全文获取类型
收费全文 | 2868篇 |
免费 | 158篇 |
国内免费 | 3篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 752篇 |
民族学 | 14篇 |
人才学 | 1篇 |
人口学 | 113篇 |
丛书文集 | 164篇 |
理论方法论 | 145篇 |
综合类 | 808篇 |
社会学 | 257篇 |
统计学 | 775篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 1篇 |
2023年 | 9篇 |
2022年 | 24篇 |
2021年 | 38篇 |
2020年 | 70篇 |
2019年 | 72篇 |
2018年 | 83篇 |
2017年 | 68篇 |
2016年 | 70篇 |
2015年 | 79篇 |
2014年 | 152篇 |
2013年 | 388篇 |
2012年 | 236篇 |
2011年 | 226篇 |
2010年 | 171篇 |
2009年 | 157篇 |
2008年 | 130篇 |
2007年 | 114篇 |
2006年 | 105篇 |
2005年 | 99篇 |
2004年 | 82篇 |
2003年 | 76篇 |
2002年 | 66篇 |
2001年 | 62篇 |
2000年 | 48篇 |
1999年 | 24篇 |
1998年 | 22篇 |
1997年 | 38篇 |
1996年 | 15篇 |
1995年 | 16篇 |
1994年 | 20篇 |
1993年 | 28篇 |
1992年 | 43篇 |
1991年 | 23篇 |
1990年 | 29篇 |
1989年 | 21篇 |
1988年 | 18篇 |
1987年 | 22篇 |
1986年 | 18篇 |
1985年 | 7篇 |
1984年 | 13篇 |
1983年 | 13篇 |
1982年 | 11篇 |
1981年 | 13篇 |
1980年 | 5篇 |
1979年 | 3篇 |
1966年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有3029条查询结果,搜索用时 3 毫秒
1.
The role of politics has often been discussed in evaluation theory and practice. The political influence of the situation can have major effects on the evaluation design, approach and methods. Politics also has the potential to influence the decisions made from the evaluation findings. The current study focuses on the influence of the political context on stakeholder decision making. Utilizing a simulation scenario, this study compares stakeholder decision making in high and low stakes evaluation contexts. Findings suggest that high stakes political environments are more likely than low stakes environments to lead to reduced reliance on technically appropriate measures and increased dependence on measures better reflect the broader political environment. 相似文献
2.
《European Management Journal》2020,38(2):344-355
I propose an Affect-Cognitive Theory to comprehensively understand how decisions occur in organizations. To this aim, I first review the assumptions of sensemaking and decision-making streams of research, especially the influence of bounded rationality, affective states and their relationships with cognition; then, I integrate them on the common basis of socially situated cognition. This new theory emphasizes the role of affective states in determining/being determined by cognition and its errors, pointing out decision makers’ affect as the result of multi-level adaptations to the physical and social environment. Management decisions are path dependent but not immutable; they, indeed, bank on the predominant feeling resulting from the modifying interactions and regulations of decision makers with their physical and social environment. Here, decision makers are proposed as “emotional cognizers” overcoming the thinking-feeling dichotomy that has often featured in the study of management decisions. This theory is beneficial for behavioral strategy, offering the needed assumptions to intertwine human cognition, emotions, and social behavior. 相似文献
3.
在经济下行压力加大、资本市场进一步开放的新形势下,厘清审计市场交易——监管机制,完善审计服务市场尤为必要。借由2010 年审计定价管制政策失效的自然实验,本文通过嵌入双边随机边界模型,得到审计双方的定价交易剩余指标,运用双重差分模型解析价格管制与交易定价的作用机制。研究发现,定价管制失效的原因不在于规制俘获,而在于价格管制与当前的市场效率不匹配。下限管制尽管能够提高审计师剩余,但同时会放大交易定价风险,增加剩余的错配,扰乱交易秩序。上限管制则进一步固化市场的低价竞争。进一步研究发现审计师剩余与盈余质量显著相关,2014年的放开定价管制政策提高了审计师剩余。研究厘清了审计市场交易机制,有利于未来研究审计交易机制的微观影响及与盈余质量的关联,为在新时代把握审计市场交易——监管规律、培育自发良性交易的审计市场提供有益借鉴。 相似文献
4.
Dina M. Carbonell Helen Z. Reinherz Rose M. Giaconia Cecilia K. Stashwick Angela D. Paradis William R. Beardslee 《Child and Adolescent Social Work Journal》2002,19(5):393-412
In a longitudinal, community-based study, adolescent protective factors for those at risk for depression were identified that were associated with resilient outcomes in young adulthood. For those with childhood risk factors for major depression, significant protective factors included family cohesion, positive self appraisals, and good interpersonal relations. Findings may help inform the development of prevention and treatment programs for adolescents vulnerable to depression. Implications for future research and clinical practice are discussed. 相似文献
5.
Stephanie M. Pickle Timothy J. Robinson Jeffrey B. Birch Christine M. Anderson-Cook 《Journal of statistical planning and inference》2008
Parameter design or robust parameter design (RPD) is an engineering methodology intended as a cost-effective approach for improving the quality of products and processes. The goal of parameter design is to choose the levels of the control variables that optimize a defined quality characteristic. An essential component of RPD involves the assumption of well estimated models for the process mean and variance. Traditionally, the modeling of the mean and variance has been done parametrically. It is often the case, particularly when modeling the variance, that nonparametric techniques are more appropriate due to the nature of the curvature in the underlying function. Most response surface experiments involve sparse data. In sparse data situations with unusual curvature in the underlying function, nonparametric techniques often result in estimates with problematic variation whereas their parametric counterparts may result in estimates with problematic bias. We propose the use of semi-parametric modeling within the robust design setting, combining parametric and nonparametric functions to improve the quality of both mean and variance model estimation. The proposed method will be illustrated with an example and simulations. 相似文献
6.
建立了S油田勘探、开发、炼化、机械、公用工程等多个部门和全局的非线性多级目标优化规划模型,应用关联分析、改进灰色预测、回归分析求取规划模型的约束方程并线性化;编制了相应的计算软件,使之快速预测和优化油田各部门“九五”各年的投资和产值;并将优化结果与油田过去或计划值加以对比,给油田规划决策带来一定的参考。 相似文献
7.
Keunkwan Ryu 《Econometric Reviews》1995,14(3):299-313
Many economic duration variables are often available only up to intervals, and not up to exact points. However, continuous time duration models are conceptually superior to discrete ones. Hence, in duration analyses, one faces a situation with discrete data and a continuous model. This paper discusses (i) the asymptotic bias of a conventional approximation procedure in which a discrete duration is treated as an exact observation; and (ii) the efficiency of a correct maximum likelihood estimator which appropriately accounts for the discrete nature of the data. 相似文献
8.
Anthony C. Atkinson 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics》2003,52(3):261-278
Summary. The paper develops methods for the design of experiments for mechanistic models when the response must be transformed to achieve symmetry and constant variance. The power transformation that is used is partially justified by a rule in analytical chemistry. Because of the nature of the relationship between the response and the mechanistic model, it is necessary to transform both sides of the model. Expressions are given for the parameter sensitivities in the transformed model and examples are given of optimum designs, not only for single-response models, but also for experiments in which multivariate responses are measured and for experiments in which the model is defined by a set of differential equations which cannot be solved analytically. The extension to designs for checking models is discussed. 相似文献
9.
Detection and correction of artificial shifts in climate series 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
Henri Caussinus Olivier Mestre 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C, Applied statistics》2004,53(3):405-425
Summary. Many long instrumental climate records are available and might provide useful information in climate research. These series are usually affected by artificial shifts, due to changes in the conditions of measurement and various kinds of spurious data. A comparison with surrounding weather-stations by means of a suitable two-factor model allows us to check the reliability of the series. An adapted penalized log-likelihood procedure is used to detect an unknown number of breaks and outliers. An example concerning temperature series from France confirms that a systematic comparison of the series together is valuable and allows us to correct the data even when no reliable series can be taken as a reference. 相似文献
10.
Donald B. Rubin 《Scandinavian Journal of Statistics》2004,31(2):161-170
Abstract. The use of the concept of ‘direct’ versus ‘indirect’ causal effects is common, not only in statistics but also in many areas of social and economic sciences. The related terms of ‘biomarkers’ and ‘surrogates’ are common in pharmacological and biomedical sciences. Sometimes this concept is represented by graphical displays of various kinds. The view here is that there is a great deal of imprecise discussion surrounding this topic and, moreover, that the most straightforward way to clarify the situation is by using potential outcomes to define causal effects. In particular, I suggest that the use of principal stratification is key to understanding the meaning of direct and indirect causal effects. A current study of anthrax vaccine will be used to illustrate ideas. 相似文献