应用型本科高校教学督导工作实践研究

教学质量是高校生存与发展的基本保障.对应用型本科高校教学来说,教学督导具有非常重要的作用,做好教学督导工作,能够使教学质量和教学水平大幅度提升,为现代社会培育出更多的优质人才.概述教学督导,明确教学督导的职能,分析应用型本科高校教学督导工作存在的问题,并提出具体的工作实践路径,可供高校参考.     

信息社会个人信息法律关系的构造

信息社会的本质是能够产生个人信息法律关系,信息流是解构个人信息法律关系的关键,也是个人信息法律关系产生的直接动力.个人信息法律关系的主流构造分别以信息自决、隐私和人格权益为基础,其中,国家利益成为个人信息法律关系构造中不可忽视的力量.三种构造模式分别体现出个人与企业,个人与国家,个人、企业和国家三者之间的利益平衡.由于利益平衡体现出的幸存者偏差效应,个人信息法律关系的构造以主体场域信息自治为中心,具有合理性和现实性.     

Multiple event times in the presence of informative censoring: modeling and analysis by copulas

Motivated by a breast cancer research program, this paper is concerned with the joint survivor function of multiple event times when their observations are subject to informative censoring caused by a terminating event. We formulate the correlation of the multiple event times together with the time to the terminating event by an Archimedean copula to account for the informative censoring. Adapting the widely used two-stage procedure under a copula model, we propose an easy-to-implement pseudo-likelihood based procedure for estimating the model parameters. The approach yields a new estimator for the marginal distribution of a single event time with semicompeting-risks data. We conduct both asymptotics and simulation studies to examine the proposed approach in consistency, efficiency, and robustness. Data from the breast cancer program are employed to illustrate this research.

     

Efficacy Foundations for Risk Communication: How People Think About Reducing the Risks of Climate Change

Believing action to reduce the risks of climate change is both possible (self‐efficacy) and effective (response efficacy) is essential to motivate and sustain risk mitigation efforts, according to current risk communication theory. Although the public recognizes the dangers of climate change, and is deluged with lists of possible mitigative actions, little is known about public efficacy beliefs in the context of climate change. Prior efficacy studies rely on conflicting constructs and measures of efficacy, and links between efficacy and risk management actions are muddled. As a result, much remains to learn about how laypersons think about the ease and effectiveness of potential mitigative actions. To bring clarity and inform risk communication and management efforts, we investigate how people think about efficacy in the context of climate change risk management by analyzing unprompted and prompted beliefs from two national surveys (N = 405, N = 1,820). In general, respondents distinguish little between effective and ineffective climate strategies. While many respondents appreciate that reducing fossil fuel use is an effective risk mitigation strategy, overall assessments reflect persistent misconceptions about climate change causes, and uncertainties about the effectiveness of risk mitigation strategies. Our findings suggest targeting climate change risk communication and management strategies to (1) address gaps in people's existing mental models of climate action, (2) leverage existing public understanding of both potentially effective mitigation strategies and the collective action dilemma at the heart of climate change action, and (3) take into account ideologically driven reactions to behavior change and government action framed as climate action.     

Re‐framing the Analysis: A 3‐dimensional Perspective of Prisoners’ Children's Well‐being

This article highlights three dimensions to understanding children's well‐being during and after parental imprisonment which have not been fully explored in current research. A consideration of ‘time’ reveals the importance of children's past experiences and their anticipated futures. A focus on ‘space’ highlights the impact of new or altered environmental dynamics. A study of ‘agency’ illuminates how children cope within structural, material and social confines which intensify vulnerability and dependency. This integrated perspective reveals important differences in individual children's experiences and commonalities in broader systemic and social constraints on prisoners’ children. The paper analyses data from a prospective longitudinal study of 35 prisoners’ children during and after their (step) father's imprisonment to illustrate the arguments.     

周人之“德”为“明德”论——兼论殷周之“德”的区别

"德"的原始观念来源于人们对"效能"和"能力"崇拜,是古代君王通过"巡省"方式树立自己的权威和影响力的反映。"德"字之初义就是"政治控驭能力和权威影响力",这种观念大概产生于部族联合体的尧舜禹时代,所以"德"不是周人的首创,周人只是提出了不同于商人的"明德"观念,以"帝迁明德"为自己的政治合法性依据。"德"作为政治控驭能力的代称包括"刚克"和"柔克"两种手段,作为"刚克"手段的刑罚也是原始"德"含义的一个方面。与周人的"明德"观念相一致,"明刑"、"明罚"思想也是周人"明德"观念的衍生思想。     

Partial Identification of Economic Mobility: With an Application to the United States

Abstract

The economic mobility of individuals and households is of fundamental interest. While many measures of economic mobility exist, reliance on transition matrices remains pervasive due to simplicity and ease of interpretation. However, estimation of transition matrices is complicated by the well-acknowledged problem of measurement error in self-reported and even administrative data. Existing methods of addressing measurement error are complex, rely on numerous strong assumptions, and often require data from more than two periods. In this article, we investigate what can be learned about economic mobility as measured via transition matrices while formally accounting for measurement error in a reasonably transparent manner. To do so, we develop a nonparametric partial identification approach to bound transition probabilities under various assumptions on the measurement error and mobility processes. This approach is applied to panel data from the United States to explore short-run mobility before and after the Great Recession.     

创业文化的道德哲学基础

创业文化做为属人的文化必须建立在生命道德基础之上,以生命为中心指导创业实践。而在生命的实践过程中,生命道德基础必然外显为实践道德,最终决定了做为其结果的功业道德。从而创业文化具有由生命道德、实践道德、功业道德三个不同层级构成的道德基础,而西方文化没有自己的生命道德基础,从而无法实现三个道德基础的贯通,只有回到中国传统文化的生命哲学,才能实现创业文化三个道德基础的贯通。