信任关系的不完全信息动态博弈模型

以往理论研究与经验研究均指出"信任"关系具有外部效应,但对这种效应是怎样取得的并无共识.我们尝试建立一个不完全信息动态博弈模型,说明"信任"关系如何产生正的外部性,亦即产生超出个体理性计算之外的利益.我们的分析得出这样的结论,在一个多人互动的环境中,能否达到彼此信任,虽然会受到欺骗者所遭到的惩罚与欺骗利益多少的影响,但主要受到所处环境中具有信任者人数比例的影响.因此,可以说"信任"关系具有正的外部性,信任者人数越多,信任者所享受到的利益越大.     

Breaking the intergenerational transmission of child abuse: Beyond the mother-child relationship

Studies comparing abusive and non-abusive parents who were abused as children are reviewed to determine protective factors that may lead to a break in the transmission pattern. Non-abusers have several factors in common. For instance: they have extensive emotional and social support from significant others. they are aware of what happened to them as children and are openly angry about their abuse. and many of them received (psycho)therapy as adolescents or young adults. Discovering protective factors by which some parents overcome a family pattern of abuse is valuable in guiding both prevention and intervention efforts. A brief discussion of the influence of methodological variations of different studies on reported transmission rates precedes the review. Furthermore. attention is given to the underrepresentation of (abusive) fathers in theory as well as in research on child abuse. The effects of undervaluation of gender differences are discussed in terms of their importance in the occurrence and (breaks in the) transmission of child abuse.     

Tradition and Change in Vietnamese Family Structure in the Red River Delta

One of the key features of Vietnamese family organization is patrilocality—the preference of married couples to coreside with the husband's parents. With data drawn from a retrospective survey of persons in 1,855 households in the largest province in the Red River Delta in northern Vietnam, we found that more than 75% of married respondents reported having lived with the grooms' family after marriage. The proportion of newly married couples that follow the patrilocal custom appears to have increased in recent decades, although the average duration of coresidence has declined. Some aspects of modernization, especially nonagricultural occupations and later age at marriage, contribute to a lower incidence of intergenerational coresidence, but the underlying cultural preference to live with the grooms' parents immediately after marriage appears to have become stronger in Vietnam. In contrast to some features of traditional family life that conflict with modernity, intergenerational coresidence can be quite functional in modernizing societies.     

The Role of Family Income in the Intergenerational Association of AFDC Receipt

Daughters from low‐income families who did not receive Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) are compared to daughters from low‐income families who did receive assistance to better account for family income in the intergenerational association of AFDC. The research models the timing of a daughter's first birth and, for those who become mothers, the number of years a daughter receives any AFDC. Women whose families received AFDC during their childhood are more likely to receive AFDC as adults relative to those women whose families did not receive AFDC. Controlling for family income in a more careful and comprehensive way than past research explains part but not all of the effects of childhood AFDC receipt. Among daughters from chronically poor families, however, parental AFDC use is not associated with additional years of AFDC participation. Although the present research cannot confirm or deny a causal role for parental welfare use, the intergenerational transmission of financial resources does explain part of the intergenerational association of welfare use.     

外部性:政府采购立法研究的新视角

政府采购法的立法常常给他人带来非自愿的成本或收益,即政府采购法的外部性。政府采购法的外部性,导源于现代社会政府采购立法的决策过程、政府采购立法所拥有的“派生的外在性”以及政府采购立法过程的信息缺失。内在化政府采购法的外部性,须明确界定中央与地方之间、国务院各部门之间的政府采购的立法权,完善政府采购立法程序以及建立政府采购立法损害补偿制度等。     

Employment and filial relations: Is there a conflict?

Since children, particularly daughters, are among the most important sources of help and support for older Americans, it has been suggested that women's increasing employment will affect filial relations. Empirical evidence on this issue is inconsistent, in part due to the use of nonprobability samples. Few studies have measured effects for men. We attempt to broaden the scope of this question beyond help to the frail elderly by asking whether employment affects filial relations in general. We examine effects of hours employed on telephone contact, visiting, feelings of closeness, filial attitudes, and assistance to biological parents, for an area probability sample of men and women over 40. There are no effects of employment for men or women on contact, closeness, or assistance. For the vast majority of this population sample, contact and assistance involve few hours per week, and thus do not seem to conflict with employment.     

代际支持对流动老年人生活满意度的影响：自我效能感和心理弹性的序列中介作用

以654名流动老年人为调查对象,通过问卷调查探讨不同的代际支持水平对流动老年人生活满意度的影响及自我效能感和心理弹性的序列中介作用。结果表明,代际支持、生活满意度、自我效能、心理弹性四因素之间两两显著相关。自我效能感与心理弹性在代际支持与生活满意度之间均有中介效应,中介效应值为0.198和0.078,且两者在代际支持与生活满意度之间具有序列中介效应,中介效应值为0.107。结果提示,代际支持通过自我效能感和心理弹性的链式中介效应,对流动老年人生活满意度产生直接的正向预测作用。     

Intergenerational Mobility Modes and Changes in Social Class in Contemporary China

Using data from three China General Social Surveys, this paper analyzes changes in the basic situation of intergenerational mobility among social classes in China over the past 60 years. General social mobility was found to have increased, but social openness tended to show a wave-like pattern of change. Despite this, intergenerational inheritance was the main form of intergenerational mobility in every period. With the transformation of the socioeconomic system, the main mechanism of social exclusion changed from “systemic exclusion” to “market exclusion,” leading to changes in the structure of social opportunity. As a result, the form taken by intergenerational mobility varied significantly. This is chiefly evident in the gradual decline in the dominance of intergenerational inheritance among particular strata, with cross-class cyclical mobility becoming more difficult. On the one hand, changes in the social exclusion mechanism may increase social openness, making society more dynamic and strengthening social legitimacy. On the other hand, as the dominant class learns how to use market exclusion to achieve class reproduction, class solidification may still be possible in a future Chinese society.     

教育主体缺失视角下农村校园欺凌成因及治理

家庭、村庄和学校是农村学生成长过程中的三个重要教育主体，三者相辅相成共同构成农村教育主体结构。农村中小学生正是在该结构中获得成长，而农村校园欺凌事件的频发和多发则与其变化相关。农村教育主体结构的变化包括三个方面：一是家庭教育主体的缺位，表现为农村家庭隔代抚育的“不过问”逻辑；二是村庄教育主体的缺位，表现为村庄交往中的村民相互“不得罪”的逻辑；三是学校主体的缺位，表现为学校管理中官僚主义的“不出事”逻辑。这些主体行为逻辑的变化，进而带来了三者之间良性互动的阻隔，包括家庭与学校勾连的中断、村庄对学生和家庭监管的缺位，以及学校对农村社会的脱嵌。治理农村校园欺凌事件，除了法制和规范进校之外，还要搭建新型的教育主体结构，形成多元化、多主体农村校园欺凌的治理格局。