Population regulation of the euonymus gall midgeMasakimyia pustulaeYukawa andSunose (Diptera: Cecidomyiidae) by hymenopterous parasitoids

Summary Yearly population fluctuations ofM. pustulae were investigated at 19 sites in Kyushu. In sites where a platygastrid is the only parasitoid of the midge, the percentage parasitism was very low in the incipient stage of the outbreak of the midge populations. After the number of midges reached a peak, the midge populations declined as the percentage parasitism increased, and then the outbreak ceased. On the other hand, in several populations no outbreak was found and the percentage parasitism was constantly at a high level. Therefore, the immediate cause for the outbreak seemed to be a decline of the percentage parasitism. Like the midge, the platygastrid has one generation each year, and its females also emerge in spring to deposit their eggs within host eggs. The decline of the percentage parasitism seemed to be mainly affected by the time lag between emergence periods ofM. pustulae and the platygastrid. In the midge populations parasitized by both the platygastrid and a eulophid (Chrysonotomyia sp.), an extinction of the population was observed, resulting from parasitism by the latter,Chrysonotomyia sp. is polyphagous and multivoltine, and is a late parasitoid, as discussed byAskew (1975). When the density of the midges is very low, the platygastrid may leave the host eggs unparasitized, whileChrysonotomyia sp. may not, because the mature galls are conspicuous.     

Dispersion distance of queens from natal sites in the two haplometrotic paper waspsPolistes riparius andP. snelleni (Hymenoptera: Vespidae)

Summary Dispersion capabilities of new queens were studied in the two haplometrotic paper waspsPolistes riparius andP. snelleni. New queens were marked on the nests in the late summer and located in the next spring. Dispersion distances greatly varied among queens: although a large part of recovered queens nested in close proximity to their natal sites, some did disperse over 100–300 m. This suggests that queens' emigration from and immigration into the censused areas occurred to a substantial extent. On the whole, these species exhibited a weaker “philopatric” tendency than those so far studied for dispersion distance, and seem to have the potential for a long-distance dispersion.     

A non-homogeneous hidden Markov model for predicting the distribution of sea surface elevation

The prediction problem of sea state based on the field measurements of wave and meteorological factors is a topic of interest from the standpoints of navigation safety and fisheries. Various statistical methods have been considered for the prediction of the distribution of sea surface elevation. However, prediction of sea state in the transitional situation when waves are developing by blowing wind has been a difficult problem until now, because the statistical expression of the dynamic mechanism during this situation is very complicated. In this article, we consider this problem through the development of a statistical model. More precisely, we develop a model for the prediction of the time-varying distribution of sea surface elevation, taking into account a non-homogeneous hidden Markov model in which the time-varying structures are influenced by wind speed and wind direction. Our prediction experiments suggest the possibility that the proposed model contributes to an improvement of the prediction accuracy by using a homogenous hidden Markov model. Furthermore, we found that the prediction accuracy is influenced by the circular distribution of the circular hidden Markov model for the directional time series wind direction data.