论“道德自由人”—构建三网融合后的青年伦理生态

道德自由人意指道德精神在其实体中意识到自己被解放了。三网是道德自由人具有场域性、映像性、交互性、平等性特征的实体。道德自由人的出现是新世纪以来青年伦理意识的新动向。三网融合的趋势下,道德自由人的行动日益活跃,亟待冲出场域映像进入生活世界。道德自由人的出现给传统伦理带来了挑战,也为优化现有的伦理秩序提供了难得的机遇。以道德自由人为轴心,以三网为基地,构建青年伦理生态正是当前的急务。     

基于双边市场的媒体跨媒介竞争效应分析

基于三网融合的现实背景,在双边市场理论框架下,构建了媒体跨媒介竞争博弈模型。模型分析表明：媒体平台进行跨媒介扩张,可以增加自身消费者数量、广告投放数量以及广告费用;媒体平台跨媒介扩张存在一个投资临界,只有当投资成本小于这一临界时,跨媒介扩张才会增加媒体平台的利润;随着广告厌恶型消费者所占比例的增加,两家媒体平台最终的均衡广告收费和利润都会提升,进行跨媒介扩张的媒体平台广告量和消费者数量会减少,而没有进行跨媒介扩张的媒体平台广告量和消费者数量会增加。     

高校教育精准扶贫模式探究——以华中农业大学精准扶贫建始县为例

教育扶贫是高校精准扶贫地方的主要路径。基于华中农业大学在建始县精准扶贫的实践所取得的成效及遇到的问题,通过对三螺旋理论进行了深化与拓展,构建了以产业为纽带,农户、企业、高校、政府四主体相互作用的四螺旋模型,探索各主体充分发挥优势,协同创新的作用机理,提出基于四螺旋模型的高校精准扶贫地方的新路径,即：找准农户致贫或返贫的原因;高校与政府联动,做好扶贫规划;高校与企业联动,抓好产业建设;加强高校、企业与地方政府联动,攻克难点问题;四主体联动,强化过程管理。     

The Great Recession and Welfare State Reform: Is Retrenchment Really the Only Game Left in Town?

By 2010, when the Greek sovereign debt crisis changed into an existential crisis of the euro, all developed democracies entered a phase in which they had to consolidate their budgets, typically implying a politics of austerity. The scholarly literature, as well as the popular press, suggests that – consequently – welfare retrenchment and cost containment became the only games left in town. In this article, we study the welfare state reform measures taken between 2010 and 2012 in four countries characteristic of mature welfare state regimes (liberal, UK; conservative, Germany; social democratic, Denmark; and hybrid, the Netherlands) to examine empirically whether austerity has indeed become the only item left on the policy menu. Our analysis reveals that retrenchment features prominently on the agenda everywhere, but nowhere by itself. While compensation for income loss is rare since 2010, this still happens. More unexpectedly, reforms in line with a social investment agenda (like expansion of child care or active labour market policies) are still being pursued in all our four cases.     

中国大宗商品现货价格指数的构建及预测能力研究

本文首先选取了我国国民经济中八个主要行业,首次提出并采用成分商品的“三重筛选”标准,选取了72种成分商品,先以成分商品的表观消费量为权重构建了行业商品现货价格指数,然后以行业规模以上工业企业的工业总产值为权重综合行业指数得到中国大宗商品现货价格指数。其次,基于已构建指数,采用谱分析方法研究发现：中国大宗商品现货价格指数领先CPI、PPI、CI三个国内宏观经济指数的期数依次为2.48个月、0.66个月、0.89个月,领先BPI、MyBCIC、CCPI三个国内大宗商品现货价格指数的期数依次为1.54天、1天、1.21周,领先上证综合指数的期数为13天,说明中国大宗商品现货价格指数具有很好的预警和预测能力。最后,本文用时差相关系数法对CSCPI的预测能力进行了定量检验,检验结果与谱分析结果一致,说明谱分析结果是稳健的。     

Independent evaluation of the Triple P Positive Parenting Program in family support service settings

The Triple P Positive Parenting Program is a multilevel system of behaviour‐based parenting training and support. The aim of this study was to determine whether implementation of levels 2 and 3 of the Triple P system, designed for primary care settings, enhances parent, child and family outcomes compared with services‐as‐usual in Alberta, Canada. The study employed a quasi‐experimental, single‐blind and post‐test‐only design. A survey incorporating outcome measures was administered to a sample of 1296 parent‐clients. A total of 923 parents responded, including 172 parents who had received a Triple P (level 2 and/or 3) intervention during the previous 12 weeks. A significant interaction was found between participation in a group‐based parent education programme and receipt of Triple P. Parents who participated in a group‐based parent education programme, and who received a Triple P intervention reported somewhat higher levels of need satisfaction than parents who participated in a group‐based parent education programme but who did not receive a Triple P intervention. No significant difference was found between Triple P and service‐as‐usual groups on any secondary outcome measures including parenting stress, positive interaction, family functioning and child problem behaviours.     

三重螺旋：创新型国家建设的一种战略选择

“三重螺旋”是当代产业、大学、政府关系的一种创新模式。然而在国内,对此相关问题却很少有系统地研究。虽有人曾有所涉及,但研究均未涉及中国大学产业与政府关系的基本问题及其症结,从而也就无法适应或能动于创新型国家建设的基本诉求,在理论深度或现实关注层面上存在明显的落差。因此,剖析我国“产学研”的理论疏漏和实践缺陷,并在建设创新型国家的愿景中,给出一个在一定程度上堪与之相对适应或更加匹配的“产学官”的使命与应对,建立一个能够充分发挥高校主导作用、迎合创业型大学兴隆的中国产学官三重螺旋创新模式,不仅是需要的,而且是必须的。     

“三螺旋冶国家理论创新模式的一个解释框架———以“包容性增长冶与“包容性发展冶为例

“三螺旋冶是解释大学、产业和政府三者协同创新的一种理论框架.在中国的国家理论创新中,也存在着一个类似的“三螺旋冶力量,即国家理论创新的“三螺旋冶模式.通过“包容性增长冶与“包容性发展冶的个案考察,这一模式可以清晰地获得表达,即基于社会问题的“政治发动冶,它是国家理论创新的引擎;处于广度舆论动员地位的“媒体关注冶;处于深度理论思考地位的“学术研究冶.这三者以螺旋状之关系共同构筑了中国国家理论创新的发生机制.     

Pseudo-Youden designs balanced for intersection

If the row-column intersections of a row-column design A form a balanced incomplete block design, then A is said to be balanced for intersection. This property was originally defined for triple arrays by McSorley et al. (2005a), Section 8, where an example was presented and questions of existence were raised and discussed. We give sufficient conditions for the class of balanced grids in order to be balanced for intersection, and prove that a family of binary pseudo-Youden designs has this property.     

论巴金家庭小说中的三重困境

本文主要以《激流三部曲》、《寒夜》、《憩园》为例,论述巴金家庭小说中的三重困境,即情爱困境、精神困境、生存困境以及三者之间的关系。