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1.
Dennis Wagenaar Tiaravanni Hermawan Marc J. C. van den Homberg Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts Heidi Kreibich Hans de Moel Laurens M. Bouwer 《Risk analysis》2021,41(1):37-55
Damage models for natural hazards are used for decision making on reducing and transferring risk. The damage estimates from these models depend on many variables and their complex sometimes nonlinear relationships with the damage. In recent years, data‐driven modeling techniques have been used to capture those relationships. The available data to build such models are often limited. Therefore, in practice it is usually necessary to transfer models to a different context. In this article, we show that this implies the samples used to build the model are often not fully representative for the situation where they need to be applied on, which leads to a “sample selection bias.” In this article, we enhance data‐driven damage models by applying methods, not previously applied to damage modeling, to correct for this bias before the machine learning (ML) models are trained. We demonstrate this with case studies on flooding in Europe, and typhoon wind damage in the Philippines. Two sample selection bias correction methods from the ML literature are applied and one of these methods is also adjusted to our problem. These three methods are combined with stochastic generation of synthetic damage data. We demonstrate that for both case studies, the sample selection bias correction techniques reduce model errors, especially for the mean bias error this reduction can be larger than 30%. The novel combination with stochastic data generation seems to enhance these techniques. This shows that sample selection bias correction methods are beneficial for damage model transfer. 相似文献
2.
宁园 《重庆大学学报(社会科学版)》2020,26(5):156-166
《民法典》侵权责任编对原有通知删除规则进行了科学修正,但事前保护缺位与事后救济程序失范的问题仍然存在。随着网络服务提供者完成角色转型和技术升级,其作为网络侵权风险的控制者和参与者,有必要且有能力承担未通知阶段的主动预防义务和已通知阶段的证明材料审查义务,以弥补著作权保护和用户利益保护的漏洞。双重注意义务应分别与网络服务提供者对侵权危险的预期和控制能力以及材料审查能力相适应。未通知阶段之注意义务以技术措施为主要履行方式,其注意标准的认定应综合考量技术水平、服务类型、内容介入程度、是否直接获取收益等要素,未尽该注意义务仅为过错认定的考量因素而非唯一标准,并不必然导致侵权责任。已通知阶段之注意义务仅限于对提交的证明材料进行形式审查和有限的实质审查,尽到此注意义务的,可以免于承担侵权责任。 相似文献
3.
In most mid- and high-income countries, there have been significant demographic, structural, and cultural changes in the past decades. However, we know little about how these changes have shaped women's work patterns during a key life stage: the transition to motherhood. Using longitudinal data from Chile, covering over 30 years of employment histories and three periods of first births (1980–2010), I conduct sequence analysis to identify women's work-care trajectories during an eight-year period of the transition to motherhood. Over time, I find that continuous care work at home has declined, for which education plays a key role, while the chances of working continuously have not changed over time. Instead, I find an increasing trend of unsteady paths that combine paid work with either caretaking or unemployment. I discuss how these changes, as well as their association with education, have important implications for both gender and social inequality. 相似文献
4.
李玫 《长沙理工大学学报(社会科学版)》2015,(5):95-102
《一个人老了》写于1991年4月,彼时作者的生理年龄与诗中感悟分别处于跨度相距较远的不同生命时段,由此在形成诗歌内在张力的同时,也使阅读必须面对在“四月”与“衰老”之间存在的强烈反差,问题由此被提出。对这种反差的成因分析是从文本的抒情节奏、抒情肌理以及价值立场与生命观等方面的异质特征切入,解读其在诗歌渊源上与博尔赫斯、聂鲁达等世界诗人之间的互文关系,进而追溯至作者西川所代表的“知识分子写作”对阅读经验的习惯性倚重。 相似文献
5.
金诗学唐的历程 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
王锡九 《南京工业大学学报(社会科学版)》2003,2(2):49-54
金代诗歌在受苏轼等宋代诗人的影响之外 ,也受到唐诗的浸润。本文依据金诗发展变化的自身情况 ,考察了金诗学唐的历程。文中将金诗学唐分为金初“借才异代”时期、“国朝文派”时期、金代后期等三个阶段 ,做了比较详细的论述 ,从一个方面展示了金诗发展的轨迹 ,揭示了金诗的某些重要特点 ,对于我们深入地认识金诗是有裨益的 相似文献
6.
This report evaluates the extent of perceived and enacted HIV/AIDS-related stigma in a rural setting in Zambia. Stigmatisation is abundant, ranging from subtle actions to the most extreme degradation, rejection and abandonment. Women with HIV and pregnant women assumed to be HIV positive are repeatedly subjected to extensive forms of stigma, particularly once they become sick or if their child dies. Despite increasing access to prevention of mother to child transmission initiatives, including anti-retroviral drugs, the perceived disincentives of HIV testing, particularly for women, largely outweigh the potential gains from available treatments. HIV/AIDS related stigma drives the epidemic underground and is one of the main reasons that people do not wish to know their HIV status. Unless efforts to reduce stigma are, as one peer educator put it, “written in large letters in any HIV/AIDS campaign rather than small”, stigma will remain a major barrier to curbing the HIV/AIDS pandemic. 相似文献
7.
Jon M. Patterson 《Journal of marriage and the family》2002,64(2):349-360
The construct, family resilience, has been defined and applied very differently by those who are primarily clinical practitioners and those who are primarily researchers in the family field. In thisarticle, the family resilience perspective is integrated with conceptual definitions from family stress theory using the Family Adjustment and Adaptation Response (FAAR) Model in an effort to clarify distinctions between family resiliency as capacity and family resilience as a process. The family resilience process is discussed in terms of (a) the meaning of significant risk exposure (vs. the normal challenges of family life) and (b) the importance of making conceptual and operational distinctions between family system outcomes and family protective processes. Recommendations for future family resilience research are discussed. 相似文献
8.
杜君 《北华大学学报(社会科学版)》2002,3(2):34-37
20世纪20年代初期中苏建交谈判期间,苏俄从其自身国家安全利益出发,采取强行出兵外蒙追剿白匪和坚持长期驻军库伦的作法,来占有当时主权属于中国的外蒙古地区,在外蒙古问题上对华采取了大国沙文主义和民族利己主义政策. 相似文献
9.
陈璇 《湖北师范学院学报(哲学社会科学版)》2005,25(6):73-78
刑法告诉才处理案件中的自诉机制在实践中往往会发生障碍,公权力在何种情况下介入方为合适就成为理论和实务中不可回避的问题.本文作者通过对中国现行法律规定和大陆法系各国立法例的分析认为,一方面应当拓宽此类案件的追诉途径,另一方面则应当分别不同情况由检察机关协助自诉,或者在保障被害人意愿的前提下求诸公诉程序. 相似文献
10.
戴建业 《北京工业大学学报(社会科学版)》2002,2(1):62-67
阐述陶渊明存在方式的特征--"委心"与"委运",即一切听凭造化因任自然,率性而动了无矫饰,任情而行不待安排,任其真性流行,还人生以自在.能"委心"且能"委运"就做到了"任真","任真"是其内在性与外在性的同时完成,并因之使他成为一个本真存在的人. 相似文献