A group sequential test for the inverse Gaussian mean

The present paper deals with the development of a group sequential test when response variable has an inverse Gaussian distribution with known scale parameter.     

Confessions without guilt: public confessions of state violence in Turkey

Drawing on Austin’s speech act theory and on related theories of performativity and positioning, this article analyses the public confessions during the 1990s by three prominent state actors in Turkey about their direct involvement in state crimes against Kurds and left-wing political opponents. All three cases received significant media attention at the time. The aim of the article is not only to shed new light on those specific confessions by the perpetrators within the Turkish context, but also to develop further theoretical insights into the phenomenon of public confessions as such. Whilst confessions of this kind are often welcomed and portrayed as truth-statements that are cathartic and enable society to move forward, this analysis demonstrates that the reality is often more complex as the confessions in question tend to go hand in hand with a disavowal of individual responsibility by the perpetrators involved.

     

A Bayesian Approach to the Estimation of Expected Cell Counts by Using Log-Linear Models

ABSTRACT

In this article, Bayesian estimation of the expected cell counts for log-linear models is considered. The prior specified for log-linear parameters is used to determine a prior for expected cell counts, by means of the family and parameters of prior distributions. This approach is more cost-effective than working directly with cell counts because converting prior information into a prior distribution on the log-linear parameters is easier than that of on the expected cell counts. While proceeding from the prior on log-linear parameters to the prior of the expected cell counts, we faced with a singularity problem of variance matrix of the prior distribution, and added a new precision parameter to solve the problem. A numerical example is also given to illustrate the usage of the new parameter.     

A Horvitz-Thompson Estimator of the Population Mean Using Inclusion Probabilities of Ranked Set Sampling

In this study, we define the Horvitz-Thompson estimator of the population mean using the inclusion probabilities of a ranked set sample in a finite population setting. The second-order inclusion probabilities that are required to calculate the variance of the Horvitz-Thompson estimator were obtained. The Horvitz-Thompson estimator, using the inclusion probabilities of ranked set sample, tends to be more efficient than the classical ranked set sampling estimator especially in a positively skewed population with small sizes. Also, we present a real data example with the volatility of gasoline to illustrate the Horvitz-Thompson estimator based on ranked set sampling.     

A generalized Gumbel distribution and its parameter estimation

ABSTRACT

In this article, main characteristics of a generalized Gumbel (GG) distribution are derived. Parameter estimation with method of moments, maximum likelihood, and Bayesian approaches are demonstrated. Due to the ranges of its skewness and kurtosis, it is satisfactory for fitting a wide variety of datasets. Also, it can be used to model block maxima or minima data due to its close connection with the standard Gumbel distribution. It is demonstrated that the GG distribution fits more accurately than both of the standard Gumbel and generalized extreme value distributions to block maxima data under specific conditions.     

Bayesian estimation of log odds ratios over two-way contingency tables with intraclass correlated cells

In this article, a Bayesian approach is proposed for the estimation of log odds ratios and intraclass correlations over a two-way contingency table, including intraclass correlated cells. Required likelihood functions of log odds ratios are obtained, and determination of prior structures is discussed. Hypothesis testing for log odds ratios and intraclass correlations by using the posterior simulations is outlined. Because the proposed approach includes no asymptotic theory, it is useful for the estimation and hypothesis testing of log odds ratios in the presence of certain intraclass correlation patterns. A family health status and limitations data set is analyzed by using the proposed approach in order to figure out the impact of intraclass correlations on the estimates and hypothesis tests of log odds ratios. Although intraclass correlations are small in the data set, we obtain that even small intraclass correlations can significantly affect the estimates and test results, and our approach is useful for the estimation and testing of log odds ratios in the presence of intraclass correlations.     

A New Formula for Inclusion Probabilities in Median-Ranked Set Sampling

This article develops a new generalized formula to compute the inclusion probabilities of a median-ranked set sample in a finite population setting. The use of this formula is illustrated in a numerical example. Furthermore, the inclusion probabilities of a median-ranked set sample is compared with the inclusion probabilities of ranked set and simple random samples.     

Performance of nonparametric multiple comparison tests under heteroscedasticity,dependency, and skewed error distribution

In this article, an extensive Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted to evaluate and compare nonparametric multiple comparison tests under violations of classical analysis of variance assumptions. Simulation space of the Monte Carlo study is composed of 288 different combinations of balanced and unbalanced sample sizes, number of groups, treatment effects, various levels of heterogeneity of variances, dependence between subgroup levels, and skewed error distributions under the single factor experimental design. By this large simulation space, we present a detailed analysis of effects of the violations of assumptions on the performance of nonparametric multiple comparison tests in terms of three error and four power measures. Observations of this study are beneficial to decide the optimal nonparametric test according to requirements and conditions of undertaken experiments. When some of the assumptions of analysis of variance are violated and number of groups is small, use of stepwise Steel-Dwass procedure with Holm's approach is appropriate to control type I error at a desired level. Dunn's method should be employed for greater number of groups. When subgroups are unbalanced and number of groups is small, Nemenyi's procedure with Duncan's approach produces high power values. Conover's procedure successfully provides high power values with a small number of unbalanced groups or with a greater number of balanced or unbalanced groups. At the same time, Conover's procedure is unable to control type I error rates.     

A test statistic based on ranked set sampling for two normal means

In this study, we considered a hypothesis test for the difference of two population means using ranked set sampling. We proposed a test statistic for this hypothesis test with more than one cycle under normality. We also investigate the performance of this test statistic, when the assumptions hold and are violated. For this reason, we investigate the type I error and power rates of tests under normality with equal and unequal variances, non-normality with equal and unequal variances. We also examine the performance of this test under imperfect ranking case. The simulation results show that derived test performs quite well.