全文获取类型
收费全文 | 8119篇 |
免费 | 184篇 |
国内免费 | 64篇 |
专业分类
管理学 | 267篇 |
劳动科学 | 2篇 |
民族学 | 74篇 |
人才学 | 1篇 |
人口学 | 49篇 |
丛书文集 | 720篇 |
理论方法论 | 179篇 |
综合类 | 4582篇 |
社会学 | 87篇 |
统计学 | 2406篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 3篇 |
2023年 | 23篇 |
2022年 | 31篇 |
2021年 | 54篇 |
2020年 | 87篇 |
2019年 | 96篇 |
2018年 | 120篇 |
2017年 | 225篇 |
2016年 | 124篇 |
2015年 | 161篇 |
2014年 | 292篇 |
2013年 | 1138篇 |
2012年 | 469篇 |
2011年 | 417篇 |
2010年 | 386篇 |
2009年 | 406篇 |
2008年 | 447篇 |
2007年 | 545篇 |
2006年 | 523篇 |
2005年 | 497篇 |
2004年 | 434篇 |
2003年 | 423篇 |
2002年 | 337篇 |
2001年 | 329篇 |
2000年 | 200篇 |
1999年 | 88篇 |
1998年 | 79篇 |
1997年 | 61篇 |
1996年 | 52篇 |
1995年 | 73篇 |
1994年 | 48篇 |
1993年 | 40篇 |
1992年 | 36篇 |
1991年 | 18篇 |
1990年 | 15篇 |
1989年 | 25篇 |
1988年 | 15篇 |
1987年 | 14篇 |
1986年 | 4篇 |
1985年 | 4篇 |
1984年 | 10篇 |
1983年 | 7篇 |
1982年 | 1篇 |
1981年 | 3篇 |
1980年 | 2篇 |
1979年 | 1篇 |
1978年 | 2篇 |
1977年 | 1篇 |
1976年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有8367条查询结果,搜索用时 31 毫秒
1.
在关于货币政策影响经济主体风险承担水平,进而影响金融周期波动机制的研究中,基于风险承担渠道的相关研究较为成熟.区别于以往相关研究多关注货币政策实际采取的立场,文章基于货币政策反应函数渠道探讨了数量型与价格型货币政策反应函数对金融周期波动影响的时变机制.滚动回归的实证结果显示:无论数量型货币政策规则还是价格型货币政策规则,货币政策对信贷波动反应的敏感性主要影响金融周期的波动,但在价格型货币政策规则下,基于信贷视角观察金融周期波动时,货币政策信贷敏感性与货币政策资产价格敏感性对金融周期影响差异较小;较之于价格型货币政策规则,货币政策对信贷波动反应的敏感性在数量型货币政策规则下,对金融周期波动的影响更显著,并在一定程度上表现出随时间扩大的趋势.文章的创新之处在于:强调了货币政策通过政策反应函数渠道而非以往研究中较多关注的狭义风险承担渠道影响金融周期波动的事实,并构建计量模型对货币政策反应函数渠道影响金融周期波动的时变机制进行了详细刻画. 相似文献
2.
Recently, Kambo and his co-researchers (2012) proposed a method of approximation for evaluating the one-dimensional renewal function based on the first three moments. Their method is simple and elegant, which gives exact values for well-known distributions. In this article, we propose an analogous method for the evaluation of bivariate renewal function based on the first two moments of the variables and their joint moment. The proposed method yields exact results for certain widely used bivariate distributions like bivariate exponential distribution, bivariate Weibull distributions, and bivariate Pareto distributions. An illustrative example in the form of a two-dimensional warranty problem is considered and comparisons of our method are made with the results of other models. 相似文献
3.
AbstractThis paper focuses on the inference of suitable generally non linear functions in stochastic volatility models. In this context, in order to estimate the variance of the proposed estimators, a moving block bootstrap (MBB) approach is suggested and discussed. Under mild assumptions, we show that the MBB procedure is weakly consistent. Moreover, a methodology to choose the optimal length block in the MBB is proposed. Some examples and simulations on the model are also made to show the performance of the proposed procedure. 相似文献
4.
We propose testing procedures for the hypothesis that a given set of discrete observations may be formulated as a particular time series of counts with a specific conditional law. The new test statistics incorporate the empirical probability-generating function computed from the observations. Special emphasis is given to the popular models of integer autoregression and Poisson autoregression. The asymptotic properties of the proposed test statistics are studied under the null hypothesis as well as under alternatives. A Monte Carlo power study on bootstrap versions of the new methods is included as well as real-data examples. 相似文献
5.
In this paper, the quantile-based flattened logistic distribution has been studied. Some classical and quantile-based properties of the distribution have been obtained. Closed form expressions of L-moments, L-moment ratios and expectation of order statistics of the distribution have been obtained. A quantile-based analysis concerning the method of matching L-moments estimation is employed to estimate the parameters of the proposed model. We further derive the asymptotic variance–covariance matrix of the matching L-Moments estimators of the proposed model. Finally, we apply the proposed model to simulated as well as two real life datasets and compare the fit with the logistic distribution. 相似文献
6.
7.
易同民 《西北农林科技大学学报(社会科学版)》2002,2(2):74-77
社会主义市场经济条件下 ,作为党、政府和人民的耳目喉舌的新闻媒体 ,仍然必须牢牢坚持新闻指导性原则 ,这是由我国无产阶级新闻事业的基本性质所决定的 ,是新形势下广大受众政治、经济生活的迫切需要。为了不断增强指导效果 ,新闻媒体当前主要应从以下几方面改进指导方法 :改变指挥命令的做法 ,在服务中增强指导性 ;力戒图解政策 ,通过深入实际、反映实际增强指导性 ;防止片面性、简单化 ,以客观、全面、辩证的方法增强指导性 相似文献
8.
CHIN-TSANG CHIANG MEI-CHENG WANG CHIUNG-YU HUANG 《Scandinavian Journal of Statistics》2005,32(1):77-91
Abstract. Recurrent event data are largely characterized by the rate function but smoothing techniques for estimating the rate function have never been rigorously developed or studied in statistical literature. This paper considers the moment and least squares methods for estimating the rate function from recurrent event data. With an independent censoring assumption on the recurrent event process, we study statistical properties of the proposed estimators and propose bootstrap procedures for the bandwidth selection and for the approximation of confidence intervals in the estimation of the occurrence rate function. It is identified that the moment method without resmoothing via a smaller bandwidth will produce a curve with nicks occurring at the censoring times, whereas there is no such problem with the least squares method. Furthermore, the asymptotic variance of the least squares estimator is shown to be smaller under regularity conditions. However, in the implementation of the bootstrap procedures, the moment method is computationally more efficient than the least squares method because the former approach uses condensed bootstrap data. The performance of the proposed procedures is studied through Monte Carlo simulations and an epidemiological example on intravenous drug users. 相似文献
9.
研究了高校教学评估中知识的模糊关系及权重问题,讨论在有关模糊隶属函数计算方法的基础上,将模糊技术应用在教学评估中,为教学评估的研究提供一条新的途径。 相似文献
10.
迟连城 《苏州城市建设环境保护学院学报》2002,4(3):49-52
全景画是人类文明发展史进入一定阶段的产物,它具有较高的艺术价值,属于美术范畴,并与建筑高度结合的一种独特的艺术作品。文章着重论述了全景画从始至今的发展及中国全景画的现状和未来。 相似文献