和谐社会构建与精神文明建设的关切度

社会和谐是中国特色社会主义的本质属性,把建设“和谐社会”作为我党新时期执政的目标,体现了中华民族传统文化精神与我们党治国理政新追求的完美结合。构建社会主义和谐社会与精神文明建设的关切度表现在：两者具有高度的内在耦合性,加强精神文明建设是构建和谐社会的促进器。     

出生性别比影响因素的通径分析——以第五次全国人口普查数据为基础

根据我国的特殊情况,分别建立了城市和农村两个模型,并利用第五次全国人口普查的县(区)级单位数据,对出生性别比变化的直接和间接影响因素进行通径分析,发现:家庭规模和教育水平对城市的出生性别比影响较大,而医疗、经济发展和教育水平对农村的出生性别比影响显著,据此提出,降低出生性别比应采取加大现代生育观念的宣传力度、形成先进生育文化舆论环境、着力提高女性的文化程度和相应的社会地位以及加强对农村医疗服务机构的规范化管理等针对性措施。     

High value manufacturing: Capability,appropriation, and governance

Manufacturing competitiveness is on many policy agendas, born out of a concern for firms in high-cost economies finding themselves outcompeted by low-cost rivals. Government policy makers and manufacturing firm strategists have put their faith in what we label as high value manufacturing (HVM). We see HVM as an incipient phenomenon currently in a situation of prescience, as something that is still “in-the-making,” with manufacturing firms trying to find ways to be able to step away from having to compete on price. This paper consults relevant strategy theories with the purpose to pinpoint the issues and problems that need to be accommodated for bringing HVM into being and for creating the effects that are anticipated. We found that HVM must be seen as a distributed activity, thus realizing complex functionality for a system-of-use, while being subjected to path constitution. For HVM to function, the firms involved need to find solutions to the capability problem, the appropriation problem, and the governance problem. We suggest that further research needs to involve itself in problem-solving activity to assist in bringing HVM about while simultaneously further developing strategy theory geared toward firms that are involved in a distributed activity like HVM.     

部分省市国有创投企业实地调研与启示

上海国有创投企业与深圳、苏州、广东等创投公司基本上同时起步,但近年来实力差距拉大。碉研认为,上海应通过集团化发展整合现有的国有创投企业,建立上海科技金融集团,并通过机制创新,解决国资管理与市场化经营的冲突问题,使上海国有创投业成为服务上海科技创新战略、新兴产业发展和转变经济发展方式的有力抓手。     

部分状态可见的隐马尔可夫模型状态序列的估计方法

本文考虑了部分状态可见的隐马尔可夫模型的状态序列估计问题,在分析了现有算法无法合理估计状态路径之后,以状态转移概率、观测概率和可见状态作为先验信息,通过贝叶斯分析计算可见状态前后向状态的后验概率,并给出初始条件和递推公式,运用动态规划递推得到每个观测值对应的最可能状态以及最可能的状态路径。最后,本文给出一个系统故障识别的应用例子,验证了所设计算法的可行性。     

A Path Analytic Model of a Theory of Quality Management Underlying the Deming Management Method: Preliminary Empirical Findings*

Despite the impact that Deming and his 14 Points have had on the practice of quality management, empirical support for the effectiveness of the Deming Management Method has not advanced beyond the presentation of anecdotal, case-study evidence. In part, this is because theory to guide the conduct of empirical research has not been available. Only recently has such a theory of quality management to describe and explain the effectiveness of the Deming Management Method been articulated in the literature. This paper continues the journey of theory development; it reports the results of an exploratory empirical analysis of an articulated theory of quality management underlying the Deming Management Method. The constructs in the proposed theory are operationalized using measurement statements developed by the World-Class Manufacturing research project team at the University of Minnesota and Iowa State University. Path analysis is applied to the World-Class Manufacturing project data to explore the empirical strength of relationships advanced in the theory. The path analytic results provide support for several of the proposed relationships in the theory, and more importantly, suggest a number of new relationships which have not heretofore been proposed.     

区域的“城市性”与中国新型城市化道路

本文提出区域的“城市性”,对城市化涵义作出新的认识.考察中外城市化的演变史发现,城市化道路有两种类型:一是人口转移型城市化道路,二是结构转换型城市化道路,从中国的国情出发,借鉴中外城市化的经验教训,如今中国城市化发展道路的转型方向,应该是走人口转移和结构转型并存的“双轨”发展的新型城市化道路.     

中国各地区市场化进程区位分布的空间效应研究

 本文从空间分析的角度研究各地区市场化进程的空间效应及其对区域经济增长绩效的影响,空间计量经济分析的结果表明市场化进程的空间分布在整个样本区间与GDP、资本和劳动一样呈现出集聚的趋势,区域差异显著,各地区的市场化进程在地理空间上存在显著的自相关关系,证实了各地区市场化进程存在制度溢出效应。因此,在研究各地区市场化进程与经济增长关系时必须考虑其空间效应的影响,基于此结论本文运用空间计量模型测算了各地区市场化进程对经济增长的贡献。结果证实,考虑了空间效应后,市场化进程在1998～2001年阶段对经济增长的贡献约为6.2％,在2002～2005年阶段约为10.8％,这表明了市场化对中国的经济增长起到了重要的作用,而且近年来的贡献愈加显著。     

以红色文化推进马克思主义大众化的基本路径探析

推广红色文化是推进马克思主义大众化的重要隐性教育方式,当前以红色文化推进马克思主义大众化,需要进一步加大红色文化资源的宣传营销力度,不断提高其马克思主义大众化载体的现实影响力;努力建立红色文化精神产品体系,不断强化马克思主义理论的市场渗透力和感染力;着力开发红色旅游资源,不断增强大众对马克思主义理论的体验性认同。     

英语“花园小径”句的认知解读

"花园小径"现象是一种特殊的语言暂时歧义现象,整个句子是没有歧义的."花园小径"句常涉及有多重意义的词语或搭配复杂的结构,这样在理解过程中,人脑中的常规语言知识图式和世界知识图式被率先激活,导致误读,但在遭遇语义短路后读者会意识到原来的理解错误,需要构建新的图式以达到正确的认知.