基于三维岩相建模的火山岩岩性识别与预测

长岭1号气田蕴含了丰富的天然气资源，其中绝大部分储存在营城组火山岩中。营城组火山岩主要为酸性火山岩，具有岩性复杂、孔洞缝较发育及储层难预测等特点。制约火山岩气藏开发的关键问题是能否准确识别和预测岩性。针对目前本地区对岩性、岩相认识不清的问题，充分利用岩芯、成像测井、岩屑和常规测井等各种有效信息，借助神经网络技术，建立了单井岩相解释模型。在此基础上，提出了火山岩体控岩相建模的策略，将确定性建模与随机建模相结合，建立了火山岩三维岩相分布模型，实现了火山岩岩性的空间展布预测，为气藏的开发提供了依据。     

Knowledge and beliefs about national development and developmental hierarchies: The viewpoints of ordinary people in thirteen countries

Scholars and policy makers have for centuries constructed and used developmental hierarchies to characterize different countries. The hypotheses motivating this paper are that such social constructions have been circulated internationally, are constructed similarly in various countries, and follow the social constructions of elite international organizations, such as the United Nations. This paper uses data from 15 surveys in 13 diverse countries to study how developmental hierarchies are understood in everyday life. Our research shows that most people have constructions of developmental hierarchies that are similar across countries and are similar to the developmental hierarchies constructed by the United Nations. These findings suggest that developmental hierarchies are widely understood around the world and are widely available to ordinary people as they make decisions about many aspects of life.     

黎族传统法文化中的"鬼判"探讨

黎族传统社会没有成文法,只有习惯法,并且其习惯法与原始宗教联系密切."鬼判"是黎族地区一种重要的纠纷解决方式,包括雷判、火判、鬼公判等.其特点为:类型较少、仪式简单、未必针对疑难案件."鬼判"是神明裁判的初级阶段.     

A portrait of the nest-leaving process in early adulthood

This paper provides an in-depth portrait of the nest-leaving process in early adulthood as it emerged in the 1980s. Event histories are used to describe transitions in and out of the parental home during the years from age 15 through age 23. We focus on the role of the “new” forms of living arrangements in the leaving-home process, namely nonfamily living and cohabitation. The results show that the transition to full residential independence is more gradual, with more intermediate steps, than previous studies suggested. Cohabitation is rare as a route out of the parental home, and both nonfamily living and cohabitation lead to much higher return rates than does marriage.     

Developmental Idealism and Cultural Models of the Family in Malawi

This paper examines the extent to which developmental idealism has been disseminated in Malawi. Developmental idealism is a set of beliefs and values about development and the relationships between development and family structures and behavior. Developmental idealism states that attributes of societies and families defined as modern are better than attributes defined as traditional, that modern societies help produce modern families, that modern families facilitate the achievement of modern societies, and that the future will bring family change in the direction of modernity. Previous research has demonstrated that knowledge of developmental idealism is widespread in many places around the world, but provides little systematic data about it in sub-Saharan Africa or how knowledge of it is associated with certain demographic characteristics in that region. In this paper, we address this issue by examining whether ordinary people in two settings in Malawi, a sub-Saharan African country, have received and understood messages that are intended to associate development with certain types of family forms and family behaviors. We then examine associations between demographic characteristics and developmental idealism to investigate possible mechanisms linking global discourse about development to the grassroots. We analyze data collected in face-to-face surveys from two samples of Malawian men in 2009 and 2010, one rural, the other in a low-to-medium income neighborhood of a city. Our analysis of these survey data shows considerable evidence that many developmental idealism beliefs have been spread in that country and that education has positive effects on beliefs in the association between development and family attributes. We also find higher levels of developmental idealism awareness in the urban sample than we do in the rural sample, but once dissimilarities in education and wealth between the two samples are controlled, awareness levels no longer differed between urban and rural respondents. We explore how these beliefs intersect with longstanding local values and beliefs in Malawi.     

高校教职工奖金分配政策导向及平衡艺术思索

高校教职工奖金分配,关系到高校广大群众的切身利益与积极性发挥。在改革开放30年后。教职工企盼合理分享改革发展成果和教职工“工资＋奖金”分配模式等条件下,讨论了高校教职工奖金分配的政策依据及其可具有的导向性,提倡在奖金分配中注重“激励艺术”与“平衡艺术”。研究认为：高校教职工奖金分配是体现各级领导执政能力的重要标尺之一,奖金分配的权重构成可彰显学校的政策导向、工作重点与学校精神,在奖金发放中既要坚持物质利益原则又要倡导无私奉献精神。     

Fatalistic Beliefs and Migration Behaviors: A Study of Ideational Demography in Nepal

Population Research and Policy Review - We investigate influences of fatalistic beliefs on domestic and international migration in Nepal, positing that fatalistic beliefs may affect decisions to...     

Strategies for origin-based surveying of international migrants

This paper addresses methodological challenges of investigations of international migration, including difficulties in obtaining information about representative samples of migrants and both their origin and destination location. Our project used an origin-based sample with a destination-focused survey and interviewed 91% of migrants from a community in Nepal to any destination and shares techniques employed. Our procedures and high response rate constitute a significant improvement in survey methods that permit the creation of unbiased data on migrants and allow the study of migration in conjunction with origin communities.     

数字技术环境下出版产业发展战略研究——基于“钻石模型”的应用

数字技术对出版产业的影响是深远的,它带来了全新的出版产品制作方式,有利于和读者进行直接沟通,同时培育了全新的出版产业发展模式。在数字环境下,我国的出版产业应该有什么样的发展方向,迈克尔·波特的钻石模型理论可以很好地给出这一答案。其理论显示,一个产业要获取持久的产业竞争力需要四个关键的发展要素,即产业生产要素、市场对于产业的需求、相关和支持性的产业以及产业中企业的因素。我国出版产业目前处于一个产业过渡的发展阶段,在四个关键的产业发展要素方面,还存在一些不足。要将数字技术融入产业发展内,还需要政府出台相应的政策进行激励。