), conditional gamma-minimax (CGM), and most stable (MS) predictors are obtained when the prior distribution belongs to a general class of prior distributions. We use this general form to find the PRGM, CGM, and MS predictors of a general linear combination of the finite population values under LINEX loss function on the basis of two classes of priors in a normal model. Also, under the general ε-contamination class of prior distributions, the PRGM predictor of a general linear combination of the finite population values is obtained. Finally, we provide a real-life example to predict a finite population mean and compare the estimated risk and risk bias of the obtained predictors under the LINEX loss function by a simulation study.     

Optimal balanced block designs for correlated observations

The construction of universally optimal designs, if such exist, is difficult to obtain, especially when there are some nuisance effects or correlated errors. The hub correlation is a special correlation structure with applications to experiments in genetics, networks and other areas in industry and agriculture. There may be restrictions on the correlation values of the hub structure depending on the experiment. Optimality of block designs under hub correlation has been studied for the case of a constant correlation value. In this article, we consider the hub structure when one of the correlation values is different from the others, and the universally optimal block designs, binary or non-binary, are theoretically obtained. Also, we introduce an algorithm to construct the optimal designs. The Canadian Journal of Statistics 48: 596–604; 2020 © 2020 Statistical Society of Canada