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排序方式: 共有776条查询结果,搜索用时 31 毫秒
1.
Dennis Wagenaar Tiaravanni Hermawan Marc J. C. van den Homberg Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts Heidi Kreibich Hans de Moel Laurens M. Bouwer 《Risk analysis》2021,41(1):37-55
Damage models for natural hazards are used for decision making on reducing and transferring risk. The damage estimates from these models depend on many variables and their complex sometimes nonlinear relationships with the damage. In recent years, data‐driven modeling techniques have been used to capture those relationships. The available data to build such models are often limited. Therefore, in practice it is usually necessary to transfer models to a different context. In this article, we show that this implies the samples used to build the model are often not fully representative for the situation where they need to be applied on, which leads to a “sample selection bias.” In this article, we enhance data‐driven damage models by applying methods, not previously applied to damage modeling, to correct for this bias before the machine learning (ML) models are trained. We demonstrate this with case studies on flooding in Europe, and typhoon wind damage in the Philippines. Two sample selection bias correction methods from the ML literature are applied and one of these methods is also adjusted to our problem. These three methods are combined with stochastic generation of synthetic damage data. We demonstrate that for both case studies, the sample selection bias correction techniques reduce model errors, especially for the mean bias error this reduction can be larger than 30%. The novel combination with stochastic data generation seems to enhance these techniques. This shows that sample selection bias correction methods are beneficial for damage model transfer. 相似文献
2.
Jon M. Patterson 《Journal of marriage and the family》2002,64(2):349-360
The construct, family resilience, has been defined and applied very differently by those who are primarily clinical practitioners and those who are primarily researchers in the family field. In thisarticle, the family resilience perspective is integrated with conceptual definitions from family stress theory using the Family Adjustment and Adaptation Response (FAAR) Model in an effort to clarify distinctions between family resiliency as capacity and family resilience as a process. The family resilience process is discussed in terms of (a) the meaning of significant risk exposure (vs. the normal challenges of family life) and (b) the importance of making conceptual and operational distinctions between family system outcomes and family protective processes. Recommendations for future family resilience research are discussed. 相似文献
3.
焦春艳 《盐城师范学院学报》2002,22(2):83-87
英汉句法存在三种最基本的差异 ,即树型结构和线型结构、形合法和意合法以及句子界线的差异。在此基础上 ,着重介绍英汉互译过程中的三种转换方法 相似文献
4.
本文依据对江苏、浙江两省6个县343户三峡外迁农村移民的调查数据,分析了相对集中与完全分散这两种不同的安置方式,以及由此所形成的两种不同的人际交往状况对外迁移民社会适应的影响。研究发现,从总体上看,移民在安置地的人际交往状况对移民的社会适应的影响十分显著。无论是移民之间的交往、还是移民与当地居民之间的交往,都会大大增强移民融入当地社会的程度。 相似文献
5.
陈燕 《安徽农业大学学报(社会科学版)》2007,16(6):77-810
白居易"中隐"是以庄子的逍遥人生为理念,远离政治斗争的遂性自由的生存哲学和方式,其核心是"适",在适性逍遥的前提下,再安排对社会、家庭、国家、民族的责任.这是一种强调个体生命高于一切的现代人本主义精神,在儒家思想占据统治地位的专制集权社会,这一思想是超前的.而且,其适性逍遥并不是其最终的目标,其最终的目标是以适性逍遥为保证,实现自己的自由自在的艺术创造.故白居易"中隐"对后世苏轼、明代三袁均有很大影响,但毕竟时代不同了,这种影响终于以浪漫精神衰退为特点走向另一种形态. 相似文献
6.
李绪微 《长江大学学报(社会科学版)》2006,(2)
非语言交际是交际的一种重要形式。跨文化非语言交际语用失误包括体态语、副语言、客体语和环境语的语用失误。这些失误主要是由于交际双方不同的文化背景和社会环境,以及对认知语境的失误判断引起的。 相似文献
7.
王文清 《江汉大学学报(社会科学版)》2005,22(1):60-67
我国区域制度变迁对中部地区的发展产生了深远影响。文章分析了区域经济新格局下中部地区的区域竞争环境,依据演化理论提出了环境变迁后中部地区区域发展的战略适应观点以及战略适应的现实路径,认为中部地区的战略适应路径在于区域制度创新和经济集聚战略,并就区域制度创新和经济集聚战略实施中的具体问题进行了探讨。 相似文献
8.
This article addresses cultural adaptation of Western‐Palestinian intermarried couples. Using in‐depth interviews, information was gathered from 16 participants, 7 Western women and 9 Palestinian men, living in Palestinian cities in the West Bank. Adaptation strategies are typified by the extent to which each spouse embraces the partner's culture. The data suggest that intermarriage engenders a multidirectional adaptation process. Patriarchy and East‐West power relations affect mainly the women, having to face marginalization on the basis of their gender and their foreignness. The men undergo a double process of cultural adaptation: to the Western culture and to their native culture after their return. Both the husbands’ extended family and the Israeli‐Palestinian conflict were found to affect both partners’ adaptation. 相似文献
9.
国家精准扶贫战略实施过程中涌现了一大批扶贫攻坚的模范人物,黄诗燕就是其中的典型和代表,将其优秀事迹改编成主旋律电影,既能凸显典型人物的榜样作用,又能向世界展现脱贫攻坚的中国经验。黄诗燕事迹的电影改编,其主题表达,要以讲好中国故事为核心,在展示其感人的扶贫事迹同时,向世界传播中国扶贫经验;其人物塑造,要以还原真实、塑造典型为原则,彰显黄诗燕的榜样形象;其剧情设置,应突破传统主旋律电影模式化的叙事手段,以点带面,虚实共构;其影像画面,应利用现实主义手法,通过在地性的空间变化和符号化的典型意象,向世界输出中国影像。如此,电影改编才能产生其应有的社会价值和观影效果。 相似文献
10.
Rubén G. Rumbaut 《Sociological Forum》1994,9(4):583-621
Contemporary immigration to the United States and the formation of new ethnic groups are the complex and unintended social consequences of the expansion of the nation to its post-World War II position of global hegemony. Immigrant communities in the United States today are related to a history of American military, political, economic, and cultural involvement and intervention in the sending countries, especially in Asia and the Caribbean Basin, and to the linkages that are formed in the process that open a variety of legal and illegal migration pathways. The 19.8 million foreign-born persons counted in the 1990 U.S. census formed the largest immigrant population in the world, though in relative terms, only 7.9% of the U.S. population was foreign-born, a lower proportion than earlier in this century. Today's immigrants are extraordinarily diverse, a reflection of polar-opposite types of migrations embedded in very different historical and structural contexts. Also, unlike the expanding economy that absorbed earlier flows from Europe, since the 1970s new immigrants have entered an hourglass economy with reduced opportunities for social mobility, particularly among the less educated, and new waves of refugees have entered a welfare state with expanded opportunities for public assistance. This paper seeks to make sense of the new diversity. A typology of contemporary immigrants is presented, and their patterns of settlement, their distinctive social and economic characteristics compared to major native-born racial-ethnic groups, and their different modes of incorporation in—and consequences for—American society are considered. 相似文献