Bayesian networks for imputation

Summary.  Bayesian networks are particularly useful for dealing with high dimensional statistical problems. They allow a reduction in the complexity of the phenomenon under study by representing joint relationships between a set of variables through conditional relationships between subsets of these variables. Following Thibaudeau and Winkler we use Bayesian networks for imputing missing values. This method is introduced to deal with the problem of the consistency of imputed values: preservation of statistical relationships between variables ( statistical consistency ) and preservation of logical constraints in data ( logical consistency ). We perform some experiments on a subset of anonymous individual records from the 1991 UK population census.     

The effect of sociodemographic (mis)match between interviewers and respondents on unit and item nonresponse in Belgium

Interviewer characteristics affect nonresponse and measurement errors in face-to-face surveys. Some studies have shown that mismatched sociodemographic characteristics – for example gender – affect people's behavior when interacting with an interviewer at the door and during the survey interview, resulting in more nonresponse. We investigate the effect of sociodemographic (mis)matching on nonresponse in two successive rounds of the European Social Survey in Belgium. As such, we replicate the analyses of the effect of (mis)matching gender and age on unit nonresponse on the one hand, and of gender, age and education level (mis)matching on item nonresponse on the other hand. Recurring effects of sociodemographic (mis)match are found for both unit and item nonresponse.     

基于SWOT分析的喇叭河森林公园旅游产品策划

基于SWOT分析,喇叭河森林公园既有区位、资源等方面的旅游开发优势,又有生态环境脆弱、资金投入不足、市场开拓不足等方面劣势;既有发展机遇,又面临多方面的挑战.因此,喇叭河森林公园旅游产品策划就应基于锥形的旅游产品结构体系,以"市场导向,资源依托"为策划原则,引进品牌战略,构建多样的项目集群,并实行多元化的经营模式,以吸引更多的游客.     

项目法施工成本辅助管理系统的开发研究

以项目法施工为基础,结合公路工程施工的实际情况,对项目法施工成本辅助管理系统进行了研究开发,通过规范化、标准化的数据录入和系统化的分析处理,将资源消耗管理、成本管理和企业效益评价等工程项目管理中的关键环节联成一个有机的管理系统,如实反映企业的管理水平,实现了工程项目施工成本的动态化和智能化管理。     

再论“四二一”结构:定义与研究方法

"四二一"结构是中国低生育率背景下家庭结构与代际关系的一种特殊表达,既反映了20世纪70年代以来计划生育政策广泛推行对中国家庭的深刻影响,又揭示了中国现阶段婚姻家庭乃至未来人口发展的特点与趋势。目前这一领域的研究虽然已经取得一系列的进展,但在概念界定与使用的方法上仍缺乏共识,导致研究结论的分歧和研究拓展的迟滞。在中国社会剧烈变动的形势下,"四二一"结构是研究中国的计划生育政策、独生子女问题,以及家庭结构与代际关系变动的一个良好的载体和切入点。     

Evaluating Item Discrimination Power of WHOQOL-BREF from an Item Response Model Perspectives

Quality of life (QOL) has become an important component of health. By using the methodology of psychometric theory, we examine the item properties of the WHOQOL-BRIEF. Samejima’s graded response model with natural metrics of the logistic response function was fitted. The results showed items with negative natures were less discriminating. Items written in a specific way were more suitable to assess certain subgroups. The national items showed variation in discriminatory power. Questions measuring objective and specific issues performed worse than items assessing general aspects of the QOL.     

本科选项式体育教学的实践与探索

通过对广东培正学院自建院以来体育教学工作的分析,该文阐述并论证当前开展本科选项式体育教学模式的可行性,分析了本科体育教学存在的问题并提出解决办法,为学院本科体育教学的发展提供依据。     

An Investigation of Agreement Between the Item Difficulty Coefficient Calculated in Accordance With Classical Test Theory and Item Response Theory With Bland–Altman Method

The purpose of this study is to investigate agreement between item difficulty coefficients calculated relying on classical test theory and item response theory with Bland–Altman method. According to results, although there is a high correlation between Pj and b coefficient estimated with HGLM (hierarchical generalized linear model), 1P, and 3P models, it can be said that there is no agreement between two methods and cannot be used interchangeably. It is observed that the confidence limit is wide according to Bland–Altman graphics. Therefore, it can be said that there is no agreement between item difficulty values obtained from two methods. Bland–Altman method which is used in clinical studies mostly is suggested to be used in the comparison of methods used especially in the evaluation of student performance in education, in agreement studies among specialist considerations especially in terms of providing additional information to the studies in which correlation coefficient is calculated.     

CUSUM Hypothesis Tests and Alternative Response Probabilities for Finite Poisson Trials

This article develops a new cumulative sum statistic to identify aberrant behavior in a sequentially administered multiple-choice standardized examination. The examination responses can be described as finite Poisson trials, and the statistic can be used for other applications which fit this framework. The standardized examination setting uses a maximum likelihood estimate of examinee ability and an item response theory model. Aberrant and non aberrant probabilities are computed by an odds ratio analogous to risk adjusted CUSUM schemes. The significance level of a hypothesis test, where the null hypothesis is non-aberrant examinee behavior, is computed with Markov chains. A smoothing process is used to spread probabilities across the Markov states. The practicality of the approach to detect aberrant examinee behavior is demonstrated with results from both simulated and empirical data.     

论协议扶养

当事人意思表示一致可以引起扶养法律关系的变动,这是协议扶养可行性的法理基础。近现代社会,扶养的模式逐渐由家庭亲属间的扶养向依靠社会共同体的扶养演变,婚姻家庭外亲属间协议扶养的案例也屡见不鲜。构建协议扶养法律制度,将充实我国扶养制度的内容,应对扶养领域出现的新情况和新问题。