Efficient Estimation in Heteroscedastic Partially Linear Varying Coefficient Models

This article considers statistical inference for the heteroscedastic partially linear varying coefficient models. We construct an efficient estimator for the parametric component by applying the weighted profile least-squares approach, and show that it is semiparametrically efficient in the sense that the inverse of the asymptotic variance of the estimator reaches the semiparametric efficiency bound. Simulation studies are conducted to illustrate the performance of the proposed method.     

列宁社会主义建设方法论及其在中国的发展

社会主义建设的方法论 ,是社会主义建设和发展的一个至关重要的问题。列宁在此问题上进行了不懈的探索 ,并找到了正确的方法 ,这就是间接过渡的方法。列宁社会主义建设方法论 ,在中国得到了发展 ,毛泽东和邓小平为此都作了不懈的努力 ,并由邓小平创立了有中国特色的社会主义建设方法论     

普通民用住宅电气线路的设计

比较了国内外住宅电气的设计标准 ,论述了我国民用住宅电气用电负荷标准、进户线和分支线截面、分支回路接地线等容量的设计 .     

规范招投标管理从源头上遏制腐败

招投标的运作需要行之有效的管理制度和有效监督的机制做保证 ,并应不断研究解决招投标过程中出现的新情况、新问题     

高校教师教书育人的途径和方法研究

本文在肯定教师在高等学校对学生传授知识、培养能力方面的作用基础上,指出教书育人是教师的神圣职责并提出教师教书育人的重要途径和方法。     

高职教育不能忽视传统文化教育

在努力实现现代化宏伟目标及中华民族伟大复兴的关键时刻,作为占国民高等教育半壁江山的高等职业教育,在强化以能力为本位的教学改革的同时,不能忽视中国传统文化的教育。     

350keV Yb~＋注入Si（100）的射程分布和晶格损伤研究

用３５０ｋｅＶＹｂ~＋在室温下注入了单晶硅，并用卢瑟福背散射／沟道技术测量了注入离子在硅中的射程分布谱和晶格损伤谱。用表面能量近似和平均能量近似从背散射谱上计算了射程深度和射程分布的标准偏差。实验和计算结果表明，大部分注入离子都处于非替位位置。表面能量近似方法已能给出相当理想的计算精度，它与更精确的平均能量近似所得出的结果相差甚微。晶体与非晶体界面附近的损伤并由Ｙｂ~＋直接产生，它是一种次级级联碰撞效应。     

What to Do at Low Doses: A Bounding Approach for Economic Analysis

To quantify the health benefits of environmental policies, economists generally require estimates of the reduced probability of illness or death. For policies that reduce exposure to carcinogenic substances, these estimates traditionally have been obtained through the linear extrapolation of experimental dose-response data to low-exposure scenarios as described in the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's Guidelines for Carcinogen Risk Assessment (1986). In response to evolving scientific knowledge, EPA proposed revisions to the guidelines in 1996. Under the proposed revisions, dose-response relationships would not be estimated for carcinogens thought to exhibit nonlinear modes of action. Such a change in cancer-risk assessment methods and outputs will likely have serious consequences for how benefit-cost analyses of policies aimed at reducing cancer risks are conducted. Any tendency for reduced quantification of effects in environmental risk assessments, such as those contemplated in the revisions to EPA's cancer-risk assessment guidelines, impedes the ability of economic analysts to respond to increasing calls for benefit-cost analysis. This article examines the implications for benefit-cost analysis of carcinogenic exposures of the proposed changes to the 1986 Guidelines and proposes an approach for bounding dose-response relationships when no biologically based models are available. In spite of the more limited quantitative information provided in a carcinogen risk assessment under the proposed revisions to the guidelines, we argue that reasonable bounds on dose-response relationships can be estimated for low-level exposures to nonlinear carcinogens. This approach yields estimates of reduced illness for use in a benefit-cost analysis while incorporating evidence of nonlinearities in the dose-response relationship. As an illustration, the bounding approach is applied to the case of chloroform exposure.     

Valuation of childhood risk reduction: the importance of age, risk preferences, and perspective.

This article explores two problems analysts face in determining how to estimate values for children's health and safety risk reductions. The first addresses the question: Do willingness‐to‐pay estimates for health risk changes differ across children and adults and, if so, how? To answer this question, the article first examines the potential effects of age and risk preferences on willingness to pay. A summary of the literature reporting empirical evidence of differences between willingness to pay for adult health and safety risk reductions and willingness to pay for health and safety risk reductions in children is also provided. The second dimension of the problem is a more fundamental issue: Whose perspective is relevant when valuing children's health effects—society's, children's, adults‐as‐children, or parents'? Each perspective is considered, followed ultimately by the conclusion that adopting a parental perspective through an intrahousehold allocation model seems closest to meeting the needs of the estimation problem at hand. A policy example in which the choice of perspective affects the outcome of a regulatory benefit‐cost analysis rounds out the article and emphasizes the importance of perspective.     

Bayesian model selection and parameter estimation for possibly asymmetric and non-stationary time series using a reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo approach

A Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach, called a reversible jump MCMC, is employed in model selection and parameter estimation for possibly non-stationary and non-linear time series data. The non-linear structure is modelled by the asymmetric momentum threshold autoregressive process (MTAR) of Enders & Granger (1998) or by the asymmetric self-exciting threshold autoregressive process (SETAR) of Tong (1990). The non-stationary and non-linear feature is represented by the MTAR (or SETAR) model in which one ( 𝜌 1 ) of the AR coefficients is greater than one, and the other ( 𝜌 2 ) is smaller than one. The other non-stationary and linear, stationary and nonlinear, and stationary and linear features, represented respectively by ( 𝜌 1 = 𝜌 2 = 1 ), ( 𝜌 1 p 𝜌 2 < 1 ) and ( 𝜌 1 = 𝜌 2 < 1 ), are also considered as possible models. The reversible jump MCMC provides estimates of posterior probabilities for these four different models as well as estimates of the AR coefficients 𝜌 1 and 𝜌 2 . The proposed method is illustrated by analysing six series of US interest rates in terms of model selection, parameter estimation, and forecasting.