上证30指数股市盈率实证分析

通过对2000年上证30指数股市盈率水平及其影响因素进行实证分析,可以发现,其中股息支付率、每股收益增长率、行业平均市盈率对股票P/E值起主要的解释作用,而股本规模因素,解释力却有限,除每股收益增长率外,各变量的相关性与理论分析基本一致.     

Lower bounds on expectations of positive L-statistics from without-replacement models

We consider samples drawn without replacement from finite populations. We establish optimal lower non-negative and upper non-positive bounds on the expectations of linear combinations of order statistics centered about the population mean in units generated by the population central absolute moments of various orders. We also specify the general results for important examples of sample extremes, Gini mean differences and sample range. The paper completes the results of Papadatos and Rychlik [2004. Bounds on expectations of L-statistics from without replacement samples. J. Statist. Plann. Inference 124, 317–336], where sharp negative lower and positive upper bounds on the expectations of the combinations were presented for the without-replacement samples.     

中国教育事业发展的实证分析

随着我国经济的快速发展，国力的迅速提升，我国的教育事业也取得了前所未有的进步，为了从量上衡量教育所取得的成就，以及对全民族化素质提高的影响，构建了两个指标：人均受教育年限、教育基尼系数，利用第四次、第五次人口普查的数据，进行了计算，从结果中可以看出，我国各地区的教育事业成就惊人，但是，发展并不平衡。同时，提出了两个令人惊讶的，值得深入研究的教育的“平均之谜”。     

近百年来中国对文物建筑与历史地段的保护

论文以1949年为界,分两大部分叙述了迄今为止大约100年来中国对文物建筑与历史地段的保护。总结出1949年后中国近代文物建筑保护思想观念的演变特征,即前期以具有社会主义特色的保护观念为主,80年代以来发展为逐渐与国际接轨。     

女性妆饰与民国初年的女性解放

妆饰是精神的外化。伴随着民初女性解放运动的发展,传统的女性妆饰向着西装化与时装化、多元化与个性化的方向发展。并且出现了实用性与审美性的结合、地域与层次的不同等变化。     

建国50多年来中国外交的基本特征论析

建国50多年来,中国共产党三代领导集体在中国外交政策和策略等方面,表现了相当的一致性。在这些方面,后一代领导集体与前一代领导集体之间有着承继关系。当然,后一代领导集体也有新的重大的发展。其实,这种一致性衬托了当代中国外交的基本特征,或者说,形成了当代中国外交的传统。文章基于对50多年来中国外交的分析,归纳出中国外交的四个基本特征,这就是外交原则和政策的一贯性、外交目标的双重性、外交形式的多样性以及外交对象的层次性。     

Estimating ordered parameters by linear programming

There are many models that require the estimation of a set of ordered parameters. For example, multivariate analysis of variance often is formulated as testing for the equality of the parameters versus an ordered alternative. This problem, referred to as isotonic inference, constrained inference, or isotonic regression, has led to the development of general solutions, not often easy to apply in special models. In this expository paper, we study the special case of a separable convex quadratic programming problem for which the optimality conditions lead to a readily solved linear complementarity problem in the Lagrange multipliers, and subsequently to an equivalent linear programming problem, whose solution can be used to recover the solution of the original isotonic problem. The method can be applied to estimating ordered correlations, ordered binomial probabilities, ordered Poisson parameters, ordered exponential scale parameters, or ordered risk differences.     

Estimating the distribution function using k-tuple ranked set samples

The basic assumption underlying the concept of ranked set sampling is that actual measurement of units is expensive, whereas ranking is cheap. This may not be true in reality in certain cases where ranking may be moderately expensive. In such situations, based on total cost considerations, k-tuple ranked set sampling is known to be a viable alternative, where one selects k units (instead of one) from each ranked set. In this article, we consider estimation of the distribution function based on k-tuple ranked set samples when the cost of selecting and ranking units is not ignorable. We investigate estimation both in the balanced and unbalanced data case. Properties of the estimation procedure in the presence of ranking error are also investigated. Results of simulation studies as well as an application to a real data set are presented to illustrate some of the theoretical findings.     

汉初时代转型与《淮南子》的学术境遇

汉初的时代转型,有着如下特质:在社会经济状况方面,经历了从“休养生息”到“争于奢侈”的过程;在政治局势上,由“诸侯割据”演化为“强干弱枝”政策的全面推行;在思想与学术方面,“黄老擅权”的状况转变为“儒术独尊”之势。《淮南子》之所以未受当政者的推崇,主要原因即在于未能合乎时代转型之需。     

Beyond the Preschool Years: Children’s Perceptions About Starting Kindergarten

This article describes a research study that investigated three‐ and four‐year‐old Canadian preschool children’s perceptions about starting kindergarten. Findings from 33 focus‐group discussions suggest that children begin to formulate ideas about starting kindergarten prior to school entry. Children’s responses were grouped according to three themes, play versus academic activities and homework; getting bigger but still needing help; and rules. Overall, the responses highlighted their expectations regarding continuity and discontinuity between the two environments. These findings support the position that children should be given the opportunity to contribute to the planning of transition practices.