Does a universal non-contributory social pension make sense for rural China?

China’s pension reform during the past three decades has allowed a majority of China’s population to be covered by a pension scheme. Of particular note has been the New Rural Pension Scheme (NRPS), a voluntary programme introduced starting in 2009. One goal of our analysis is to assess that pension scheme, using a variety of sources of information including data drawn from recent (2013 and 2015) nationwide China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Surveys (CHARLS). Our analysis involves an exploration of differences between the generosity and structure of the NRPS and other pension schemes currently in place. We also explore the feasibility of reforming the current “quasi-social pension” component of the NRPS by substituting a universal non-contributory social pension pillar. In connection with our assessment of the NRPS, we note the unusually low benefit levels for rural China.     

三国时期西部农业开发述论

三国时期 ,曹魏控制西北 ,蜀汉占据西南 ,两国主要在西部地区争战 ,粮草供给成为决定胜负的关键因素 ,为此双方都采取了恢复和发展粮食生产的措施。曹魏在西部一些适宜农业的战略要地大兴屯田 ,开发关陇、稳定河西 ,每年收获大量谷物供给军粮 ,以守为攻 ,迎战蜀军 ;蜀汉占据西南之后 ,诸葛亮注意处理好民族关系 ,发挥当地的农业资源优势 ,劝农积谷。为了解决北伐运粮的困难 ,还在汉中及渭水南岸一些地区设置少量屯田。不同的农业开发措施与双方的治乱胜败有很大关系。     

装备工业的快速发展与产业结构的优化升级

落后的技术装备水平是导致我国工业粗放型增长并进而导致结构性矛盾的重要原因。在新的发展阶段 ,优化产业结构 ,淘汰落后技术 ,全面更新技术手段和生产设备 ,加快装备工业发展 ,推进关键设备国产化 ,成为提高国民经济运行质量和效益的战略性环节     

西汉赋家的个体性生命焦虑

个体性生命焦虑是西汉赋家比较浓郁的生命意识。它较集中地体现于骚体赋和拟骚赋中。可以说,西汉赋家继承先秦时代的人文精神,并结合新时代对士人话语自由及人格自由的限制与剥夺,将屈原的楚骚精神进一步发扬光大,对后世文学关注生命具有深远影响。     

中外水利教育的比较研究

从中外水利教育的管理、教学、科研及产学研相结合方面进行了比较研究，并提出了相应的结论和建议。     

汉初封国经济发展及其原因探析

汉初封国经济的发展表现在两个方面 :在农业生产中 ,铁农具进一步发展 ,生产技术进步 ,作物品种增多 ,产量提高 ,农业人口增加 ,养殖业发展 ;在手工业方面 ,诸如冶铁、铸币、制盐、纺织等行业都取得了相当程度的发展。封国所处的优越地理环境和王国政府一系列政策措施的推行共同促成了封国经济的全面振兴。     

论中国人社会化与心理咨询本土化

不同民族的人具有显著的心理差异。西方心理咨询模式与中国人社会化特点存在显著的矛盾冲突 ,其核心是个人取向与社会取向的矛盾。由此决定了心理咨询在中国的发展必须经历一个本土化过程。     

浅谈发展中国家的经济安全

对影响发展中国家经济安全的因素进行了系统地分析 ,认为 :发展中国家参与经济全球化的起始条件是决定其经济安全的内在因素 ;发达国家推行经济全球化的战略意图和政策举措是影响发展中国家经济安全的深层次因素 ;经济全球化是影响发展中国家经济安全的环境因素。文章在此基础上对发展中国家经济安全的内涵进行了较为深入地探讨     

网上的西欧政党

20世纪90年代以后，互联网在全球迅速普及，对西欧政党产生了重要的影响。为适应自身发展的需要，获得更多选民的支持，西欧各国政党纷纷上网。他们竞相在网上开展各项活动。主要包括提供信息、网上竞选、政治参与和组织建设，并取得了一定的成效。但是，受到数字鸿沟、政党实力、政党利益、党员和选民态度的影响，西欧政党的网上潜能没有得到充分地发挥，政党的网上效力有待于进一步提高。     

A Risk-Based Method for Modeling Traffic Fatalities

We describe a risk-based analytical framework for estimating traffic fatalities that combines the probability of a crash and the probability of fatality in the event of a crash. As an illustrative application, we use the methodology to explore the role of vehicle mix and vehicle prevalence on long-run fatality trends for a range of transportation growth scenarios that may be relevant to developing societies. We assume crash rates between different road users are proportional to their roadway use and estimate case fatality ratios (CFRs) for the different vehicle-vehicle and vehicle-pedestrian combinations. We find that in the absence of road safety interventions, the historical trend of initially rising and then falling fatalities observed in industrialized nations occurred only if motorization was through car ownership. In all other cases studied (scenarios dominated by scooter use, bus use, and mixed use), traffic fatalities rose monotonically. Fatalities per vehicle had a falling trend similar to that observed in historical data from industrialized nations. Regional adaptations of the model validated with local data can be used to evaluate the impacts of transportation planning and safety interventions, such as helmets, seat belts, and enforcement of traffic laws, on traffic fatalities.