High school students’ academic causal attributions in the cultural-political context of the Arab school system in Israel

While motivation is commonly interpreted as an individual student’s characteristic, motivational perceptions and beliefs, such as causal attributions of success and failure, are embedded in cultural meanings and contextual practices. The current study aimed to investigate causal attributions among Arab high school students in Israel and to interpret them in the light of their cultural-political context. Two hundred and five 11th-grade Arab students from three different geographic regions in Israel responded to open-ended and closed survey questions about events of success and failure in school. The analysis indicated that students overwhelmingly considered exams when thinking about events of success and failure, reflecting the normative teacher-centred pedagogical practices in schools. The analysis also manifested patterns of a self-serving bias. These findings are interpreted in the light of the cultural-political characteristics of the Arab school system in Israel.     

Statistical inference for the Gompertz distribution based on Type-II progressively hybrid censored data

In this article, the statistical inference for the Gompertz distribution based on Type-II progressively hybrid censored data is discussed. The estimation of the parameters for Gompertz distribution is obtained using maximum likelihood method (MLE) and Bayesian method under three different loss functions. We also proved the existence and uniqueness of the MLE. The one-sample Bayesian prediction intervals are obtained. The work is done for different values of the parameters. We apply the Monto Carlo simulation to compare the proposed methods, also an example is discussed to construct the Prediction intervals.     

On testing random effects in the nested-error regression model

We derive an exact F-test for random effects in the nested-error regression model. The derivation utilizes a matrix decomposition that offers a transformation of the response vector into two independent subvectors. When the random effects are absent, the test statistic reduces to a ratio of two independent residual sums of squares that are computed by fitting a regression model using each subvector. A small simulation study compares the power of the F-test with various recent tests and shows that the proposed test has a competitive performance under small as well as large number of clusters.     

Attitudes of Palestinian pre‐school teachers from Israel towards reporting of suspected cases of child abuse and neglect

The paper documents a study conducted among 225 Palestinian pre‐school teachers from Israel. Data were collected through a self‐administered questionnaire that examined the teachers’ attitudes towards reporting child abuse and neglect. In general, the participants’ attitudes towards reporting child abuse and neglect to the child protection services (CPS) were more positive than their attitudes towards reporting to the police. Willingness to report suspected cases of child sexual abuse to the police and CPS was higher than willingness to report other types of child abuse and neglect. Inconsistent results were revealed with regard to how awareness of reporting regulations and awareness of signs and risk factors for child maltreatment affect willingness to report to CPS and to the police. A comprehensive discussion of the possible relevance of the participants’ socio‐cultural and sociopolitical values to their attitudes towards reporting child abuse and neglect is presented. The implications of the results for future studies are also discussed.     

Asymptotic Normality of a Kernel Conditional Quantile Estimator Under Strong Mixing Hypothesis and Left-Truncation

We consider the estimation of the conditional quantile when the interest variable is subject to left truncation. Under regularity conditions, it is shown that the kernel estimate of the conditional quantile is asymptotically normally distributed, when the data exhibit some kind of dependence. We use asymptotic normality to construct confidence bands for predictors based on the kernel estimate of the conditional median.     

Two-Sample Bayesian Prediction Intervals of Generalized Order Statistics Based on Multiply Type II Censored Data

In this article, two-sample Bayesian prediction intervals of generalized order statistics (GOS) based on multiply Type II censored data are derived. To illustrate these results, the Pareto, Weibull, and Burr-Type XII distributions are used as examples. Finally, a numerical illustration of the sequential order statistics from the Pareto distribution is presented.     

A bias-reduced estimator for the mean of a heavy-tailed distribution with an infinite second moment

We use bias-reduced estimators of high quantiles of heavy-tailed distributions, to introduce a new estimator for the mean in the case of infinite second moment. The asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is established and checked in a simulation study, by four of the most popular goodness-of-fit tests. The accuracy of the resulting confidence intervals is evaluated as well. We also investigate the finite sample behavior and compare our estimator with some versions of Peng's estimator of the mean (namely those based on Hill, t-Hill and Huisman et al. extreme value index estimators). Moreover, we discuss the robustness of the tail index estimators used in this paper. Finally, our estimation procedure is applied to the well-known Danish fire insurance claims data set, to provide confidence bounds for the means of weekly and monthly maximum losses over a period of 10 years.     

An integrated model for economic design of chi-square control chart and maintenance planning

Considered process in this article is a two-stage dependent process. Each item in this process has two quality characteristics as x and y while x and y are related to the stage 1 and 2, respectively. Each stage has two operational states as the in-control state and out-of-control state and transition time from the in-control state to the out-of-control state follows a general continues distribution function. The process is monitored using a chi-square control chart. An integrated model that coordinates the decisions related to the economic design of the used control chart and maintenance planning is presented. For the evaluation of the integrated model performance, a stand-alone maintenance model is also presented, and the performance of these two models is compared with each other.     

Basis risk modelling: a cointegration-based approach

ABSTRACT

In this paper we propose a multivariate approach for forecasting pairwise mortality rates of related populations. The need for joint modelling of mortality rates is analysed using a causality test. We show that for the datasets considered, the inclusion of national mortality information enhances predictions on its subpopulations. The investigated approach links national population mortality to that of a subset population, using an econometric model that captures a long-term relationship between the two mortality dynamics. This model does not focus on the correlation between the mortality rates of the two populations, but rather their long-term behaviour, which suggests that the two times series cannot wander off in opposite directions for long before mean reverting, which is consistent with biological reasoning. The model can additionally capture short-term adjustments in the mortality dynamics of the two populations. An empirical comparison of the forecast of one-year death probabilities for policyholders is performed using both a classical factor-based model and the proposed approach. The robustness of the model is tested on mortality rate data for England and Wales, alongside the Continuous Mortality Investigation assured lives dataset, representing the subpopulation.     

Bayesian prediction of future number of failures based on finite mixture of general class of distributions

This paper is concerned with the Bayesian prediction problem of the number of components which will fail in a future time interval. The failure times are distributed according to a finite mixture of a general class of distributions. Type-I censored sample from this nonhomogeneous population and a general class of prior density functions are used. A one-sample scheme is used to predict the number of failures in a future time interval. An example of a finite mixture of k exponential components is given to illustrate our results.