《麦克白》咒语现象解析

咒语现象是《麦克白》整出戏剧极富魅力的表现元素。它既为剧本奠定了一种神秘而阴森的基调,同时确定全局总纲,为剧情发展起到重要的推动作用。咒语与主人公的性格、行为以及内心活动、命运走向息息相关,并最终导致麦克白命运悲剧的发生。集众恶于一身的女巫是咒语现象的主体,艰深晦涩、言辞激烈的诗体是咒语的具体表现形式,咒语的预言性质笼罩全篇,影响着人物的内心恶念,推动剧情发展,成为贯穿全剧始终的主题线索。     

"张飞捉周瑜"故事在通俗文学中的传播——兼论"非小说故事"文学地位的上移

"张飞捉周瑜"故事不见于《三国志演义》,但在戏曲及说唱文学中一直都有流传.其源头最早可追溯至明万历年间刊刻的《草庐记》,后被清宫连台本戏《鼎峙春秋》改编定型,逐渐影响至多种地方戏曲、说唱曲艺.由于《鼎峙春秋》以《三国志演义》为纲,巧妙地将"张飞捉周瑜"故事插入剧情之中,更容易被熟悉小说情节的观众接受,因此产生的影响更大.而这一故事在其他通俗文学类别中,同样存在向《三国志演义》靠拢的趋势.以"张飞捉周瑜"故事在通俗文学中的传播与演变为线索,可以发现许多"非小说故事"通过主动与小说同化的方式,获得更大的生存空间,得到文学地位的"上移",可被视作一种特殊的经典化过程.     

A New Methodology for Before–After Safety Assessment Using Survival Analysis and Longitudinal Data

The widely used empirical Bayes (EB) and full Bayes (FB) methods for before–after safety assessment are sometimes limited because of the extensive data needs from additional reference sites. To address this issue, this study proposes a novel before–after safety evaluation methodology based on survival analysis and longitudinal data as an alternative to the EB/FB method. A Bayesian survival analysis (SARE) model with a random effect term to address the unobserved heterogeneity across sites is developed. The proposed survival analysis method is validated through a simulation study before its application. Subsequently, the SARE model is developed in a case study to evaluate the safety effectiveness of a recent red‐light‐running photo enforcement program in New Jersey. As demonstrated in the simulation and the case study, the survival analysis can provide valid estimates using only data from treated sites, and thus its results will not be affected by the selection of defective or insufficient reference sites. In addition, the proposed approach can take into account the censored data generated due to the transition from the before period to the after period, which has not been previously explored in the literature. Using individual crashes as units of analysis, survival analysis can incorporate longitudinal covariates such as the traffic volume and weather variation, and thus can explicitly account for the potential temporal heterogeneity.     

亲告罪救济机制的反思与重构——从比较法的角度切入

刑法告诉才处理案件中的自诉机制在实践中往往会发生障碍,公权力在何种情况下介入方为合适就成为理论和实务中不可回避的问题.本文作者通过对中国现行法律规定和大陆法系各国立法例的分析认为,一方面应当拓宽此类案件的追诉途径,另一方面则应当分别不同情况由检察机关协助自诉,或者在保障被害人意愿的前提下求诸公诉程序.     

无理数e在电路基本理论中出现的物理意义

对无理数e在电路分析中出现的几个典型例子作了分析讨论，明确指出：由1／e决定的特征常数可以在时间分布上和空间分布上，把一个按指数规律非均匀变化的问题，用一个等效的均匀变化的问题来表示；可以反映初始变化率与最终稳定值之间的联系；可以更深刻地反映某些物理过程的本质特征。     

裴迪考论

裴迪是和王维同时而稍后的田园诗人 ,他的一生中大概有 2 0年是跟随着王维度过的。裴迪在唐代并不是显赫的诗人。但是他与当时除了李白以外的其他大诗人都有或多或少的联系。考证他的事迹和与这些诗人的关系 ,也可以使这些诗人得到更多的还原以被人们了解。     

Bayesian networks for imputation

Summary.  Bayesian networks are particularly useful for dealing with high dimensional statistical problems. They allow a reduction in the complexity of the phenomenon under study by representing joint relationships between a set of variables through conditional relationships between subsets of these variables. Following Thibaudeau and Winkler we use Bayesian networks for imputing missing values. This method is introduced to deal with the problem of the consistency of imputed values: preservation of statistical relationships between variables ( statistical consistency ) and preservation of logical constraints in data ( logical consistency ). We perform some experiments on a subset of anonymous individual records from the 1991 UK population census.     

文学翻译的艺术性

翻译的语言学理论将翻译提到科学的高度加以描述,可以说比传统理论前进了一步。但是如果因此而否认了翻译的艺术性,就无法阐明翻译中的许多问题。翻译的艺术性至少包括三个方面的内容,即形式表现、异质同构和艺术冲动。