河南省南水北调移民学校教育信息化应用问题研究

由于政府的大力支持和相关单位的大力配合,移民学校的教育信息化设备较为先进,但是许多教师教育信息化观念较为落后,信息技能较为欠缺,移民学校教育信息化存在严重的"木桶效应"。解决这一问题,必须从转变观念,加强师资队伍建设、软件资源环境建设以及校园网络建设等方面着手,大力提升移民学校教育信息化水平,提高移民学校的教育教学质量。     

Diversion From the Juvenile Justice System: Observations of a Teen Court Program

Teen courts are a multidisciplinary intervention used to divert youth with minor offenses from the juvenile justice system. Observations were conducted at 13 hearings in an urban jurisdiction, with information gathered about the youth respondent, peer jurors, and adult volunteers. Peer jurors engaged in the majority of communication with the respondent during hearings. Adult volunteers, often members of the legal or judicial community, fulfilled supporting functions. Findings suggest that a youth-oriented process with support from adult volunteers can result in active participation from youth, and that teen courts provide opportunities for community involvement.     

Is program structure related to stigma and community acceptance of justice-involved adolescents?

Objective

The aim of the study is to examine the impact of diversion program characteristics on social stigma of delinquent adolescents in Jordan.

Method

A street survey of adults was conducted in Amman, Jordan. Respondents were randomly assigned to read one of four vignettes involving a delinquent adolescent who participated successfully in one of four types of juvenile justice interventions: detention center placement; diversion with counseling; diversion with counseling plus victim apology and restitution; and diversion with counseling plus family-based apology and restitution. Respondents reported their willingness to accept the adolescent as a member of their child's school, as a friend of their child, as a spouse for their child, and as a future employee. Seventy seven percent of adults approached participated (N = 137).

Results

Respondents reported greater willingness to accept the adolescent when he participated in any of the three diversion programs compared to the detention center condition (β = .80, p < .05). However, there were no differences among the diversion program types (i.e., counseling only, counseling plus individual restorative justice, counseling plus tribal restorative justice) in acceptance levels. Regardless of intervention type, the perception that the adolescent had ‘learned his lesson’ was associated with greater acceptance and with heightened expectations of future success.

Conclusion

Intervention characteristics can influence public stigma in the Middle East. For justice involved youths, interventions that increase perceptions that youth have learned their lesson is a crucial ingredient to stigma reduction efforts. Social work interventions with delinquent adolescents and their families need to incorporate stigma management strategies that convey lesson-learning as a key intervention outcome.     

资本市场发展的储蓄分流效应——中国实证研究

资本市场的发展使储蓄分流成为可能,从而对商业银行的储蓄存款业务产生影响。本文首先梳理了储蓄分流的概念、特征及产生原因,并详细描述了我国储蓄分流的发展过程,提出问题：中国商业银行的储蓄分流现象是否由资本市场发展引起的。第二部分通过对中国17家商业银行及资本市场2004-2008年的面板数据做固定效应模型回归,得出实证结论：我国A股市场流通市值的变动显著的负向影响商业银行存款增长率。表明近年来中国资本市场发展是储蓄分流现象的主要原因之一。     

甲供资源约束条件下南水北调工程项目群工期-费用优化模型研究

在研究项目群工期—费用优化问题时，首先剖析了项目群工期—费用优化机理。然后建立了甲供资源约束条件下项目群实施前的工期—费用优化模型，对初始网络计划进行优化，使业主支付款净现值最小。但由于项目群中各合同项目间存在资源竞争和工期冲突等矛盾，可能引起某一合同项目的工期延误。基于此，构建项目群实施过程中的工期—费用优化模型，对实施前优化后的网络计划进行动态调整。最后结合南水北调某X项目群对比了不同工期—费用优化下的结果。结果显示：两阶段的项目群工期—费用优化可实现项目群的费用控制目标，为项目经理确定项目群中各合同项目的起始时间提供依据。     

Predicting program success for adult offenders with serious mental illness in a court ordered diversion program

ABSTRACT

Individuals with mental illnesses are disproportionately involved with the criminal justice system and are now being diverted from jails to community-based supervision. This study examines secondary data from a state hospital, mental health diversion program. Logistic regression was used to examine risk factors that best predicted successful program completion. Results indicate that non-whites are more likely to complete. Participants in supervised housing, ever been re-hospitalized, diagnosed with a depressive or psychotic disorder or who had their probation revoked were less likely to complete. Findings indicate practitioners should provide a holistic and individually oriented treatment approach for success.     

论列宁“伯尔尼笔记”深层逻辑轨迹的拟现

张一兵教授新著《回到列宁》分析了＂伯尔尼笔记＂里列宁思想模式从＂他性镜像＂向＂自主性思想构境＂转换的逻辑进程,其中经历两次重大＂思想逻辑异轨＂,最终获得＂客观的、现实的实践辩证法＂崭新理论视界。作者还分析确认了＂伯尔尼笔记＂初始理论视界,将非同质性文本解读方法微观化到单一文本,进而拟现出一个动态的思想逻辑轨迹,并以实践辩证法重新标定列宁哲学在马克思主义哲学史的位置。虽然在文献考证性、个别解读以及哲学范畴与现实革命行动联系的中介环节仍然存在有待商榷和补充之处,然而这种以＂思想构境论＂研究方法为基础的原创性解读探索,已经为＂伯尔尼笔记＂研究开辟出崭新的思索辩论空间。     

Modeling Phytosanitary Risk of Unintended Commodity Use: The Example of U.S. Potato Exports to Mexico

Diversion of commodities from their intended use to an unintended use, e.g., when commodities intended for consumption are used as seed for planting, is an important issue in agricultural trade that has implications for the establishment of pests and pathogens in an importing country and for the appropriate strength of plant health measures. Consequently, understanding and accurately characterizing the risk of diversion from intended use is highly relevant to policymakers, trading partners, and in trade dispute arbitration. To our knowledge, no risk assessments have ever accounted for the likelihood of diversion from intended use. Here we present an approach to analyzing this risk using diversion of U.S. table stock potatoes to seed for planting by Mexican potato producers as a case study. We use probabilistic pathway models to characterize the movement of white, yellow, and russet potatoes from the United States into Mexico at current and double export volumes. We then model the likelihood of these potatoes being diverted for seed and the subsequent establishment of bacteria, nematode, and virus pests in Mexico. Our approach demonstrates how diversion from intended use can be quantified in one scenario and, in particular, how it can be analyzed to estimate the magnitude of diversion required to produce a high risk of pest establishment.     

价值论哲学：中国化马克思主义哲学的当代形态——兼评孙伟平新著《价值论转向——现代哲学的困境与出路》

哲学的价值论转向既是哲学理论自身发展的必然,更是时代与社会实践发展的要求。事实向价值的不断转化,是哲学价值论转向的根据。马克思哲学本质上是一种价值论哲学,确认马克思哲学的价值论哲学属性,是时代给中国哲学提出的一个必然要求,具有重大而深远的意义。适应现代哲学价值论转向的趋势和中国社会价值问题的日益突显,中国化马克思主义哲学的当代形态应该是价值论的马克思主义哲学,其主要表现形式就是邓小平价值哲学思想。     

从春秋战国时期的水利工程及其命名谈南水北调工程的命名

春秋战国时期是中华文明的形成时代,是中国水利工程开始大规模兴修的时代。这个时期水利工程的技术水平达到当时世界的领先水平,而且其工程命名都充满着中国文化的元素。这些水利工程对春秋战国时期的政治、经济、文化都产生了深刻的影响。南水北调工程是继春秋战国我国第一批水利工程之后两千多年来修建的一项大型水利工程,其工程意义和命名对今天的社会发展将产生深远的影响。朱海风教授在《华北水利水电大学学报》2014年第一期发表的《关于南水北调工程命名的思考与建议》一文中将南水北调东中西线分别称为"和谐渠、梦成渠和天福渠"的一组命名,用"水到渠成,梦想成真"之意蕴,最具时代特色。