改革所有制结构 促进山西产业结构调整

公有制经济比例过大 ,非公有制经济比例过小是山西所有制结构存在的主要问题 ,它对山西产业结构的调整有着一定的制约作用。发展非公有制经济 ,适度压缩国有经济比例 ,是促进山西产业结构调整的重要举措之一。     

治理通货膨胀的宏观调控手段

本文试图在分析我国通货膨胀成因的基础上，进一步分析各项与此有关的宏观调控手段，建立反映通货膨胀与这些调控手段之间关系的计量经济模型，并利用该模型分析各项调控手段的变化及对通货膨胀的定量作用．     

治理通货膨胀的宏观调控分析模型

本文以我国通货膨胀的形成机制为依据,分析通货膨胀与宏观调控手段之间的关系,用此关系建成计量经济模型和辨识出模型的参数,并做了解释和检验.     

马斯洛需求理论对历史唯物主义的拓展

历史的发展源于人们的需求和社会生产方式的推动. 马克思认为, 在阶级社会里, 被统治阶级的需求长期处于维持生存的低水平而基本不变, 根本性解决措施就在于解放生产力, 扩大物资产品的供给. 当生产力有一定程度发展后, 社会主流需求变化就成为推动生产方式和上层建筑调整的动力. 马克思的需求理论与其生产力、 生产关系核心分析范式关联不大. 从社会主流需求变化对社会生产方式及上层建筑的影响, 挖掘马斯洛需求理论的历史唯物主义意蕴, 会在理论和政策建议上对中国未来发展改革有所帮助.     

不均等选择概率下的加权调整研究

从不均等选择概率的角度,提出两类常见的权数调整类型及其调整方法:一是规模调整,使得样本单元权数之和等于总体规模;二是结构调整,使得样本结构和总体结构一致,并构造出加权调整的设计效应模型,应用于复杂样本设计。案例分析显示,加权调整往往导致设计效应变大,带来负的效应,但校准调整能降低设计效应,提高估计精度。     

Stale economic news,media and the stock market

I employ a classification of headlines from newspapers and wire services to examine whether stale macroeconomic news affects stock prices. Unlike with individual stocks, the cost of obtaining information about major economic releases is relatively low. Thus, stock prices should adjust to economic news announcements prior to their coverage in newspapers. I find statistically and economically significant relationship between stale news stories on unemployment and next week’s S&P 500 returns. This effect is then completely reversed during the following week. These findings show that investors are affected by salient information and support the hypothesis that investors overreact to stale macroeconomic news reported in newspapers.     

以"三个代表"思想为指导妥善处理社会矛盾

我们党在进一步完善社会主义市场经济的转型期内,由于利益格局的调整和碰撞,必然面临许多以群众为主体的社会矛盾.地级领导干部处在党中央和县乡的结合部位上,只有以"三个代表"思想为指导,深入研究妥善处理好各种社会矛盾,才能构建新型的干群关系、巩固党的执政地位,消除各种不安定因素、排除各种阻力和干扰,为确保"十五"计划如期实现和在本世纪成功地建设具有中国特色的社会主义提供可靠的政治保障.     

Macroeconomic asymmetry in the Eurozone before and after the Global Financial Crisis: An appraisal of the role of the ECB

The launch of the euro in 1999 was assumed to enhance macroeconomic convergence among EMU economies. We test this hypothesis from a comparative perspective, by calculating different indices to measure the degree of macroeconomic dispersion within the Eurozone, the UK and the USA (1999–2019). We use common factor models to produce a single index for each monetary area out of different measures of dispersion. These indices can be used to inform on the degree of optimality of a monetary area. Our results show that macroeconomic dispersion in the Eurozone increased notably even before 2007 and it took significantly longer to return to pre-crisis levels, as compared to the UK and the USA. The paper shows the critical role played by the ECB’s asset purchases programmes in reducing macroeconomic divergences among EMU member states since 2015.     

中国外资税收优惠政策：问题与调整

中国外资税收优惠政策包括所得税、流转税(关税、增值税)等方面.目前的外资税收优惠政策缺乏合理的产业导向,加大了地区间经济发展的不平衡,为外企避税提供了条件,破坏了市场经济的公平竞争原则.调整外资优惠政策应明确税收优惠立法权主体,在统一所得税法基础上统一税收优惠,保障内外资企业平等竞争,调整税收优惠结构,建立多种优惠方式并存的税收优惠模式,加强投资税收政策的国际协调.     

An Empirical Analysis of Backlog,Inventory, Production,and Price Adjustments: An Application of Recursive Systems of Log-Linear Models

This article presents an empirical analysis of firms' order backlogs, inventories, production, and price adjustments to unanticipated demand shocks. The data are obtained from quarterly INSEE Business Survey Tests on firms' realizations, expectations, and appraisals of some various economic variables. The analysis is based on the formulation and the estimation of a recursive system of conditional log-linear probability models.