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1.
Multinomial logit (also termed multi-logit) models permit the analysis of the statistical relation between a categorical response variable and a set of explicative variables (called covariates or regressors). Although multinomial logit is widely used in both the social and economic sciences, the interpretation of regression coefficients may be tricky, as the effect of covariates on the probability distribution of the response variable is nonconstant and difficult to quantify. The ternary plots illustrated in this article aim at facilitating the interpretation of regression coefficients and permit the effect of covariates (either singularly or jointly considered) on the probability distribution of the dependent variable to be quantified. Ternary plots can be drawn both for ordered and for unordered categorical dependent variables, when the number of possible outcomes equals three (trinomial response variable); these plots allow not only to represent the covariate effects over the whole parameter space of the dependent variable but also to compare the covariate effects of any given individual profile. The method is illustrated and discussed through analysis of a dataset concerning the transition of master’s graduates of the University of Trento (Italy) from university to employment. 相似文献
2.
高速SDRAM控制器设计的FPGA实现 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
同步动态存储器(SDRAM)控制器通常用有限状态机实现,对于一般的设计方法,由于状态数量多,状态转换通常伴随大的组合逻辑而影响运行速度,因此,SDRAM控制器的速度限制了SDRAM存储器的访问速度。该文从结构优化入手来优化方法,利用状态机分解的思想将大型SDRAM控制状态机用若干小的子状态机实现,达到简化逻辑的目的,不仅提高了速度还节省了资源,对该类大型SDRAM控制器的实现有一定参考意义。 相似文献
3.
基于非线性网状创新模型提出的“三螺旋场”和“三螺旋循环”概念进一步推进了三螺旋创新模式的理论研究。三螺旋场概念旨在解释在大学、产业和政府三股螺旋之间存在的相对独立和彼此作用的本质,说明三螺旋的生成原理、静态表现和动态演化特征。三螺旋的生成原理在于创新过程的非线性本质和多主体特征,静态表现为“内核外场模型”,而动态演化过程则在于纵向进化和横向循环。发生在三股螺旋之间的三螺旋循环揭示了在大学、产业和政府之间以人员、信息和产品流动为特征的相互作用和运行机制。 相似文献
4.
5.
Projecting losses associated with hurricanes is a complex and difficult undertaking that is wrought with uncertainties. Hurricane Charley, which struck southwest Florida on August 13, 2004, illustrates the uncertainty of forecasting damages from these storms. Due to shifts in the track and the rapid intensification of the storm, real-time estimates grew from 2 to 3 billion dollars in losses late on August 12 to a peak of 50 billion dollars for a brief time as the storm appeared to be headed for the Tampa Bay area. The storm hit the resort areas of Charlotte Harbor near Punta Gorda and then went on to Orlando in the central part of the state, with early poststorm estimates converging on a damage estimate in the 28 to 31 billion dollars range. Comparable damage to central Florida had not been seen since Hurricane Donna in 1960. The Florida Commission on Hurricane Loss Projection Methodology (FCHLPM) has recognized the role of computer models in projecting losses from hurricanes. The FCHLPM established a professional team to perform onsite (confidential) audits of computer models developed by several different companies in the United States that seek to have their models approved for use in insurance rate filings in Florida. The team's members represent the fields of actuarial science, computer science, meteorology, statistics, and wind and structural engineering. An important part of the auditing process requires uncertainty and sensitivity analyses to be performed with the applicant's proprietary model. To influence future such analyses, an uncertainty and sensitivity analysis has been completed for loss projections arising from use of a Holland B parameter hurricane wind field model. Uncertainty analysis quantifies the expected percentage reduction in the uncertainty of wind speed and loss that is attributable to each of the input variables. 相似文献
6.
Gaussian Markov random field (GMRF) models are commonly used to model spatial correlation in disease mapping applications. For Bayesian inference by MCMC, so far mainly single-site updating algorithms have been considered. However, convergence and mixing properties of such algorithms can be extremely poor due to strong dependencies of parameters in the posterior distribution. In this paper, we propose various block sampling algorithms in order to improve the MCMC performance. The methodology is rather general, allows for non-standard full conditionals, and can be applied in a modular fashion in a large number of different scenarios. For illustration we consider three different applications: two formulations for spatial modelling of a single disease (with and without additional unstructured parameters respectively), and one formulation for the joint analysis of two diseases. The results indicate that the largest benefits are obtained if parameters and the corresponding hyperparameter are updated jointly in one large block. Implementation of such block algorithms is relatively easy using methods for fast sampling of Gaussian Markov random fields ( Rue, 2001 ). By comparison, Monte Carlo estimates based on single-site updating can be rather misleading, even for very long runs. Our results may have wider relevance for efficient MCMC simulation in hierarchical models with Markov random field components. 相似文献
7.
宣满友 《绍兴文理学院学报》2002,22(9):20-24
讨论三维Minkowski空间R2 .1中一类特殊曲面在主曲率函数相等时的情形 ,给出了这类曲面在这一情形下的位置向量场 相似文献
8.
汉语词义和词汇系统的历史演变初探——以“投”为例 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
蒋绍愚 《北京大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2006,43(4):4-105
词汇是一个系统,词义也是有系统性的。运用“概念要素分析法”来分析词义,可以更好地归纳词义,并厘清词义之间的联系及其历史发展。以概念场为背景,考察各个概念域中的成员及其分布在不同历史时期的演变,是研究词汇系统历史演变的一种有效的方法。 相似文献
9.
王玮 《贵州工业大学学报(社会科学版)》2003,5(4):76-79
不同于传统语法所提供的各种语法规则,功能语法学是一种非常丰富的语言描述方法,它关注语言在各种社会语境中使用的不同形态;并且还观察语言所承担的各种社会功能以及对读者或听众所产生的影响。它应当被当成是传统语法的丰富和补充。同时,功能语法提供给教师的是一种很有效的深入理解语篇的方法,并为提高教学质量提供了很多启示。 相似文献
10.
武汉市板块经济模式研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
周在泉 《江汉大学学报(人文科学版)》2004,23(2):78-81
根据武汉经济的地域分布特征,武汉板块经济发展模式分两级,第一级分三大板块(大汉口、大武昌、大汉阳),第二级在大板块内细分若干基础板块。武汉城市发展的过程和方向应为:通过基础板块质量和数量的增长,促进经济实力增强和城市空间扩张,三大板块鼎足而立,形成城市群。 相似文献