Heteroscedastic Global Tests that the Regression Parameters for Two or More Independent Groups are Identical

Simulation results are reported on methods that allow both within group and between group heteroscedasticity when testing the hypothesis that independent groups have identical regression parameters. The methods are based on a combination of extant techniques, but their finite-sample properties have not been studied. Included are results on the impact of removing all leverage points or just bad leverage points. The method used to identify leverage points can be important and can improve control over the Type I error probability. Results are illustrated using data from the Well Elderly II study.     

冷战后中国多边首脑外交的特点与动因

冷战后，中国以亚太地区和联合国为中心，开展了积极的多边首脑外交。其具有力度不断加大、内容逐渐多元、外在制度完备、内在缺乏约束等特点。经济全球化、集团化和全球性问题的日益突出，则是中国开展多边首脑外交的重要推动力量。     

论《世说新语·贤媛》之"贤"

通过分析《世说新语.贤媛》中女性的特征,指出了“贤”之一字不同于封建礼教所要求的新的内涵,并阐述了产生这种变化的原因,以及这种新的审美理想的意义。     

珍珠遗产历久弥新--2005中国镇江赛珍珠学术研讨会综述

在纪念中国抗日战争、世界反法西斯战争胜利60周年前夕,历史文化名城镇江第三次举行赛珍珠学术研讨会,纪念中国人民的朋友、美国女作家赛珍珠诞辰113周年.来自海内外逾百位专家学者研究和探讨了这位1938年诺贝尔文学奖得主的文学创作的题材特性、主题意蕴及艺术构成;考察和评估了她当年反映我国抗日斗争的文学作品、支持中国人民抗日的政论言论以及大量卓有成效的援华抗日活动的功绩;思考和展望了她所留给我们的遗产,在今天全球化和本土化趋势并存发展的语境下,其跨文化的独特经历及对文化多元共存、互相尊重的认识所具有的特殊价值和深远意义.     

近代天皇制:日本发动对外战争的罪魁

近代天皇制是日本对外侵略战争连绵不断之深层次、制度意义上的原因。因为近代天皇制是日本政治制度的核心 ,是军国主义的基础 ;天皇是战时国家的最高军事统帅 ,是国家最高领导人和最终决策者 ,天皇无论是在战前、战时、战后 ,都是日本国民教育的精神领袖。     

Computing maximum likelihood estimates from type II doubly censored exponential data

It is well-known that, under Type II double censoring, the maximum likelihood (ML) estimators of the location and scale parameters, θ and δ, of a twoparameter exponential distribution are linear functions of the order statistics. In contrast, when θ is known, theML estimator of δ does not admit a closed form expression. It is shown, however, that theML estimator of the scale parameter exists and is unique. Moreover, it has good large-sample properties. In addition, sharp lower and upper bounds for this estimator are provided, which can serve as starting points for iterative interpolation methods such as regula falsi. Explicit expressions for the expected Fisher information and Cramér-Rao lower bound are also derived. In the Bayesian context, assuming an inverted gamma prior on δ, the uniqueness, boundedness and asymptotics of the highest posterior density estimator of δ can be deduced in a similar way. Finally, an illustrative example is included.     

Empirical Non-Parametric Control Charts: Estimation Effects and Corrections

Owing to the extreme quantiles involved, standard control charts are very sensitive to the effects of parameter estimation and non-normality. More general parametric charts have been devised to deal with the latter complication and corrections have been derived to compensate for the estimation step, both under normal and parametric models. The resulting procedures offer a satisfactory solution over a broad range of underlying distributions. However, situations do occur where even such a large model is inadequate and nothing remains but to consider non- parametric charts. In principle, these form ideal solutions, but the problem is that huge sample sizes are required for the estimation step. Otherwise the resulting stochastic error is so large that the chart is very unstable, a disadvantage that seems to outweigh the advantage of avoiding the model error from the parametric case. Here we analyse under what conditions non-parametric charts actually become feasible alternatives for their parametric counterparts. In particular, corrected versions are suggested for which a possible change point is reached at sample sizes that are markedly less huge (but still larger than the customary range). These corrections serve to control the behaviour during in-control (markedly wrong outcomes of the estimates only occur sufficiently rarely). The price for this protection will clearly be some loss of detection power during out-of-control. A change point comes in view as soon as this loss can be made sufficiently small.     

第二次世界大战对世界格局产生的影响

第二次世界大战以雅尔塔体系为基础形成了以美苏两大国为首的世界政治格局,对战后世界政治、经济和国际关系产生了深刻影响。随着两极格局的终结,世界又朝着多极化趋势发展。     

抗战时期中共执政陕甘宁边区研究述评

抗战时期中共执政陕甘宁边区的成功实践,把陕甘宁边区建设成了抗日民主政治的模范区、新经济生活的模范区、建设先进文化的楷模,为中共全国范围内的执政做了有益的尝试,积累了丰富的经验。学术界对中共执政陕甘宁边区的研究主要涉及民主建政、发展经济、建设新文化、当代意义等方面。     

国际刑事法院的管辖权与美伊战争

依据国际法,主权国家可以对危害国际社会共同利益的国际罪行行使普遍管辖权。但是,从以往的国际实践来看,这种间接管辖的方式效果不尽人意。特别是对某些特定的国际罪行,如战争罪,侵略罪,种族灭绝罪,危害人类罪等等。在国际刑事法院建立之后,这些国际人道法中的罪行在法定条件下可以由国际刑事法院直接管辖。国际刑事法院必须尊重国内法院的管辖权,并符合相应的条件。本文试图讨论2003年的美伊战争中是否存在违反国际人道法的行为,这些行为是否可成为国际刑事法院管辖的对象。