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Tim B. Swartz Paramjit S. Gill Saman Muthukumarana 《Revue canadienne de statistique》2009,37(2):143-160
This article is concerned with the simulation of one‐day cricket matches. Given that only a finite number of outcomes can occur on each ball that is bowled, a discrete generator on a finite set is developed where the outcome probabilities are estimated from historical data involving one‐day international cricket matches. The probabilities depend on the batsman, the bowler, the number of wickets lost, the number of balls bowled and the innings. The proposed simulator appears to do a reasonable job at producing realistic results. The simulator allows investigators to address complex questions involving one‐day cricket matches. The Canadian Journal of Statistics © 2009 Statistical Society of Canada 相似文献
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Various methodologies proposed for some inference problems associated with two‐arm trails are known to suffer from difficulties, as documented in Senn (2001). We propose an alternative Bayesian approach to these problems that deals with these difficulties through providing an explicit measure of statistical evidence and the strength of this evidence. Bayesian methods are often criticized for their intrinsic subjectivity. We show how these concerns can be dealt with through assessing the bias induced by a prior model checking and checking for prior‐data conflict. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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The authors extend the classical Cormack‐Jolly‐Seber mark‐recapture model to account for both temporal and spatial movement through a series of markers (e.g., dams). Survival rates are modeled as a function of (possibly) unobserved travel times. Because of the complex nature of the likelihood, they use a Bayesian approach based on the complete data likelihood, and integrate the posterior through Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. They test the model through simulations and apply it also to actual salmon data arising from the Columbia river system. The methodology was developed for use by the Pacific Ocean Shelf Tracking (POST) project. 相似文献
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In multivariate surveys where p (> 1) characteristics are defined on each unit of the population, the problem of allocation becomes complicated. In the present article, we propose a method to work out the compromise allocation in a multivariate stratified surveys. The problem is formulated as a Multiobjective Integer Nonlinear Programming Problem. Using the value function technique, the problem is converted into a single objective problem. A formula for continuous sample sizes is obtained using Lagrange Multipliers Technique (LMT) that can provide a near optimum solution in some cases. It may give an initial point for any integer nonlinear programing technique. 相似文献
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In stratified sample surveys, the problem of determining the optimum allocation is well known due to articles published in 1923 by Tschuprow and in 1934 by Neyman. The articles suggest the optimum sample sizes to be selected from each stratum for which sampling variance of the estimator is minimum for fixed total cost of the survey or the cost is minimum for a fixed precision of the estimator. If in a sample survey more than one characteristic is to be measured on each selected unit of the sample, that is, the survey is a multi-response survey, then the problem of determining the optimum sample sizes to various strata becomes more complex because of the non-availability of a single optimality criterion that suits all the characteristics. Many authors discussed compromise criterion that provides a compromise allocation, which is optimum for all characteristics, at least in some sense. Almost all of these authors worked out the compromise allocation by minimizing some function of the sampling variances of the estimators under a single cost constraint. A serious objection to this approach is that the variances are not unit free so that minimizing any function of variances may not be an appropriate objective to obtain a compromise allocation. This fact suggests the use of coefficient of variations instead of variances. In the present article, the problem of compromise allocation is formulated as a multi-objective non-linear programming problem. By linearizing the non-linear objective functions at their individual optima, the problem is approximated to an integer linear programming problem. Goal programming technique is then used to obtain a solution to the approximated problem. 相似文献
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Pulak Ghosh Paramjit Gill Saman Muthukumarana Tim Swartz 《Australian & New Zealand Journal of Statistics》2010,52(3):289-302
This paper considers the use of Dirichlet process prior distributions in the statistical analysis of network data. Dirichlet process prior distributions have the advantages of avoiding the parametric specifications for distributions, which are rarely known, and of facilitating a clustering effect, which is often applicable to network nodes. The approach is highlighted for two network models and is conveniently implemented using WinBUGS software. 相似文献
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Saman Eskandarzadeh Reza Tavakkoli-Moghaddam Amir Azaron 《Journal of Combinatorial Optimization》2009,17(2):214-234
In this paper, we propose an exact method for solving a special integer program associated with the classical capacitated
arc routing problems (CARPs) called split demand arc routing problems (SDARP). This method is developed in the context of
monotropic programming theory and bases a promising foundation for developing specialized algorithms in order to solve general
integer programming problems. In particular, the proposed algorithm generalizes the relaxation algorithm developed by Tseng
and Bertsekas (Math. Oper. Res. 12(4):569–596, 1987) for solving linear programming problems. This method can also be viewed as an alternative for the subgradient method for
solving Lagrangian relaxed problems. Computational experiments show its high potential in terms of efficiency and goodness
of solutions on standard test problems. 相似文献
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Saman Babaie-Kafaki Mahdi Roozbeh 《Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation》2017,87(12):2298-2308
As known, the ordinary least-squares estimator (OLSE) is unbiased and also, has the minimum variance among all the linear unbiased estimators. However, under multicollinearity the estimator is generally unstable and poor in the sense that variance of the regression coefficients may be inflated and absolute values of the estimates may be too large. There are several classes of biased estimators in statistical literature to decrease the effect of multicollinearity in the design matrix. Here, based on the Cholesky decomposition, we propose such an estimator which makes the data to be slightly distorted. The exact risk expressions as well as the biases are derived for the proposed estimator. Also, some results demonstrating superiority of the suggested estimator over OLSE are obtained. Finally, a Monté-Carlo simulation study and a real data application related to acetylene data are presented to support our theoretical discussions. 相似文献