全文获取类型
收费全文 | 1123篇 |
免费 | 20篇 |
国内免费 | 13篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 89篇 |
民族学 | 2篇 |
人口学 | 4篇 |
丛书文集 | 11篇 |
理论方法论 | 7篇 |
综合类 | 287篇 |
社会学 | 3篇 |
统计学 | 753篇 |
出版年
2023年 | 2篇 |
2022年 | 6篇 |
2021年 | 9篇 |
2020年 | 26篇 |
2019年 | 40篇 |
2018年 | 42篇 |
2017年 | 50篇 |
2016年 | 37篇 |
2015年 | 36篇 |
2014年 | 37篇 |
2013年 | 286篇 |
2012年 | 76篇 |
2011年 | 41篇 |
2010年 | 32篇 |
2009年 | 36篇 |
2008年 | 41篇 |
2007年 | 24篇 |
2006年 | 32篇 |
2005年 | 34篇 |
2004年 | 27篇 |
2003年 | 28篇 |
2002年 | 26篇 |
2001年 | 18篇 |
2000年 | 16篇 |
1999年 | 14篇 |
1998年 | 14篇 |
1997年 | 26篇 |
1996年 | 11篇 |
1995年 | 12篇 |
1994年 | 12篇 |
1993年 | 8篇 |
1992年 | 8篇 |
1991年 | 9篇 |
1990年 | 5篇 |
1989年 | 3篇 |
1988年 | 9篇 |
1987年 | 6篇 |
1986年 | 6篇 |
1985年 | 3篇 |
1984年 | 1篇 |
1983年 | 3篇 |
1982年 | 1篇 |
1981年 | 1篇 |
1978年 | 1篇 |
1977年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有1156条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
We study the asymptotic behavior of the marginal expected shortfall when the two random variables are asymptotic independent but positively associated, which is modeled by the so-called tail dependent coefficient. We construct an estimator of the marginal expected shortfall, which is shown to be asymptotically normal. The finite sample performance of the estimator is investigated in a small simulation study. The method is also applied to estimate the expected amount of rainfall at a weather station given that there is a once every 100 years rainfall at another weather station nearby. 相似文献
2.
Laurent Gardes Stéphane Girard Gilles Stupfler 《Scandinavian Journal of Statistics》2020,47(3):922-949
The conditional tail expectation (CTE) is an indicator of tail behavior that takes into account both the frequency and magnitude of a tail event. However, the asymptotic normality of its empirical estimator requires that the underlying distribution possess a finite variance; this can be a strong restriction in actuarial and financial applications. A valuable alternative is the median shortfall (MS), although it only gives information about the frequency of a tail event. We construct a class of tail Lp-medians encompassing the MS and CTE. For p in (1,2), a tail Lp-median depends on both the frequency and magnitude of tail events, and its empirical estimator is, within the range of the data, asymptotically normal under a condition weaker than a finite variance. We extrapolate this estimator and another technique to extreme levels using the heavy-tailed framework. The estimators are showcased on a simulation study and on real fire insurance data. 相似文献
3.
韩立军 《内蒙古工业大学学报》2002,21(1):50-52
本文给出一类非均匀弦的横向振动的最佳控制,推广了P C Park的结果。这一结果同样适用于同类型振动问题。 相似文献
4.
李海群 《长江大学学报(社会科学版)》2002,(2)
该电路设计简单、构思新颖 ,适合小批量测试小型电源变压器的空载电流、额定电流及次级空载电压、满载电压、负载电流等参数 相似文献
5.
Summary:
The H–family of distributions or H–distributions, introduced by Tukey (1960; 1977), are
generated by a single transformation of the standard normal distribution and allow for leptokurtosis
represented by the parameter h. Alternatively, Haynes et al. (1997) generated leptokurtic distributions
by applying the K–transformation to the normal distribution. In this study we propose a third transformation,
the so–called J–transformation, and derive some properties of this transformation. Moreover,
so-called elongation generating functions (EGFs) are introduced. By means of EGFs we are able to
visualize the strength of tail elongation and to construct new transformations. Finally, we compare the
three transformations towards their goodness–of–fit in the context of financial return data. 相似文献
6.
Diagnostics for dependence within time series extremes 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Anthony W. Ledford Jonathan A. Tawn 《Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B, Statistical methodology》2003,65(2):521-543
Summary. The analysis of extreme values within a stationary time series entails various assumptions concerning its long- and short-range dependence. We present a range of new diagnostic tools for assessing whether these assumptions are appropriate and for identifying structure within extreme events. These tools are based on tail characteristics of joint survivor functions but can be implemented by using existing estimation methods for extremes of univariate independent and identically distributed variables. Our diagnostic aids are illustrated through theoretical examples, simulation studies and by application to rainfall and exchange rate data. On the basis of these diagnostics we can explain characteristics that are found in the observed extreme events of these series and also gain insight into the properties of events that are more extreme than those observed. 相似文献
7.
We propose some estimators of noncentrality parameters which improve upon usual unbiased estimators under quadratic loss. The distributions we consider are the noncentral chi-square and the noncentral F. However, we give more general results for the family of elliptically contoured distributions and propose a robust dominating estimator. 相似文献
8.
Jan C. H. van Eijkeren 《Risk analysis》2002,22(1):159-173
A mechanistic model is presented describing the clearance of a compound in a precision-cut liver slice that is incubated in a culture medium. The problem of estimating metabolic rate constants in PBPK models from liver slice experiments is discussed using identifiability analysis. From the identifiability problem analysis, it appears that in addition to the clearance, the compound's free fraction in the slice and the diffusion rate of the exchange of the compound between culture medium and liver slice should be identified. In addition, knowledge of the culture medium volume, the slice volume, the compound's free fraction, and octanol-water-based partition between medium and slice is presupposed. The formal solution for identification is discussed from the perspective of experimental practice. A formally necessary condition for identification is the sampling of parent compound in liver slice or culture medium. However, due to experimental limitations and errors, sampling the parent compound in the slice together with additional sampling of metabolite pooled from the medium and the slice is required for identification in practice. Moreover, it appears that identification results are unreliable when the value of the intrinsic clearance exceeds the value of the diffusion coefficient, a condition to be verified a posteriori. 相似文献
9.
Peter J. Robinson 《Risk analysis》1992,12(1):139-148
Because of the inherent complexity of biological systems, there is often a choice between a number of apparently equally applicable physiologically based models to describe uptake and metabolism processes in toxicology or risk assessment. These models may fit the particular data sets of interest equally well, but may give quite different parameter estimates or predictions under different (extrapolated) conditions. Such competing models can be discriminated by a number of methods, including potential refutation by means of strategic experiments, and their ability to suitably incorporate all relevant physiological processes. For illustration, three currently used models for steady-state hepatic elimination--the venous equilibration model, the parallel tube model, and the distributed sinusoidal perfusion model--are reviewed and compared with particular reference to their application in the area of risk assessment. The ability of each of the models to describe and incorporate such physiological processes as protein binding, precursor-metabolite relations and hepatic zones of elimination, capillary recruitment, capillary heterogeneity, and intrahepatic shunting is discussed. Differences between the models in hepatic parameter estimation, extrapolation to different conditions, and interspecies scaling are discussed, and criteria for choosing one model over the others are presented. In this case, the distributed model provides the most general framework for describing physiological processes taking place in the liver, and has so far not been experimentally refuted, as have the other two models. These simpler models may, however, provide useful bounds on parameter estimates and on extrapolations and risk assessments. 相似文献
10.
张秋勇 《绍兴文理学院学报》2002,22(7):97-100
运用机械动态参数测试仪 ,通过对THEMA剑杆织机的开口、引纬机构进行动态测试 ,利用计算机处理有关测试数据 ,分析和讨论了该机的主要技术参数 相似文献